snowstormcanuck Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Per the latest EURO and GFS, I don't think it's too unreasonable that I may see some soppy wet flakes as things are winding down on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 The rainfall amounts are insane with this system. There will be some serious street flooding in urban areas as leaf piles will clog storm drains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 lol http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays2-10to1.php3?STATIONID=DTX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 MNR flood watches cover all of Southern Ontario right now. Conservation authorities have begun upgrading the watches to advisories in most of southwestern Ontario, the Golden Horseshoe, and the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Essex Region also has a beach erosion advisory along Lake Erie and Lake St. Clair. Current List of advisories. * Central Lake Ontario - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 9:30 am * Credit Valley - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 11:30 am * Essex Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 2:00 pm * Ganaraska Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 11:30 am * Halton - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 12:30 pm * Hamilton - Flood Information Bulletin - November 28, 2011 3:00 pm * Lake Simcoe Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 9:30 am * St. Clair Region - Watershed Conditions Bulletin - November 28, 2011 4:00 pm * Toronto and Region - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 2:00 pm * Upper Thames River - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 3:30 pm http://www.mnr.gov.o...age/239496.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 lol http://wxcaster.com/...3?STATIONID=DTX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Yea. If the 0z NAM comes out and confirms this (un-likely) there will be anarchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Ahh, forgot you guys are eastern. http://www.weatherof...st/index_e.html thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 MNR flood watches cover all of Southern Ontario right now. Conservation authorities have begun upgrading the watches to advisories in most of southwestern Ontario, the Golden Horseshoe, and the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Essex Region also has a beach erosion advisory along Lake Erie and Lake St. Clair. Current List of advisories. * Central Lake Ontario - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 9:30 am * Credit Valley - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 11:30 am * Essex Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 2:00 pm * Ganaraska Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 11:30 am * Halton - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 12:30 pm * Hamilton - Flood Information Bulletin - November 28, 2011 3:00 pm * Lake Simcoe Region - Flood Advisory - November 28, 2011 9:30 am * St. Clair Region - Watershed Conditions Bulletin - November 28, 2011 4:00 pm * Toronto and Region - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 2:00 pm * Upper Thames River - High Water Safety Bulletin - November 28, 2011 3:30 pm http://www.mnr.gov.o...age/239496.html Thanks for that link. Quirky that EC doesn't deal with hydrology like the NWS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Yea. If the 0z NAM comes out and confirms this (un-likely) there will be anarchy. You never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 lol http://wxcaster.com/...3?STATIONID=DTX 10"+ in Sterling Hts.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 10"+ in Sterling Hts.............. LOL.. Heaven! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Not our area , but of interest anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Not our area , but of interest anyway I have a friend between Jackson and Memphis and he already had 3" 3 hours ago, this storm down there is overperforming big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I have a friend between Jackson and Memphis and he already had 3" 3 hours ago, this storm down there is overperforming big time. We all knew this was coming but its still weird to see the deep south get their first WSW's before many of us... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CSTTUESDAY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN717 PM CST MON NOV 28 2011... EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM AFFECTING MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH....A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE FROM NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPITO MIDDLE TENNESSEE OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD FALLACROSS SOUTHERN WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. SNOWWILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM LIFTS INTO THE OHIOVALLEY. From a point and click in MS Total nighttime now accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 We all knew this was coming but its still weird to see the deep south get their first WSW's before many of us... Actually it seems thats been happening a lot lately. Some place in a location that rarely sees snow getting a ridiculously early snowfall, before many in the north. Happened each of the last 3 years or so I believe. Right on track....for another snowy winter here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Actually it seems thats been happening a lot lately. Some place in a location that rarely sees snow getting a ridiculously early snowfall, before many in the north. Happened each of the last 3 years or so I believe. Right on track....for another snowy winter here This, another example is that the Texas Panhandle has already had snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Looks as if the NAM is colder... pretty much the same track though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 NAM looks pretty sweet from hours 21 to 27, basically setting up the deformation zone over LAF. Probably not all snow, but there's got to be some in there somewhere. Hopefully... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Very tight/intense defo band, further west than the 18Z run, which makes sense given the 500mb placement compared to the 18Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Congrats. Looks like potential 6-12 inches for your area into Michigan. lol, no. Well someone in Michigan has a chance at that I suppose. A couple o' inches will be our best case here in LAF. Most of it is rain down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Wettest run yet of the NAM for here, totaling 2.67" liquid. Man the life boats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Wettest run of the NAM for here, totaling 2.67" liquid. Man the life boats. will this do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 will this do? That will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Looking at soundings, GUS, OKK, and FWA looks nice on the NAM. I'd almost hedge and say 4"+ are possible in those spots, but I don't want to jinx anyone. Low levels still too warm here. Sticking with my 1-2" thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Looking at soundings, GUS, OKK, and FWA looks nice on the NAM. I'd almost hedge and say 4"+ are possible in those spots, but I don't want to jinx anyone. Low levels still too warm here. Sticking with my 1-2" thoughts. My call is 1-3" but as I told someone, I wouldn't be shocked if I received nothing or if we had 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 My call is 1-3" but as I told someone, I wouldn't be shocked if I received nothing or if we had 6". Safe call. I'd say you're closer to getting 6" than nothing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Local WRF changes up over to snow around 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Local WRF changes up over to snow around 18z tomorrow. Very nice. Looking good up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I thought i locked in the 18z Nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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