Sub_Zero Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Special weather statement Updated by Environment Canada At 12:45 PM EST Sunday 15 January 2012. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Special weather statement for: City of Toronto Windsor - Essex - Chatham-Kent Sarnia - Lambton Elgin London - Middlesex Simcoe - Delhi - Norfolk Dunnville - Caledonia - Haldimand Oxford - Brant Niagara City of Hamilton Halton - Peel York - Durham Huron - Perth Waterloo - Wellington Dufferin - Innisfil Grey - Bruce Barrie - Orillia - Midland Belleville - Quinte - Northumberland Kingston - Prince Edward Peterborough - Kawartha Lakes Stirling - Tweed - South Frontenac Bancroft - Bon Echo Park Brockville - Leeds and Grenville City of Ottawa Gatineau Prescott and Russell Cornwall - Morrisburg Smiths Falls - Lanark - Sharbot Lake Parry Sound - Muskoka Haliburton Renfrew - Pembroke - Barry's Bay Algonquin Burk's Falls - Bayfield Inlet. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==discussion== A deepening low pressure system from the southern plains states is expected to track northeast across the Lower Great Lakes into Southern Quebec on Tuesday. This low will be moving along a line dividing mild and fairly moist air to the south and much colder Arctic air in place over Northern Ontario. While there is still considerable uncertainty as to its exact track, indications from computer models suggest a northeastward path right over Southern Ontario, resulting in primarily a rain or wet snow event for areas near Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. There is the potential for significant amounts of snow along with the risk of freezing precipitation further north in areas extending from Lake Huron and Georgian Bay into Eastern Ontario including the National Capital Region. A change in the track may have a large effect on how much rain or snow, or both a particular region could receive. If this low follows a track further south than currently expected, there will be potential for an accumulating snow event along with significantly lower temperatures than currently forecast on Tuesday for much of Southern Ontario near the Lower Great Lakes as well. Environment Canada is closely monitoring this situation. The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required or extended. Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at WWW.WEATHEROFFICE.GC.CA Another storm on the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 You'd love Ottawa. I went to school there at Carleton U. for awhile. We had one day where it was -16F in mid afternoon with strong wind and blowing and drifting snow. They did have a complex underground tunnel system between buildings. This was the mid 80's.... Not too shabby here today... only 7F out there ....9 was the highest I believe. Damnnnn. And I thought 3f here was cold. -22f! That's crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 You'd love Ottawa. I went to school there at Carleton U. for awhile. We had one day where it was -16F in mid afternoon with strong wind and blowing and drifting snow. They did have a complex underground tunnel system between buildings. This was the mid 80's.... Not too shabby here today... only 7F out there ....9 was the highest I believe. Lived in Ottawa for nearly 6 years and loved it. Friendly people overall and community atmosphere, despite being the second largest city in Ontario and the fourth largest in canada. And the climate...one could write poetry, apart from the freezing rain of course of which they get a lot. Amazing how differently the people in Ottawa deal with winter compared to Toronto. For example, it could be 0F without the wind and people will still go out skating on the canal. If it were in the teens in Toronto people wouldn't go out unless they absolutely had to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 It is a great area...absolutely nothing they don't have in terms of culture, sports, recreation, etc....helps to the the national capital. Not too big to be an overwhelmingly large urban area like NYC. Gatineau Hills so close by... obviously fantastic winters, very comfortable summers.... Lived in Ottawa for nearly 6 years and loved it. Friendly people overall and community atmosphere, despite being the second largest city in Ontario and the fourth largest in canada. And the climate...one could write poetry, apart from the freezing rain of course of which they get a lot. Amazing how differently the people in Ottawa deal with winter compared to Toronto. For example, it could be 0F without the wind and people will still go out skating on the canal. If it were in the teens in Toronto people wouldn't go out unless they absolutely had to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 my new weather station is up and running for those interested: http://www.weatherlink.com/user/noreaster27/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 the event on tuesday will be warmer further north it appears......risk of mixing or even some rain all the way to our most northern poster, subzero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 If it was me and I ever had to work in Toronto, I'd suffer the commute and live around Barrie maybe... Just not a lot going for YYZ in the snow department...wrong side of a lake, too far west for Nor'easters, too far south it seems for the inland events that plaster Ottawa. Of course maybe this is why the settlers built a city there...odd people liked the fact that it was a more temperate climate. wrong side of the lake, that about sums it up nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 the event on tuesday will be warmer further north it appears......risk of mixing or even some rain all the way to our most northern poster, subzero. kinda say to sad to say but the T+90 h clipper looks like by far the most interesting thing in the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Frigid morning here. - 11 F at 6:00 AM. kinda say to sad to say but the T+90 h clipper looks like by far the most interesting thing in the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catskills Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Frigid morning here. - 11 F at 6:00 AM. -6.2F overnight, low for the season. Already a balmy -3.8F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 We slipped slightly to -11.7F for the final low. Now up to a balmy -8F. -6.2F overnight, low for the season. Already a balmy -3.8F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 -21F @ 8:30am..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Starting to look like that Sudden Stratospheric Warming event is a bust. 10 day models show torch after torch. This winter is on a fast track to bad news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Lake Erie is 33 degrees after the last 2 days of frigid cold air. I am so ready for spring! Once Lake freezes I give up on any possibility of a big storm. I am hoping the next 10 days is 50 and sunny then 20 with a huge LES snowstorm! http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/laketemps/laketemps.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Well the period ending around next weekend will complete about two weeks of normal to below normal wx, so it did yield some fruit, so to speak. Hopefully we get another shot in early February...traditionally our snowiest and most prolific month here in ENY anyway. -12 here today was nothing to sneeze at. Starting to look like that Sudden Stratospheric Warming event is a bust. 10 day models show torch after torch. This winter is on a fast track to bad news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Lake Erie is 33 degrees after the last 2 days of frigid cold air. I am so ready for spring! Once Lake freezes I give up on any possibility of a big storm. I am hoping the next 10 days is 50 and sunny then 20 with a huge LES snowstorm! http://www.erh.noaa....s/laketemps.php http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?lake=e&ext=swt&type=N&hr=00 I really don't think the lake is going to freeze this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 12Z GFS has 510 thicknesses over us on Wednesday and Thursday so perhaps someone will get LES.... http://www.glerl.noa...wt&type=N&hr=00 I really don't think the lake is going to freeze this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 12Z GFS has 510 thicknesses over us on Wednesday and Thursday so perhaps someone will get LES.... yeah it looks good for NW flow lake-effect following that rain event. The Thursday into Thursday night clipper looks solid imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 http://www.glerl.noa...wt&type=N&hr=00 I really don't think the lake is going to freeze this year. When is the last time the lake didnt freeze? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 i didn't freeze in 2001-2002 or 1997-1998. I think there was only limited ice in 2005-2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Maybe we could switch to the new thread because this one is at 1340 + posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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