Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:19 PM, CT Blizz said: 1-3 seems like a good bet for now what's happening to you?? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 So much for the temps near 60 that some stations had with south winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:29 PM, CoastalWx said: So much for the temps near 60 that some stations had with south winds. cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Its going to be close here in the 850's with the 546dm just to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I personally think the best hope for flakes would be as the initial surge of really good stuff pushes in overnight tomorrow night and 850 temps are within a degree of 0C from ALB to CON.... It could temporarily cool the column enough for a surprise thump of snow someplace for several hours. I don't see where it reforms and winds up enough for much on the backside except maybe into Maine. Though once north of a GFL, RUT, LEB line in may be mostly snow.....that's a northern NE thread situation. On 11/21/2011 at 2:25 PM, wxwatcher91 said: I put the chances of see accumulating snow IMBY in Keene at 15% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:31 PM, Dryslot said: cold rain Could possibly get warm near the south coast, but I don't think it makes it to BOS...at least that's my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 That's why I said ...this happened in middle December it's a nice overunning snow for most of us ALB to NH and north. On 11/21/2011 at 2:28 PM, Dryslot said: If that high over us was just a little stronger 1035-1040mb and was not retreating we could drain this cold air further south and hold it in here longer to set up a pretty good battle zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Western Maine mtns and central section gets pounded on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:36 PM, Logan11 said: That's why I said ...this happened in middle December it's a nice overunning snow for most of us ALB to NH and north. Yeah, Its just a month to soon for a lot of folks, But if we see this setup in Dec this will be like 07-08 again up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:37 PM, Dryslot said: Western Maine mtns and central section gets pounded on this run Making up for getting left out of the 10/30 party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 I see the NAM does have some backside flakes here in ENY now after 57 hours. Probably just hill areas like this and not the HV. ....Then wraps into NE.... On 11/21/2011 at 2:42 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Making up for getting left out of the 10/30 party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Nice. Dryslot for SNE on the 12z NAM. I'd feel pretty good right about now if I were in the Mahoosucs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Well the NAM is a whole lot closer to what we want. More of a phase, and actually closing off at 700mb. Little earlier and shift south a bit, and we're good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 NAM gives an inch or two to the nrn ORH hills. Maybe a coating to an inch in other spots..esp higher elevations. A little backside deformation for ern areas perhaps, but who knows with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:45 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM gives an inch or two to the nrn ORH hills. Maybe a coating to an inch in other spots..esp higher elevations. A little backside deformation for ern areas perhaps, but who knows with the NAM. Its getting close to a real good solution in the southern part of the state just a couple tics away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:42 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Making up for getting left out of the 10/30 party. In the end, They always manage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Watch the GFS blast it up the St Lawrence River Valley. Cold rain and bakside snow is a hell of a lot better than a 50 degree rainstorm in late November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Well it would still warm sector Joe, but he likes that. On 11/21/2011 at 2:45 PM, CoastalWx said: NAM gives an inch or two to the nrn ORH hills. Maybe a coating to an inch in other spots..esp higher elevations. A little backside deformation for ern areas perhaps, but who knows with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2011 Author Share Posted November 21, 2011 Man that 12z NAM is tasty... wow that looks good for the higher terrain up here straight across NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:51 PM, CT Blizz said: Watch the GFS blast it up the St Lawrence River Valley. Cold rain and bakside snow is a hell of a lot better than a 50 degree rainstorm in late November. Of course, but it's not really a lock right now. I'd like to see that second s/w phase better and blow up the low to the east and not have it gain much latitude. I'm hoping for some flakes as well. Euro actually might argue for a brief end to snow for some...very brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 You guys should be able to run the snow guns non stop until the natural gold begins falling from the sky. Maybe things go to hell starting Friday, but so you have a weekend of Spring snow skiing in Nov. then. On 11/21/2011 at 2:52 PM, powderfreak said: Man that 12z NAM is tasty... wow that looks good for the higher terrain up here straight across NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:52 PM, powderfreak said: Man that 12z NAM is tasty... wow that looks good for the higher terrain up here straight across NNE. You look good verbatium on this nam run, Its close here but getting better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2011 Author Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 2:35 PM, Logan11 said: I personally think the best hope for flakes would be as the initial surge of really good stuff pushes in overnight tomorrow night and 850 temps are within a degree of 0C from ALB to CON.... It could temporarily cool the column enough for a surprise thump of snow someplace for several hours. I don't see where it reforms and winds up enough for much on the backside except maybe into Maine. Though once north of a GFL, RUT, LEB line in may be mostly snow.....that's a northern NE thread situation. Hey! I don't see anything in this thread title that says SNE only. I know what you mean, Rick... just bustin' your ballz. Us NNE'ers only get one thread to speak in out of the threads the pop up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 nam would be a nice "wintry" (and very windy at the shore) turkey day...actually has some accumulating snow for Pete and maybe even over to Will...and flakes right to the coast. not sure i buy it but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 Rangeley Lakes area of Maine is destroyed on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 3:03 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: nam would be a nice "wintry" (and very windy at the shore) turkey day...actually has some accumulating snow for Pete and maybe even over to Will...and flakes right to the coast. not sure i buy it but who knows. Yeah it brings some wrap around into ern areas. Would like to see other guidance show it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 3:03 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: nam would be a nice "wintry" (and very windy at the shore) turkey day...actually has some accumulating snow for Pete and maybe even over to Will...and flakes right to the coast. not sure i buy it but who knows. Come to Papa. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 3:03 PM, CoastalWx said: Rangeley Lakes area of Maine is destroyed on the NAM. skierinvermont better make his way over to saddleback... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 That's ok. I was forgetting this is just a general storm thread. Technically I'm not even in NE period, but unfortunately the Upstate side is 99% dead still. They only wake up when LES threatens. I think Upstate NY has about 6 million people so you'd think we'd be more active. SNE is just an incredible wx weenie hotbed per capita. It all started in '94 when Todd Gross started the ne.weather..... On 11/21/2011 at 2:59 PM, powderfreak said: Hey! I don't see anything in this thread title that says SNE only. I know what you mean, Rick... just bustin' your ballz. Us NNE'ers only get one thread to speak in out of the threads the pop up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2011 Share Posted November 21, 2011 On 11/21/2011 at 3:04 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it brings some wrap around into ern areas. Would like to see other guidance show it too. Holds back some moisture for SE areas, A few runs have showed this, When it was further north it did it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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