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November 23 - Storm Threat


powderfreak

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Just going to comment that the 0z Nam keeps bumping up rather then cutting back qpf, Its .25" up in a lot of areas here from 18z...

it moved about 10 miles north with the heavier stuff.

still skimpy on the northern edges compared to other guidance. radar shows echoes moving steadily towards ottawa, which should mean good things for Northernmost VT as well.

SREFs snow probs bumped up across MTL with >4 inches downtown tickling the 75% range now.

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GFS is a smidge colder this run. All snow here through 12z with about 1.00" QPF.

I think I end up with about 0.50"-0.75" as snow and then a good 0.25" as sleet. 9:1 ratios for the snow give me 4-6" and then an additional 3:1 of sleet for another 1" is a total of 5-7". Time for sleep...I'll be up early.

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