dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Haha yeah... then we can continue a conversation with ourselves I love how if this were progged 150 miles further south at this point, on a Sunday night, this thread would have 150 users in it... growing pages of posts by the second. With people weenie-ing out in front of football and models... instead its just 3 of us or so. Yeah, your right but some still have one eye on this thread....lol, Actually having a good week football pool wise only 2 losses so far and watching the Chi/SD game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Haha yeah... then we can continue a conversation with ourselves I love how if this were progged 150 miles further south at this point, on a Sunday night, this thread would have 150 users in it... growing pages of posts by the second. With people weenie-ing out in front of football and models... instead its just 3 of us or so. So true. I'm still in here hoping for a huge shift south that gives me 1-2" before the flip or some snow showers at the end...which probably doesn't have a good shot of happening at all. But if it could...that probably means good things for you as you would be all snow and a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 So true. I'm still in here hoping for a huge shift south that gives me 1-2" before the flip or some snow showers at the end...which probably doesn't have a good shot of happening at all. But if it could...that probably means good things for you as you would be all snow and a lot of it. Well, Earlier this week a few of the models had the low tracking SE of NJ off the coast, But i don't believe we would see that drastic of a shift unless the northern stream craps out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 So true. I'm still in here hoping for a huge shift south that gives me 1-2" before the flip or some snow showers at the end...which probably doesn't have a good shot of happening at all. But if it could...that probably means good things for you as you would be all snow and a lot of it. I'd mostly be interested in seeing some snow at the end to make for a White Thanksgiving. Its a bit bitter sweet anyway because of the monster torch coming right on the heels of this system. The October snow pack would have lasted longer than anything that falls in this one if we managed some snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'd mostly be interested in seeing some snow at the end to make for a White Thanksgiving. Its a bit bitter sweet anyway because of the monster torch coming right on the heels of this system. The October snow pack would have lasted longer than anything that falls in this one if we managed some snow out of it. Yeah but it would be nice just to see some snow again...I know it won't last even with an average 44-45F air mass this time of year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'd mostly be interested in seeing some snow at the end to make for a White Thanksgiving. Its a bit bitter sweet anyway because of the monster torch coming right on the heels of this system. The October snow pack would have lasted longer than anything that falls in this one if we managed some snow out of it. I'm in that camp. Who cares about front end if it's going to get washed away. Very low confidence in this thing though. All-out-torch contineus this evening. 56.8/45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I was looking at the 15z srefs and they certainly don't agree with the Nam as they are quite a bit south of the Nam with the low track, But i think we are outside there usefulness right now but will watch these as well over the next day or two If the SREFs are south then they are definitely within their useful range. Tamarack and Toot may get blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'm in that camp. Who cares about front end if it's going to get washed away. Very low confidence in this thing though. All-out-torch contineus this evening. 56.8/45 Agreed... back end or bust... ...wait, that sounds funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 If the SREFs are south then they are definitely within their useful range. Tamarack and Toot may get blasted. I'm thinking of a snow rain snow deal here if trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Agreed... I want it in my back end or bust... ...wait, that sounds funny Brokeback western mass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 If the SREFs are south then they are definitely within their useful range. Tamarack and Toot may get blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Agreed... back end or bust... ...wait, that sounds funny Um----yes it does. Meanwhile, with Maine being in the best spot (I think), I would think that the higher points of northern ORH county would be in the best spot amongst the SNE crowd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Got to go with the model that shows the best scenario rule........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Hope NNE gets blasted even if it melts away, would be sweet to experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Hope NNE gets blasted even if it melts away, would be sweet to experience. Hopefully some up this way should Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 21z srefs track the weds low east thru Pennsylvnia and over the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 21z srefs track the weds low east thru Pennsylvnia and over the benchmark I (heart) SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I (heart) SREFs. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 21z srefs track the weds low east thru Pennsylvnia and over the benchmark What are the temps like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 What are the temps like? Warm down your way, H85 +4c, Better up here 0/-4c up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'm almost into the 25% for 8"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'm almost into the 25% for 8"+. Verbatim on the srefs is that for before the change to rain or after the change back to snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I'm almost into the 25% for 8"+. Me to........ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Verbatim on the srefs is that for before the change to rain or after the change back to snow... That's on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 21z srefs track the weds low east thru Pennsylvnia and over the benchmark Need more cold air for down here. Being just below the vt border I hVe some latitude in my favor, but it's going to be ugly down here I fear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Verbatim on the srefs is that for before the change to rain or after the change back to snow... Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Yes. No, it's a 12 hour prob so it would be for one of the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 21z RSM on ewall pretty much skirts the 850 0C isotherm over my head, but it never really makes it north of me. Its ensembles make up part of the SREFs. Hopefully the NAM shifts a little south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 0z Nam at 36 looks further south then 18z at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Hvy hvy SREFs. I haven't checked, but if the NOGAPS is a strike I'm calling it a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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