CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Some of the typical spots in N ORH county/Monads could actually get a little front end burst...not that it really does anything, but seeing a few hours of snow would be cool. Hopefully someone in CNE can pick up a nice little event. I can't get over how darn fast it warms up after. Frisbees and tshirts on Friday and Saturday. It does look like maybe Socks on down to those 1200ft peaks in nrn ORH county could get a little icing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'm kind of getting I interested here now.. who's to say that this thing doesn't keep trending south and colder either? I'm just remembering those original runs from the euro and gfs on this system which both had this supressed.. It wouldn't surprise me at all if this thing keeps trending south and NNE is shut out of the heavy precip.. still 2 days to go on this one Don't quite think that will be the case, Going to need a stronger high to the north to shove it south, Or a much weaker storm coming up we may be getting close to what the solution may be other then some more subtle shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 a bit further south and we will be shutout of snow again i expected it a S shift due to 2007-08, and voila to be honest with a torch incoming wouldnt mind, lets keep the snowless streak going! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 We have 2 days of model runs to trend this back to the Euro snowstorm from a couple days ago. Seems like it's heading in the direction of that pipedream. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Wow, the torch cometh this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Go for it! NAM for the Jay Peak co-op site at 1,800ft (base of mtn, station jayv) has 17.6" of snow. Would be nice for the northern mountains even if it just helps us get through this weekend. Jay Peak gets 3 feet of snow in July per them. Didn't they record like 7,000 inches back in the 90s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Wow, the torch cometh this weekend. Euro has a loli approaching 70 near Hartford Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Between this and the Halloween storm, it will be like storms in Denver. Shovel, then change into your shorts. 43.6/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 a bit further south and we will be shutout of snow again i expected it a S shift due to 2007-08, and voila to be honest with a torch incoming wouldnt mind, lets keep the snowless streak going! OT, but are you anywhere near Sherbrooke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 OT, but are you anywhere near Sherbrooke? montreal west island but i work on the south shore so quite close to VT, just the imaginary line separates us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I could be reading wrong, but SREFs look juicier and colder A lot colder.. I know there's not a ton of cold air to work with, but these swfe always seem to trend colder from this point forward too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 15z SREF's are hitting the Lakes Region of NH/ME hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 18z nam looks maybe a hair SE and not as robust @ hr 21 then 12z @ hr 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 15z SREF's are hitting the Lakes Region of NH/ME hard. Saw that, Will see if the nam follows, Heading to bridgton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 The 12z euro looks like it might give me a 20 minute period of SN/IP on the overnight Tuesday before the switch to rain. Exciting. 18z nam looks about the same as 12z so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 With the last Oct storm, the SREFs were advertising a farther NW track, giving VT .5" qpf and we ended up getting .08" which was in line with the other models. Not really taking much out of this for places in southern NH quite yet. The SREFs are really on their own. Lets see what the rest of the suite depicts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 GYX has posted Winter storm watches are up here..... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 300 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011 ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THOUGH THE STORM WILL FEATURE PLENTY OF WARM AIR ALOFT...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO RESULT IN ACCUMULATING SNOW AWAY FROM THE COAST. THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN OR SLEET FOR A BRIEF TIME. THIS IS PARTIALLY AN IMPACT DRIVEN WATCH GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRAVEL PRIOR TO THE HOLIDAY. WHILE THE NORTHERN ZONES APPEAR LIKELY TO RECEIVE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WATCH AREA MAY MIX FOR A TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER IT STILL APPEARS LIKELY THAT THESE AREAS WILL BEGIN AND END AS SNOW...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WITH A WARM BOUNDARY LAYER HEAVY...WET SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. MEZ007>009-012>014-019>022-NHZ001>007-220400- /O.NEW.KGYX.WS.A.0010.111123T0500Z-111124T1200Z/ NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET- SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL- SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...ROXBURY...UPTON... WILSONS MILLS...COBURN GORE...RANGELEY...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM... JACKMAN...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON... WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...NORTH WINDHAM... GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN...LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA... WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY...COLEBROOK...BERLIN... LANCASTER...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY...LEBANON...HANOVER... PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT... CHARLESTOWN 300 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES ALL OF NORTHERN AND MOST OF WESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATE IN THE DAY. * IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND SUBSEQUENT POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 GYX has posted Winter storm watches are up here..... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 300 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011 ...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THOUGH THE STORM WILL FEATURE PLENTY OF WARM AIR ALOFT...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR IN PLACE TO RESULT IN ACCUMULATING SNOW AWAY FROM THE COAST. THE BULK OF THE SNOW WILL FALL WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN OR SLEET FOR A BRIEF TIME. THIS IS PARTIALLY AN IMPACT DRIVEN WATCH GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRAVEL PRIOR TO THE HOLIDAY. WHILE THE NORTHERN ZONES APPEAR LIKELY TO RECEIVE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE WATCH AREA MAY MIX FOR A TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER IT STILL APPEARS LIKELY THAT THESE AREAS WILL BEGIN AND END AS SNOW...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WITH A WARM BOUNDARY LAYER HEAVY...WET SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. MEZ007>009-012>014-019>022-NHZ001>007-220400- /O.NEW.KGYX.WS.A.0010.111123T0500Z-111124T1200Z/ NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET- SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL- SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...ROXBURY...UPTON... WILSONS MILLS...COBURN GORE...RANGELEY...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM... JACKMAN...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...FARMINGTON... WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...NORTH WINDHAM... GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN...LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA... WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY...COLEBROOK...BERLIN... LANCASTER...LITTLETON...NORTH CONWAY...LEBANON...HANOVER... PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT... CHARLESTOWN 300 PM EST MON NOV 21 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...THIS WATCH INCLUDES ALL OF NORTHERN AND MOST OF WESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW LATE IN THE DAY. * IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND SUBSEQUENT POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES ON WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Saw that! Up for the BTV area too...theyre calling for 4-8" in the northern half of the CWA with highest amounts above 1500' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Saw that, Will see if the nam follows, Heading to bridgton? In my dreams. I still think wagons N up in the Mahoosucs over to the Whites and N Greens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 In my dreams. I still think wagons N up in the Mahoosucs over to the Whites and N Greens. Those are the favored areas right now for the heaviest snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 NAM looks very nice for NNE...of course the one flipping week I'm not there....wtffffffffff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 NNE ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 NNE ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Wow, this is looking more and more significant for central New England with every model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Now the question is, when will the trend stop? Another 50 miles please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 HELLUVA snow storm for NNE...probably 12-18" but its the 18z NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On the 18z nam, at hour 39 (9z weds), is that a sleet sounding for ORH? Or would that be just plain rain? It looks like MHT north would pick up a few hours of snow quickly going to mostly snow. Good run for dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Wow, this is looking more and more significant for central New England with every model run lol...all snow here on the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 lol...all snow here on the NAM? Damn close if not, looks like a breif change here then back to thumping.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Kevin> Another day of trends like this and we can lock up 4-8" lollies to 10"> Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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