moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 They looked good on the euro too...iirc it might have gotten touchy above 850. But yeah from them maybe up to Sunday River/ Rangeley and ENE through Bingham area look nice. Should avoid a DS for now, and maybe get into the backside band as this moves ENE. All good stuff. I knew we should have held onto the Bethel place. 34.6/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Kiss me, HPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Kiss me, HPC 40% line south.....AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Kiss me, HPC I think they may have copied Sam's map...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 They looked good on the euro too...iirc it might have gotten touchy above 850. But yeah from them maybe up to Sunday River/ Rangeley and ENE through Bingham area look nice. Should avoid a DS for now, and maybe get into the backside band as this moves ENE. Would be a great couple of days in Newry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 They looked good on the euro too...iirc it might have gotten touchy above 850. But yeah from them maybe up to Sunday River/ Rangeley and ENE through Bingham area look nice. Should avoid a DS for now, and maybe get into the backside band as this moves ENE. Mahoosuc Range will cash in with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 They looked good on the euro too...iirc it might have gotten touchy above 850. But yeah from them maybe up to Sunday River/ Rangeley and ENE through Bingham area look nice. Should avoid a DS for now, and maybe get into the backside band as this moves ENE. I like that line a lot. I think IZG does well on the front end too, before any tainting aloft comes into play. A lot of the area may do well on the front end. I actually had to tweak southwestern New Hampshire totals down some because it was hitting the front end too hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I like that line a lot. I think IZG does well on the front end too, before any tainting aloft comes into play. A lot of the area may do well on the front end. I actually had to tweak southwestern New Hampshire totals down some because it was hitting the front end too hard. Always wanted to ask you. Were you born in RI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Always wanted to ask you. Were you born in RI? Born in BVY, but raised in RI since the age of 2. So for all intents and purposes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Interesting that there hasn't been any references to the GFS beating the EC with this. I'd say it had the better idea than the Euro's amped up version of things. 34.9/20 gfs never gets any credit. its the everyday man of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Not a bad shot at all. I'd probably nudge it n by 20 miles or so. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 I think I agree. Maybe the N. Conway-Tamworth area may be the SW extent of the heaviest axis. What's your feeling for here? Looks like I'm right on the sharp gradient...I could see 1-2" or 4-7" depending on how things break. It's close. You are probably 20-30 miles from 1-2" or 4-7....lol. I suppose with the slight south tick in guidance, you could at least get a few inches..maybe 3-5 if things break right? However, you have to watch out for that last minute tick nw. This time of year still has some pretty warm air to play with, so that warm tongue near 800mb may get pretty far north and ruin the party. At least the s/w to our north is helping to push this south, which may help out that last minute tick nw. I would wait until 00z to gauge the trend, but you are on the line for a while on much of the guidance. a 20 mile tick south would do a lot. It could mean the difference between 2" and 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 I like that line a lot. I think IZG does well on the front end too, before any tainting aloft comes into play. A lot of the area may do well on the front end. I actually had to tweak southwestern New Hampshire totals down some because it was hitting the front end too hard. Yeah big time front thumpage for sure. It may be a QPF bomb for a 6hr time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Latest SREFs have come in a bit warmer so it appears we're done with the cooling trend. Lots of snow for tamarack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 NAM at 18z was sweet for Central and Northern Vermont as well as Northeast Upstate NY through NH and ME. High thickness snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Latest SREFs have come in a bit warmer so it appears we're done with the cooling trend. Lots of snow for tamarack. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 AWT Enjoy your rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Enjoy your rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Enjoy your rain. I was resigned to it from the start...enjoy your 2" of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 The nam is really juiced up over 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 This is a thump event. I would not be suprised if the rain snow line started further south than expected and then moved further north than expected. Maryland had one of these December 9th 2009. Started as snow with the strong lift on the front end. Eventually went over to rain and all of it melted. Edit: Wow, new Nam really shows heavy Precip on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 The nam is really juiced up over 18z think I would get in big trouble with Momma if I took an unscheduled road trip TDAY week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 The nam is really juiced up over 18z Looks like it flips me to sleet between 36-39hr.33-42hr is nuts for NNE. 2-3"/hr despite lousy ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Really good CAD at 850mb on the NAM, but there is a big warm punch at 750mb....It looks really good for N NH over to like Rumford ME and Sunday River and even a little south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 think I would get in big trouble with Momma if I took an unscheduled road trip TDAY week? I am sure she would understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 IZG would be a nice spot on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Man I am tempted, sick day Wed, skiing Thursday. Gonna think about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 IZG would be a nice spot on the NAM. Foothills look to get smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Huge sleet fest for southern NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 22, 2011 Share Posted November 22, 2011 Man, N VT gets crushed. It's clockwork. I leave, they get smoked. Hopefully there'll be some more of these events between 11/27 and 12/16!! Good for the local ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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