OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Could end up being a massive sleet storm for someone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Nam clown maps match up well with the SREFS prob map.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 12z MM5 cut back on QPF a good bit across central and northern New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 12z MM5 cut back on QPF a good bit across central and northern New England Faster by at least 4 hours or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 I'm all for getting the storm, but what a waste, when it;ll be all gone by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Could end up being a massive sleet storm for someone Yeah we still have to be a little wary of how far north that taint line near 800mb goes. It's also possible the precip gets a little more showery in nature, across southern areas as the DS approaches, but I'd like to see how the 12z euro handles that. GFS kind of suggested it. The problem is that even a 90-120 minute difference in whether or not someone flips could mean a 3-4" difference in amounts. That's quite a bit. I'm back and forth for areas like Dendrite. It looks like he could get a good front end thump, but the sleet line may move north and temporarily hang out near him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 I'm all for getting the storm, but what a waste, when it;ll be all gone by next week. Chillax and enjoy it, It will count in the end for totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Could end up being a massive sleet storm for someone Seems like that would be me, im about two miles south of CON. Honestly though there's no way I can complain after getting my 22.5 inches in that pre halloween storm. The way I see it I'm good til at least January, had that not happened different story. It would still be nice to pick up a warning criteria event but not confident on whether I get 6", a bunch of sleet, or just rain. Good luck to those who missed out on the best of the last big storm up in NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Seems like that would be me, im about two miles south of CON. Honestly though there's no way I can complain after getting my 22.5 inches in that pre halloween storm. The way I see it I'm good til at least January, had that not happened different story. It would still be nice to pick up a warning criteria event but not confident on whether I get 6", a bunch of sleet, or just rain. Good luck to those who missed out on the best of the last big storm up in NNE Profiles very sleety for you. Somewhere between Hampton and Raymond appears to be where the transition from liquid to frozen is going to be for southeastern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Profiles very sleety for you. Somewhere between Hampton and Raymond appears to be where the transition from liquid to frozen is going to be for southeastern NH. So those were your WSW's that surprised me when I woke up this morning huh? Very tough call like you had said earlier, I'd be a bit worried whether or not they'll verify but with all the traveling going on it's good for people to be aware. Sounds reasonable for this time of year that theI frozen precip wouldnt make it much further than raymond, Hampton might be tough but your the pro. I don't have as much invested as those further north than me do either. Besides haven't had a good sleet storm in years and I believe it counts toward the total snowfall for this winter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 1-2 inches of slap in the face snow here looks likely slap in the face because here are the numbers 3. november 22, 1994 2. november 23, 2011 it appears 1. november 26, 1902 those are the dates for latest snowfalls ever observed in montreal. looks like we will come up a few days short of the record for an inch of snow that will melt a day later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Let's start rolling out the HRRR.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Let's start rolling out the HRRR.... Any map updates Sam or are you good for what you have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Any map updates Sam or are you good for what you have? This is what I sent out this morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Euro's rolling out now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 This is what I sent out this morning: Looks right, Did not catch it earlier, Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Looks right, Did not catch it earlier, Thanks Thanks. I didn't get around to posting it this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Yeah we still have to be a little wary of how far north that taint line near 800mb goes. It's also possible the precip gets a little more showery in nature, across southern areas as the DS approaches, but I'd like to see how the 12z euro handles that. GFS kind of suggested it. The problem is that even a 90-120 minute difference in whether or not someone flips could mean a 3-4" difference in amounts. That's quite a bit. I'm back and forth for areas like Dendrite. It looks like he could get a good front end thump, but the sleet line may move north and temporarily hang out near him. Check out the SPC WRF. This is kind of what I mean. Notice the big front end thump and then by 14Z, the precip gets showery in southern areas. But look up near IZG, see how those steadier bands persist? That's the mid level frontogenesis and deformation in that area. That's where the big amounts will be..where ever that sets up...and I like that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Thanks. I didn't get around to posting it this morning Nice map Sam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Euro coming in slightly colder at the surface here and a little more qpf or the same as 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Euro coming in slightly colder at the surface here and a little more qpf or the same as 0z.. Locking in 8-12 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Euro looks a smidge cooler at 850mb, especially in NH. Still don't know why sw NH has nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Locking in 8-12 here. I was generous i gave you the same as me 10-14" me on the higher end you in between.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Euro looks a smidge cooler at 850mb, especially in NH. Still don't know why sw NH has nothing. Strange, They should.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Still think near IZG and points ENE may be the winners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Qpf bumped north on the euro some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Still think near IZG and points ENE may be the winners. Great track for us here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Here in the Plymouth NH area storm will take people by surprise. I spoke to several people this AM and they said really? Channel 9, the local NH station really downplayed any possible accumulations except in the mountains on the newscast last night. Contractors took their plows off again after the October storm and one guy I spoke to said even if we get any snow they said it will be warm this weekend and it will melt. I was thinking 2-4" yesterday and 3-7" last night but with the Euro a bit colder I think 6-12" is now possible. By the way some of the local plow made snowpiles from the October storm are still around. I had wondered if they would make it and they have. Looks like out temp is topping out now with high clouds moving in. 41F. DP 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Here in the Plymouth NH area storm will take people by surprise. I spoke to several people this AM and they said really? Channel 9, the local NH station really downplayed any possible accumulations except in the mountains on the newscast last night. Contractors took their plows off again after the October storm and one guy I spoke to said even if we get any snow they said it will be warm this weekend and it will melt. I was thinking 2-4" yesterday and 3-7" last night but with the Euro a bit colder I think 6-12" is now possible. By the way some of the local plow made snowpiles from the October storm are still around. I had wondered if they would make it and they have. Looks like out temp is topping out now with high clouds moving in. 41F. DP 22F You thinking you will stay all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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