dryslotted Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 If you are still around ""Folks, Hot off the press *fwiw*. Sure enough, the brand new Euro weeklies are again going with the trend of -NAO in the first half of Feb. They actually suggest a very strong 500 mb warm anomaly centered from S. Greenland into NE Canada and much of N. Canada. The SE US actually has slightly BELOW (yes, you read that correctly) anomalies and the coldest anomalies in just about all of N. America outside of Alaska! eeping hope that this entire winter will not be in the commode but still accepting whatever happens In week 4, the strongest warm 500 mb anomalies stretch from S. Greenland to NNE Canada north of Hudson Bay. Virtually all of Canada, all of Greenland and the north Atlantic, and the western 2/3 of the US have warm anomalies. Cold is found in most all of Europe. Also, strong cold is centered over the far western Aleutians with below normal over Alaska, the north Pacific, and E. Asia. The eastern 1/3 of the U.S. eastward to Europe as well as MX have slightly below normal anomalies. This could mean storminess near the SE US with the strong block to the north." fantastic" Seems to be different from what you stated... Is this your analysis, or who are you quoting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Is this your analysis, or who are you quoting? No its from the Southeast thread... GAWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 No its from the Southeast thread... GAWX I don't see them, but I'm speculating that Adam was talking about sfc temp departures in/near PHL while Larry was posting about 500 mb anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 I don't see them, but I'm speculating that Adam was talking about sfc temp departures in/near PHL while Larry was posting about 500 mb anomalies. Yeah he was but wouldn't one think that if there is a greenland block showing up that the departures would not be on the positive side? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 AccuWeather's Brett Anderson posts rough maps of the Euro weeklies on his blog regularly. Here is the latest update: http://www.accuweath...-february/60204 It does indeed look mild in the northeast until week 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Yeah he was but wouldn't one think that if there is a greenland block showing up that the departures would not be on the positive side? Yeah, there are positive H5 anomalies over Greenland at Week 4, but the +EPO overwhelms the pattern and the whole US is warm wrt 2m temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Yeah, there are positive H5 anomalies over Greenland at Week 4, but the +EPO overwhelms the pattern and the whole US is warm wrt 2m temps. So we are basically blocking warmer than normal pacific air from leaving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 So we are basically blocking warmer than normal pacific air from leaving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 You know, these GFS, NAM and Euro models must use the same super computer as depicted in this video when it comes to predicting a HEC coast storm for the second week of February. Well, what the hell, I will wait until another superstorm in March for the flower show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 At least he was very civil about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 viewing the tourch cooler? cooler? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 12z GFS hahs gotten away from a lakes cutter solution for the following weekend... Another tease. That's our big snowboard/ poconos weekend. I do not want any rain!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 viewing the tourch British torch? I do say that sounds ever so mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 on JB's table: Joe Bastardi On table:Feb 2012 as nasty asDec 2010..worst case (3-4 wks from now longer term pattern has similarities to 1985 mid/late Jan cold wave) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Nice heights showing up by Davis straights @end of 0z euro.. Ens agree http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zECMWFENS500mbHeightAnomalyNA240.gif Similar to 94ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 BTW, this thread has 1,216 posts. Someone with more weather acumen than I should probably start a new thread and close this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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