dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I think it is on crack. The euro maps have the 850-700 line over your head at 06z Wednesday. It moves to near IZG by 09z, so the warmth does try to come in aloft, despite 850 temps below 0C. I wonder if good vvs can win out for a couple of hours though. Yeah....I think that will be the downfall here. Like I said last night, I'd take 1-2" and run. It wouldn't shock me to see an inch followed by some pings and then plain rain. There's a couple more days to go...maybe it can shift S with the H7 low a little more as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Well--I'll take a cold rain over a sunny torch. Maybe a few flakes during the wee hours of the morning prior to them being washed into oblivion. Double whammy hit based on latitude and longitude. SR ftw. I'm curious to see how the rn/sn lines up toward the Maine coast. 41.3/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 They seem awfully bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Those are some nice probabilities for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 SREFs better than I thought. Not buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 SREFs better than I thought. Not buying it 'Salright, Dave - I bought enough for the both of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Sunday River crushed on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 'Salright, Dave - I bought enough for the both of us. Lol. Looks better for you. Mashed potatoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 AMOUT this thing has come waayyy south and is going to drop backside snow on much of SNE.. Wait watch and enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 SREFs seem a little too bullish imo, but we'll see what models do today. Still think central and nrn ME is the place for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 'Salright, Dave - I bought enough for the both of us. You could go into the black market with what you've amassed in those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 AMOUT this thing has come waayyy south and is going to drop backside snow on much of SNE.. Wait watch and enjoy watching the SR webcam. :weenie: It's going to be scooting out of here before there's any room for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Nice overnight shifts on the models, Looks like they are starting to match up with what the ensembles had for a track, 12z should be interesting today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Went to bed thinking maybe a coating of snow before wash out rain up here but now I seem to be in a pretty good spot. Awaiting the 12Z's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 09z SREFS look like they went south again with the low track for weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 12z Nam @ hr 30 is a litte south and east of 06z @ hr 36.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 09z SREFS look like they went south again with the low track for weds LOL, way south. Wow. The problem down here is that we have no cold to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 09z SREFS look like they went south again with the low track for weds ASOUT..Whtie on the turkey in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 LOL, way south. Wow. The problem down here is that we have no cold to work with. Op is further south and east as well going towards the srefs, Yeah i don't think it will help you guys other then on the backside but its making here more interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 ASOUT..Whtie on the turkey in SNE I think you see some on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I think you see some on the backend I don't know...the 850 level is really torched on some of the models. We'd have to make sure the low really bombs out in order to drop the cold down. Even the euro was meh on backside stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I think you see some on the backend 1-3 seems like a good bet for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 If the euro can go south and gets its act together quicker, it might offer the chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 1-3 seems like a good bet for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I don't know...the 850 level is really torched on some of the models. We'd have to make sure the low really bombs out in order to drop the cold down. Even the euro was meh on backside stuff. Thats my battle here, I start off cold and then the 850's gets pushed NW of me here while the surface looks to remain marginally cold could start as snow and flip to IP/RN then maybe back to some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Things have been trending south with the surface and 850 low, but getting the cold air aloft to meet the moisture is another problem from about EC NY to C NE. At 36 hrs on the NAM the 0C line is just about to ALB If the euro can go south and gets its act together quicker, it might offer the chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I put the chances of see accumulating snow IMBY in Keene at 15% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 It's too bad we can't get that nrn stream s/w in Canada to really phase and bomb the low se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Things have been trending south with the surface and 850 low, but getting the cold air aloft to meet the moisture is another problem from about EC NY to C NE. At 36 hrs on the NAM the 0C line is just about to ALB If that high over us was just a little stronger 1035-1040mb and was not retreating we could drain this cold air further south and hold it in here longer to set up a pretty good battle zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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