LakeEffectKing Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 It was a joke and frusteration lol. didn't mean it literally. I know their just tools and to not look for verbatim outputs. Just want to see some snow for once! Gimme one 1'+ storm and I wouldnt care if I didnt see a flake the rest of the season. Yeah, I know....and the 12z GFS (if one takes such output too literally) is a punch in the gut....little cold air, LES is minimal compared to the past few runs, and a new threat/phase actually gets strung out to the south and screws everyone, leaving behind a nice, moderate, blah, pacific airmass to re-flood the country on a zonal flow in 8 days! This winter sucks! But I bet we get a memerable storm by the end of it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 cannot belive the amount of torching going on to the S while YOW sits at 22 with FRZRA epic fail by env canada, as they were oriignally calling for temps in YOW to be above freezing by yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 I was on the phone with my dad (lives close to Mike in Etobicoke) and we couldn't believe how he was experiencing spring like temps (50f) whil it was snowing and 14f here. Good ol' Ottawa! Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans 1:08 PM EST Saturday 07 January 2012 Freezing rain warning for Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans continued Periods of freezing rain this morning. An area of patchy freezing rain and freezing drizzle has developed over far Eastern Ontario early this morning. Commuters should use extra caution as roads and sidewalks may become icy. The freezing rain is expected to come to an end early this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 This was a first for me - January golf in upstate NY. A bit wet in spots, but not too bad for January 7th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 This was a first for me - January golf in upstate NY. A bit wet in spots, but not too bad for January 7th... I just washed and waxed my car...in my driveway (yes, the old fashion way with bucket, soap, turtle wax, and an hour of buffing!) A January first for me! (and in short sleeves nonetheless!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 llol 12z euro still has sw winds for next Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=42.84486&lon=-78.81630&zoom=8&type=hyb&units=english&pin=Buffalo,%20NY&plat=42.84486&plon=-78.81630&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=1&mm.mdl=ECMWF&mm.type=850&mm.hour=135&mm.opa=100&mm.clk=0&hur=0&fire=0&t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 This was a first for me - January golf in upstate NY. A bit wet in spots, but not too bad for January 7th... which golf course is that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH -12 TO -14C AIR AT 850 HPA PASSINGOVER BOTH LAKES BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM NORTHERN CANADA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL THEN BECOME A CONCERN. THE 12Z ECMWF HANGS THE UPPER LEVEL CUT OFF LOW BACK FURTHER TO THE WEST WHICH WOULD SUPPORT MORE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...WHILE THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND PLACES IT OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY MORNING WHICH WOULD SUPPORT MORE OF A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. WILL JUST USE CHC WORDING FOR NOW...AND CREATE A MORE DETAILED FORECAST AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT AND UNCERTAINTY DIMINISHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 which golf course is that one? Audubon in Amherst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 I was on the phone with my dad (lives close to Mike in Etobicoke) and we couldn't believe how he was experiencing spring like temps (50f) whil it was snowing and 14f here. Good ol' Ottawa! Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans 1:08 PM EST Saturday 07 January 2012 Freezing rain warning for Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans continued Periods of freezing rain this morning. An area of patchy freezing rain and freezing drizzle has developed over far Eastern Ontario early this morning. Commuters should use extra caution as roads and sidewalks may become icy. The freezing rain is expected to come to an end early this afternoon enjoy, you are the only one in this region experiencing winter right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 7, 2012 Share Posted January 7, 2012 enjoy, you are the only one in this region experiencing winter right now. That's so hard to believe.....what a weird winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 WOW!!! Currently 50f in Toronto, 14f in Ottawa!!! Yeah, it's incredible. I mean, we all know that Ottawa's winters are a lot colder and snowier than Toronto's, but this is simply amazing. Incredible natural phenomena! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 I was in Western NY for the last three days and Fri and Sat were ridiculously mild. What snow they had in the lake belts was quickly olbiterated. I noted that Naples in far southern Ontario County had around four inches remaining from the Lake Erie stuff Thursday night ...long gone now I'm sure. Yeah, it's incredible. I mean, we all know that Ottawa's winters are a lot colder and snowier than Toronto's, but this is simply amazing. Incredible natural phenomena! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 New Euro continues to show amazing band of LES in Metro and points just south for 24+ hours Thursday Night into Friday. The continuity from run to run makes me get somewhat excited for that timeframe... Newest Runs of CMC also show this LES potential. Just need to get the GFS on board, and the NAM once its in the timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Awesome surprise dusting with a very steady snow falling right now. Judging by radar it probably wont last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 http://www.wxrisk.com/ READ@! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Awesome surprise dusting with a very steady snow falling right now. Judging by radar it probably wont last long. I Love how it snows every time i wash the dirty truck lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 New Euro continues to show amazing band of LES in Metro and points just south for 24+ hours Thursday Night into Friday. The continuity from run to run makes me get somewhat excited for that timeframe... Newest Runs of CMC also show this LES potential. Just need to get the GFS on board, and the NAM once its in the timeframe. link to that cmc model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FULLAUTO Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Catch it while you can - central Lewis County ~ 1700' on 12-30-11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 link to that cmc model? http://www.weatherof...t/global_e.html The Newest run has shifted the winds during the event to more W then SW. BOOO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 http://www.wxrisk.com/ READ@! This link doesnt work... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Catch it while you can - central Lewis County ~ 1700' on 12-30-11. Awesome Pic! I cant wait to go snowmobiling this year around here. Need a good 1-2 foot base to really get the trails good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS TAKING A SOUTHWARD TRACK ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS TODAY AND WILL MOVE EAST INTO TEXAS ON MONDAY BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF WEST TEXAS. SNOW WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP IN THE FAR WEST TONIGHT THEN SPREAD EAST MONDAY MORNING INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. INITIALLY RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE MIXED BUT A TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL QUICKLY OCCUR. THE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE LOW...THE ASSOCIATED LIFT...AND UNSEASONAL HIGH AMOUNTS OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE SUGGEST THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL BANDS. WIDESPREAD SNOW TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES AND EVEN HIGHER LOCAL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED Really Texas?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Latest Euro, GFS, and CMC are on board with LES on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS TAKING A SOUTHWARD TRACK ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS TODAY AND WILL MOVE EAST INTO TEXAS ON MONDAY BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF WEST TEXAS. SNOW WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP IN THE FAR WEST TONIGHT THEN SPREAD EAST MONDAY MORNING INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS. INITIALLY RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE MIXED BUT A TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL QUICKLY OCCUR. THE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE LOW...THE ASSOCIATED LIFT...AND UNSEASONAL HIGH AMOUNTS OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE SUGGEST THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL BANDS. WIDESPREAD SNOW TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES AND EVEN HIGHER LOCAL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED Really Texas?? It fails to mention those rates will only be realized in 5 minute spurts, still impressive though. I'm jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On a brighter note, this can't be a bad thing. http://policlimate.com/climate/gfs_ext_ao_bias.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 This link doesnt work... Is this it? http://1664596.sites.myregisteredsite.com/meteorology/BACKUP/backup.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On a brighter note, this can't be a bad thing. http://policlimate.c...xt_ao_bias.html Whats your take on the LES potential Friday-Sunday this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 OVC and reasonably winter-like here today. 31F and a few flurries fro time to time..stiff wind. If we get a real pattern change and winter wx is on tap ..I'll probably ditch this very old thread and start a mid winter thread. Whats your take on the LES potential Friday-Sunday this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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