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NYC Banter and BS Thread Part IV


TheTrials

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Even with a improving pacific, the atlantic blows.....outside a clipper, everything will cut west the next 3 weeks.....

if the ridge stays far enough off the pacific coast yes, but if we get a split flow around the ridge that should prevent cutters along with ridging over alaska, if it holds. Still, not a great pattern, but its a step in the right direction.

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if the ridge stays far enough off the pacific coast yes, but if we get a split flow around the ridge that should prevent cutters along with ridging over alaska, if it holds. Still, not a great pattern, but its a step in the right direction.

Its better then the all out torch we have.....I just hope we don't back track mid month. Pattern reminds me of watching boston count there inches..

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Jan 1994

Example according to DT of when the NAO was positive implying that you do not need a negative NAO to get cold or sustained cold..

several of us have made this point now for a week or two. EPO and PNA can do it on their own, and a -NAO doesnt always mean cold, we have seen that.

Problem is, if you want to keep it cold, you have to have a true -epo and/or properly placed PNA ridge. There is no room for error.

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Ok, back your post up! Post the "warm" map from the 18Z or 12Z GFS. I have been looking in the long range and haven't found a single warm panel- not ONE! I'm sure you can prove me wrong if you're so sure.

I was indicating how the 18Z Gfs seemed warmer than the 12z Gfs especially in the medium ranged, hours (144-180) and it is warmer at that range. Beyond that it's colder but it's definitely warmer than the 12z gfs which had a huge trough over the east from 144-180 hours and beyond.

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