Voyager Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Good points Eskimo...I'm thinking our buddy voyager has the best shot at anything. It's quite possible. Thing is, I'll most likely be out of state trucking during the timeframe. Dispatch already told me I'm leaving out tomorrow, they just don't know where to yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I just entered November's precip data into our spreadsheet here at home, and decided to take a look at the significant precip events for 2011. It is impressive to say the least. I counted the early September rains as 3 separate events, 9/4, 9/6, and 9/7-8. Total from those days is 14.15". The longest gap between 1" events was between 6/11 and 8/6, during our "flash drought". 17 events >1.00" 9 events >2.00" 3 events >3.00" 1 event >4.00" (9.23" 9/7-8/2011) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I just entered November's precip data into our spreadsheet here at home, and decided to take a look at the significant precip events for 2011. It is impressive to say the least. I counted the early September rains as 3 separate events, 9/4, 9/6, and 9/7-8. Total from those days is 14.15". The longest gap between 1" events was between 6/11 and 8/6, during our "flash drought". 17 events >1.00" 9 events >2.00" 3 events >3.00" 1 event >4.00" (9.23" 9/7-8/2011) Wow. very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 GFS ensembles actually seem pretty reasonable, given the setup aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 GFS ensembles actually seem pretty reasonable, given the setup aloft. Most are insanely moist. Give me 80% as that snow and oh yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Most are insanely moist. Give me 80% as that snow and oh yay! that seems wetter then i thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Does that include the rain tonight and tommorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Does that include the rain tonight and tommorrow? The .1-.2" ya. Not really effecting the totals though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 The .1-.2" ya. Not really effecting the totals though. My secret source tells me the 2" snow line on the new Euro goes MDT->ABE->AVP->PGH->Pittsfield, MA->Manchester->Augusta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 My secret source tells me the 2" snow line on the new Euro goes MDT->ABE->AVP->PGH->Pittsfield, MA->Manchester->Augusta Edging NW. IAN said that the euro had no continuity so it could come more north. At this point I am thinking a NAM/GFS ENS/Euro Mix. First guess tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Zak, can you post our snow date guess's? and how much do i win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I don't follow models much at all in summer, early fall, etc., but hasn't the Euro been kicking every other model's tails all year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Zak, can you post our snow date guess's? and how much do i win? I think you still owe me a sixer of Troeg's after the PSU loss to Nebraska! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro shows best snows ABE to MDT and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I don't follow models much at all in summer, early fall, etc., but hasn't the Euro been kicking every other model's tails all year? Ya but it hasn't latched on to anything yet. Each run is moving north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Zak, can you post our snow date guess's? and how much do i win? Here is the people who are left that can win. MAG5035 12/6 KPIT: 4" KAOO: 4" KUNV: 4" KHGR: 2.5", KIPT: 3", KMDT: 3" KPHI: 1" pawatch 12/8 KPIT: 0" , KAOO:2.0 ", KUNV: 3.5", KHGR: 6.0", KIPT:3.0", KMDT: 6.0", KPHI:8.0" Sauss06 12/9 KPIT 2.25", KAOO 3", KUNV 4.5", KHGR 6", KMDT 7.5", KPHI- T PotterCountyWXObserver 12/10 KPIT: 4.0" , KAOO:2.0 ", KUNV: 6.5", KHGR: 2.0", KIPT:9.0", KMDT: 4.0", KPHI:4.0". djr5001 12/12 KPIT 3", KAOO 8", KUNV 5", KHGR 5", KIPT 3", KMDT 6", KPHI 8" Canderson 12/13 KAOO 7.3" KMDT: 4.6" KPHL: 3.4" KIPT: 7.6" KUNV: 11.2" KPIT: 8.6" KHGR: 5.8" EasternUsWx 12/14 KPIT: 2", KAOO: 5", KUNV: 4", KHGR: 6", KIPT: 3", KMDT: 6", KPHI: 4". The Iceman 12/17 Kpit 3" kaoo 6" kunv 6.5" khgr 8" kipt 10" kmdt 13" kphl 7" PSUHazeltonWx 12/23 KPIT 4.2", KAOO 3.5", KUNV 2.7", KHGR 6.6", KIPT 0.8", KMDT 7.7", KPHI 10.4". MaytownPAWX 12/24 Eskimo Joe 1/5 Wmsptwx 1/16 KMDT: 11.2" KPHL: 17.3" KIPT: 1.7" KUNV: 5.5" KPIT: 2.8'" KHGR: 12.1" KAOO 6.6" Prize-Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro shows best snows ABE to MDT and east. It's another shift north/west. Just a little more and I'll be happy. What's 25 miles between friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Central PA's biggest warminista Joe Lundberg says don't give up any hope, central PA people: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/lundberg/not-trusting-th/58648 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It's another shift north/west. Just a little more and I'll be happy. What's 25 miles between friends? I think to will come. It just continues to shift NW. I think the precip will reach back to UNV at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It's another shift north/west. Just a little more and I'll be happy. What's 25 miles between friends? It would take much more than 25 for accumulating snow in UNV??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It would take much more than 25 for accumulating snow in UNV??? No 25 miles would bring in about 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 No 25 miles would bring in about 1-2". Yeah, it's getting there, isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Yeah, it's getting there, isn't it? Yes sir. I am thinking you'll get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Yes sir. I am thinking you'll get in on the action. yeah, it keeps taking these lil baby steps north, they'll be in it for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 NWS for WED night. Mostly cloudy. lol. Not sure what they are looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 NWS for WED night. Mostly cloudy. lol. Not sure what they are looking at. Why must you always jump on their back...please lay off them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Why must you always jump on their back...please lay off them. Because tell me how can you have only mostly cloudy. There will be some sort of QPF. I am saying at least show a chance for rain. Storm is only 2.5 days out. All a sudden they will add it to the forecast and it will shock people again. Oct event people were clueless around here cause they didn't forecast the storm till like 36hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro ens NW of the op: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro ens NW of the op: http://www.americanw...ost__p__1167465 Sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro ens NW of the op: http://www.americanw...ost__p__1167465 It's interesting to see the EURO and GFS ensembles pull closer to the coast and enhance the precip field somewhat, especially on the northwest side. If we see this hold serve through 12z tomorrow, if not become more accentuated, then perhaps I will bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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