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Wow..New Eurotrash clobbers Lakes Region Late Thanksgiving weekend

wxhstn74

By wxhstn74,
in Lakes/Ohio Valley

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michsnowfreak

michsnowfreak

Posted
Posted

FWIW

and....

funky looking map from TWC, don't see this TOO often

map_spectrop06_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg

funky indeed. Que the annual gripe "{insert southern city} is getting accumulating snow before {my northern city}". seems like each year lately someone in the south gets a weird early snow (which ends up their only snow). Everything is right on track for another nice winter imo :)

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Thunder Road

Thunder Road

Posted
Posted

If nothing else, it's been fun to watch the evolution of this thing. From the first inclination that the initial s/w might leave a piece of energy behind to the second piece becoming the big story.

Although I am happy that the NAM appears to be slightly cooler. I'm curious to see with the hi-res models do at 12z, if they stay as warm as they were last night or if they too cool off.

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Thunder Road

Thunder Road

Posted
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There's one hour at VPZ with <0 C temps all the way down to *slightly above* 950 mb, and a 2m temp of 36.6. And 0.41" during that 3-hour interval.

It's going to be close. I feel like I'm going to be staring out the window for several hours tomorrow afternoon/night, watching and waiting.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

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Thats the worst looking clown map so far for my area. 1-2 inches. You gotta believe just by looking at it this could be a quirky situation. IDK what to think. I would be happy with 2 inches. Hopefully alot of us in Indiana and Michigan can cash in.

It's going to be hard IMO to have faith in any one solution right now. Too many variables to figure out. Probably going to be a true nowcast scenario...hopefully for the better for a lot of us.

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Thunder Road

Thunder Road

Posted
Posted

12z GFS is ever so slightly west compared to the 0z.

SLP is over Lake Erie north of CLE at hr 36, versus over PGH at hr 48 of the 0z. Although the exact placement of the "L" on the map doesn't matter all that much anyway since it is still somewhat elongated. Maybe a little less baggy this time around.

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Chicago WX

Chicago WX

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I think at this point, I'm going to ride Hoosier's coat tails and go with 1-2" possible for LAF. Heavier amounts as you go east and north. It's a low confidence guess, but what the heck.

Updated zone forecast for Tippecanoe County is good enough for me.

Tuesday Night...Breezy. Snow and chance of rain. Light snow accumulations. Lows around 30. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

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