Organizing Low Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 looking at the radar and latest trends on the models gonna bump up ottawa 1-3 inches / 3-7cm montreal N and W sections 2-4 inches / 5-10cm montreal downtown and S sections 3-6 inches / 7-15cm S of city towards US border 4-8 inches / 10-20cm good call to Phil earlier today on this being more of a threat than it first looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 Mixing with sleet now and down to 33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 looking at the radar and latest trends on the models gonna bump up ottawa 1-3 inches / 3-7cm montreal N and W sections 2-4 inches / 5-10cm montreal downtown and S sections 3-6 inches / 7-15cm S of city towards US border 4-8 inches / 10-20cm good call to Phil earlier today on this being more of a threat than it first looked. there's a fair amount of ice accumulation on tree branches here in Toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 there's a fair amount of ice accumulation on tree branches here in Toronto yeah i saw that unexpected ice in toronto being reported for several hours. must be the 'ottawa blizzard effect' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 this pattern sucks monkey balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 this pattern sucks monkey balls No kidding. The snow in Ottawa notwithstanding, this is looking to end up as one of the warmest meteorological Falls ever recorded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 23, 2011 Author Share Posted November 23, 2011 It looks like it's changing early next week ..... So might as well just make the best of the next five mild days. Although today is below normal for daytime highs with only 34F so far and still a lot of ice in the trees. Had a few snow showers as the last few batches of precip. moved through. No kidding. The snow in Ottawa notwithstanding, this is looking to end up as one of the warmest meteorological Falls ever recorded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 THE SECOND THING TO WATCH IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK. UNCERTAINTY IS TOO GREAT HERE TO GET TOO EXCITED ABOUT THIS...BUT SOME MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SOME LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL ON WEDNESDAY. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR NOW...HIGHLIGHTING TYPICAL LAKE EFFECT REGIONS IN A WSW FLOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted November 23, 2011 Share Posted November 23, 2011 THE SECOND THING TO WATCH IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK. UNCERTAINTY IS TOO GREAT HERE TO GET TOO EXCITED ABOUT THIS...BUT SOME MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SOME LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL ON WEDNESDAY. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR NOW...HIGHLIGHTING TYPICAL LAKE EFFECT REGIONS IN A WSW FLOW. I'll get excited when i see it next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 this pattern sucks monkey balls To be accurate this pattern sucks big hairy unwashed monkey balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 I'll get excited when i see it next week. You shouldn't be excited. WSW winds= South Towns not the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 I'll get excited when i see it next week. I hear you. I'll believe it when I see it. Brett Anderson of accuweather thinks more mild weather is on the way. Mind you, he tends to be biased warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 You shouldn't be excited. WSW winds= South Towns not the city. i know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 I hear you. I'll believe it when I see it. Brett Anderson of accuweather thinks more mild weather is on the way. Mind you, he tends to be biased warm... i hate those euro weeklies he posts,they are always warm for our area lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 Well we will see what the Lakes give us next week.............But I want to wish everyone a wonderfulThanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 Happy Thanksgiving! ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 24, 2011 Author Share Posted November 24, 2011 Happy Thanksgiving to everyone as well.... Still ovc and dingy here. Low of 29 and now 32. Happy Thanksgiving! ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FEFD17 Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 Happy Thanksgiving to everyone as well.... Still ovc and dingy here. Low of 29 and now 32. Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 Happy Thanksgiving from the Northeast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 happy american thanksgiving weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 24, 2011 Share Posted November 24, 2011 happy thanksgiving. I don't really see anything to get excited for the lake-effect potential, yet. The shortwave coming out of Canada is pretty nice, but the cut-off to the south mucks up it' entrance into the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 just checked...BUF should finish November #6 warmest all-time..around 45.5 degrees. That will put it about 1.5 degrees cooler than 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 just checked...BUF should finish November #6 warmest all-time..around 45.5 degrees. That will put it about 1.5 degrees cooler than 2001. we all know what came in December of 2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormtracker81 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... MODELS OFFER A WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS FOR THIS PERIOD. WILL FOLLOW A CONTINUITY OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR THE MOST PART...WITH SOME INCLUSION OF COLDER TEMPS FOR MONDAY..MON NGT..AND TUESDAY. WILL SEE A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW OVER RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK AS TEMPS TREND BACK CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS...EVEN A LITTLE BELOW. THE 00Z RUNS OF ECMWF AND CANADIAN GEM ARE SHOWING A BIG DIFFERENCE FROM THE GFS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL US ON SUN NGT AND MONDAY. HPC MODEL DIAG REFERS TO THIS AS LOOKING /QUITE DEEP AS ITS 500 HPA STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES ARE 5-6 SIGMAS BELOW CLIMATOLOGY...WHICH IS IMPROBABLE/. WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES FOR THIS FORECAST CYCLE...BUT THERE MAY BE MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW IN OUR FUTURE IF THIS CLOSED SOUTHERN LOW BECOMES A DEEP SYNOPTIC SURFACE LOW MOVING NORTH ALONG THE APPALACHIANS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 we all know what came in December of 2001 I'd prefer not to hinge my hope on a single anomalous week...but beggers can't be choosers. We would have only gotten 50" that winter if not for Dec. 24th to 28th, 2001. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 gonna have to keep an eye on that meandering ULL in the middle of the week. on the whole, appears winter is about to begin in the north country after this current torch ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 gonna have to keep an eye on that meandering ULL in the middle of the week. on the whole, appears winter is about to begin in the north country after this current torch ends. You'll probably see more snow next week. Not sure about Toronto, although I obviously have a slightly higher chance of seeing some than downtown Toronto. Joking aside, it really is amazing how different the winters are in Toronto as opposed to Ottawa given they're only about 450km apart (about a 4 hour, 30 minute drive). Lake Ontario makes all the difference as it really moderates winter down here. Mind you, Torontonians do have a different standard of cold as well. It may be due to the fact that almost 60% of the population of Toronto were not born in Canada, and come from regions where cold and snow are almost unheard of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 we all know what came in December of 2001 the one bright spot for you guys in what was for the most part a massive bust of a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 When that happened I was down in FL visiting my sister - who lived near TPA back then. Not sure if that affected areas this far east, but the winter as a whole was pretty abysmal. I'm trying to recall one good snowfall and it is eluding me, but I'm sure we must have had at least one. It looks like the better part of a week before any normal or below normal wx can finally get in here now. A slow step down over the course of the week as the pattern slowly alters. Maybe from next weekend onwards we can finally get into a winter pattern..... the one bright spot for you guys in what was for the most part a massive bust of a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 When that happened I was down in FL visiting my sister - who lived near TPA back then. Not sure if that affected areas this far east, but the winter as a whole was pretty abysmal. I'm trying to recall one good snowfall and it is eluding me, but I'm sure we must have had at least one. It looks like the better part of a week before any normal or below normal wx can finally get in here now. A slow step down over the course of the week as the pattern slowly alters. Maybe from next weekend onwards we can finally get into a winter pattern..... the 12z GFS is absolutely awful for our region, savea few days around December 6th. Interestingly a whole bunch of records from November 2001 were broken in Ontario yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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