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Wow..New Eurotrash clobbers Lakes Region Late Thanksgiving weekend

wxhstn74

By wxhstn74,
in Lakes/Ohio Valley

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

Flood Warning for the Wabash. Fairly rapid rise from 9.3 to 18.7 feet at the Lafayette gauge.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR

THE WABASH RIVER AT LAFAYETTE.

* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.

* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND

CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.

* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING COVERS SR 225 FROM JUST NORTH OF STAIR ROAD

TO JUST SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE OVER THE WABASH RIVER. TIPPECANOE CR

950 W SOUTH CR 75 S IS COMPLETELY FLOODED FROM THE WABASH

BOTTOMS...JANSSEN TRACT AREA TO WARREN CR 350 N IN THE BLACK ROCK

PERSERVE AREA...A DISTANCE OF NEARLY 1.5 MILES. FOUR RESIDENCES ON

HIGH GROUND ALONG CR 950 W CAN NOT ACCESS CR 950 W BY LAND

VEHICLES. FLOOD WATERS APPROACHING SR 43...LOCAL ROADS IN THE

GRANVILLE BRIDGE AREA AND BARTON BEACH ROAD.

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KeenerWx

KeenerWx

Posted
Posted

Evansville. Ripping. :wub:

SPECI KEVV 291638Z 27003KT 1/4SM +SN FG VV005 01/M01 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE02SNB02 P0014 $

According to SPC mesoanalysis, we are below 0 at 850 and 925...

Can't imagine it will be too long before we see some snow whistle.gif

EDIT: LOL, look at the precip type map Brandon just posted. Figures.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

According to SPC mesoanalysis, we are below 0 at 850 and 925...

Can't imagine it will be too long before we see some snow whistle.gif

Decent cool off on my thermometer, now under 37º, sitting at 36.7º. Rain drops look bigger. Baby steps. :lol:

EDIT: we got PL at LAF as do I here: METAR KLAF 291654Z 02013G18KT 2 1/2SM PLRA OVC013 02/02 A2980 RMK AO2 PLB50 SLP093 P0009 T00220022 $

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Hoosier

Hoosier

Posted
Posted

At this point I would extend the 6+ area southward to Kokomo/Marion and go with 6-10" locally higher from there northward through IN and into MI. I don't think we'll have much of a problem seeing double digit totals at least in isolated fashion. As for LAF, I'm glad I didn't go higher than 2-4". I guess I'm leaning toward the lower end at this point but this is a rapidly evolving situation. We'll see what happens.

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TheWeatherPimp

TheWeatherPimp

Posted
Posted

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2365

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1102 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN INDIANA...FAR NWRN OHIO AND EXTREME SRN

LOWER MICHIGAN

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 291702Z - 292100Z

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SWITCH TO SNOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...FIRST IN

CENTRAL AND INTO NRN INDIANA...THEN NWD INTO FAR SRN LOWER MICHIGAN

AROUND MID AFTERNOON. A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN

THE CHANGEOVER...WITH SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 1 INCH/HOUR THEREAFTER.

VERY DEEP UPPER LOW WAS SITUATED OVER KENTUCKY AND IS FORECAST TO

SHIFT NNEWD INTO OHIO THIS AFTERNOON. INTENSE WARM ADVECTION BETWEEN

650-750 MB WAS OCCURRING WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL/SRN INDIANA

AND WILL BE SHIFTING NWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER CYCLONE.

ALSO...THE NWD SHIFT OF THE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN COOLING OF THE

ENTIRE VERTICAL COLUMN...AIDING IN RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FROM SOUTH

TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW

CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS DEVELOPING ON THE NORTH END OF THE WARM

ADVECTION...WITH A RECENT LIGHTNING STRIKE IN FAR NWRN OH. FORECAST

SOUNDINGS THIS AFTERNOON ALSO SHOW WEAK INSTABILITY BETWEEN 600-350

MB. GIVEN THE MOIST WINTER ENVIRONMENT...PWAT VALUES NEAR .75

INCH...STRONG LIFTING...PLUS THE EXPECTATION FOR AT LEAST WEAK

CONVECTION...SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 1 INCH/HOUR SHOULD DEVELOP THIS

AFTERNOON ACROSS NRN INDIANA...AND INTO FAR SRN LOWER MICHIGAN BY

21-22Z.

..IMY.. 11/29/2011

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

At this point I would extend the 6+ area southward to Kokomo/Marion and go with 6-10" locally higher from there northward through IN and into MI. I don't think we'll have much of a problem seeing double digit totals at least in isolated fashion. As for LAF, I'm glad I didn't go higher than 2-4". I guess I'm leaning toward the lower end at this point but this is a rapidly evolving situation. We'll see what happens.

Yeah looking at things right now, I like my original call of 1-2" for us. And that may end being too aggressive. We'll see. Agreed with your thoughts on the 6"+ area. Going to be a great hit for those areas.

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on_wx

on_wx

Posted
Posted

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

1205 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-

ALLEN IN-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-GRANT-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-

WILLIAMS-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...

ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...

GARRETT...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...

MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...

FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...

GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...

ROANOKE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...COLDWATER...BRONSON...

HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER

1205 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1

AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

* RAIN WILL BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN RAPIDLY SWITCH TO

SNOW. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FROM MID AFTERNOON

INTO EARLY EVENING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER

HOUR POSSIBLE. THUNDERSNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS

PRODUCING LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES. BY EARLY EVENING 3 TO

6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH

HIGHEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 69.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS

EVENING FOR TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES BY LATE TONIGHT.

IMPACTS...

* SNOW WILL INITIALLY MELT ON WARM ROADS...BUT WILL RAPIDLY BEGIN

TO STICK AND ACCUMULATE AS TEMPERATURES FALL...CAUSING SLIPPERY

CONDITIONS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE

AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* HEAVY WET SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING MAY LEAD TO

SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

WELLS-ADAMS-BLACKFORD-JAY-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-PAULDING-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...

HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...WAUSEON...

ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...

PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE

1205 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

..WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM

EST WEDNESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

* RAIN WILL BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN RAPIDLY SWITCH TO

SNOW. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FROM MID AFTERNOON

INTO EARLY EVENING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER

HOUR POSSIBLE. THUNDERSNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS

PRODUCING LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES. BY EARLY EVENING 3 TO

6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH

HIGHEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 69.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS

EVENING FOR TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES BY LATE TONIGHT.

IMPACTS...

* SNOW WILL INITIALLY MELT ON WARM ROADS...BUT WILL RAPIDLY BEGIN

TO STICK AND ACCUMULATE AS TEMPERATURES FALL...CAUSING SLIPPERY

CONDITIONS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE

AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* HEAVY WET SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING MAY LEAD TO

SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

We've got to be so close right now...

The window has temporarily become my best friend.

Just rain at my place now...no PL mixing in. Unfortunately this looks like it's gonna be a close miss for us, relative to the dumping that's look to take place 30 or so miles to the east. I hope it's not the theme of this upcoming winter. :devilsmiley:

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KeenerWx

KeenerWx

Posted
Posted

Just rain at my place now...no PL mixing in. Unfortunately this looks like it's gonna be a close miss for us, relative to the dumping that's look to take place 30 or so miles to the east. I hope it's not the theme of this upcoming winter. :devilsmiley:

Pretty sure we have some sleet over here. I may be wrong, but it definitely sounds like a little sleet...

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snowlord81

snowlord81

Posted
Posted

We've got to be so close right now...

The window has temporarily become my best friend.

Its been snowing huge flakes since about 11:45am here guys. Havent even seen any rain drops since. All snow. I watched the news at noon and the radar showed us still in the green? Odd to say the least. Not sticking yet but nice to see. Hope its here to stay.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

Posted
Posted

Luckily I got to go home and experience GHD. The lake effect really helped us reach the 19"+. Great storm...

I should have gone back home for that one. Stuck it out in LAF for the sleet storm of the century.

Temp down to 36º on my thermometer. Keep dropping baby...

And now back over to PLRA here. Definitely not cooled down enough yet.

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