Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Even you LAF boys have your 0.1". Frozen water is a vexing mistress. But I'll save the ranting until after Christmas. Ha, yeah Christmas would be a good ranting benchmark date. Don't think you'll be doing it though (good enough December precludes that)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Ha, yeah Christmas would be a good ranting benchmark date. Don't think you'll be doing it though (good enough December precludes that)... We'll see. Honestly, despite all the favorable forecasts, I'm kinda bracing myself for a 88-89 type Nina. Irrational I know, but with expectations kept low, I'm not going to be too upset if I only have a handful of inches of snow by January. No ridiculous frustration derived $100 bets this year . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 NYC, Philly already have more snow than me. Soon parts of the deep south will have more snow than me. Ah, this hobby of ours is so.....whatever. It's only November. I'm going to try and not come unhinged so early. This is how I feel. It's difficult, but necessary, to ignore comparisons like these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 I would suspect that DTX might issue a flood watch due to the current system and this future storm. Liquid is the word. Next storm. I feel like you flip flop an awful lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 We'll see. Honestly, despite all the favorable forecasts, I'm kinda bracing myself for a 88-89 type Nina. Irrational I know, but with expectations kept low, I'm not going to be too upset if I only have a handful of inches of snow by January. No ridiculous frustration derived $100 bets this year . 1988-89 followed a Nino winter, bad analog. Plus I thought you were riding 1999-00? We better get back to the task at hand, GFS rolling out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 I feel like you flip flop an awful lot. weather changes. Im leaning on the liquid side ATM. Im not buying too much Into colder solution. The origin of the system and strength might lead me to believe that getting the cold air to produce is a long shot. Btw? Did appsrunner put you up to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 1988-89 followed a Nino winter, bad analog. Plus I thought you were riding 1999-00? We better get back to the task at hand, GFS rolling out... Right you are Tim. Pardon my OT banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Looks like the GFS sets up the comma head snows somewhat further west than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Right you are Tim. Pardon my OT banter. Honestly I haven't followed run-to-run details, but the 0z GFS looks void of any "cold enough" air through 72 hours...slp in SE MI at the same time. Hell of a soaker here as well other spots, combined with tonight/overnight's rains of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Looks like the GFS sets up the comma head snows somewhat further west than the NAM. Holy soaking and bullseye for precip. Gotta love gulf lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Looks like my area would change over around 75 hrs, with a couple/few inches possible, kind of like the NAM but further NW Looks like the GFS sets up the comma head snows somewhat further west than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Looks like the GFS sets up the comma head snows somewhat further west than the NAM. I hope this includes me. The NAM hates Western Michigan...It never has us in the bulls eye (haha...but I guess we aren't often in the bulls eye) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 More soaking rains. Have not had enough of those this fall, lets have another. Yeah weather sucks. Endless 50's and sunshine FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 weather changes. Im leaning on the liquid side ATM. Im not buying too much Into colder solution. The origin of the system and strength might lead me to believe that getting the cold air to produce is a long shot. Btw? Did appsrunner put you up to this? Nope. I just recognize you from accuweather. Old habits die hard, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Nope. I just recognize you from accuweather. Old habits die hard, eh? Your the reason why I dont blog on accuweather... Your little whining instigator. Go whine somewhere else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Your the reason why I dont blog on accuweather... Your little whining instigator. Go whine somewhere else Lol, you. Also it's you're*. Lets get back to weather now, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Hey now, let's quit the accuweather bickering. OT is a good place to get snippy if you feel the need. Cool? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Now you want to talk weather? Or you just want to start trouble.......your a TROLL So a troll based his opinions and facts up with meteorology? Man, if that's the case then just call me 4chan. Seriously though, i have no idea what you're referring to. I left AW long before you stopped posting there. Starting drama on the internet isnt cool, just sayin. Now if you have any more issues you'd like to talk about you can pm me. K thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Hey now, let's quit the accuweather bickering. OT is a good place to get snippy if you feel the need. Cool? You'd look mighty sexy in green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 You'd look mighty sexy in green. Never going to happen. But without Hoosier on board right now, I feel the need to try to get the topic back under a little "control". Not that I'm not guilty myself at taking swipes, but geez... Anyway, 0z GGEM looks amped. Lacking our true cold air connection, but that's pretty clear at this point. Still think NE Indiana and the southern 1/2, 2/3 of lower MI stand the best chance at seeing accumulating snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 So a troll based his opinions and facts up with meteorology? Man, if that's the case then just call me 4chan. Seriously though, i have no idea what you're referring to. I left AW long before you stopped posting there. Starting drama on the internet isnt cool, just sayin. Now if you have any more issues you'd like to talk about you can pm me. K thanks. Lol. STFU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Well now, what a great start Ive gotten off to. Anyways, I always feel as though rain to snow events never pan out quite as they're forecasted. Many times I can recall a changeover supposed to occur and something ends up going haywire. With a lack of a true cold air connection that's definitely in the back of my mind. However, I like that a few models throw some snow our way in SE MI. Crossing my fingers that this ends up being our first snowfall. When do we get into ARW/NMM/RUC/HRRR range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Lol. STFU. Love you too baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Lol. STFU. Seriously. Stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Well now, what a great start Ive gotten off to. Anyways, I always feel as though rain to snow events never pan out quite as they're forecasted. Many times I can recall a changeover supposed to occur and something ends up going haywire. With a lack of a true cold air connection that's definitely in the back of my mind. However, I like that a few models throw some snow our way in SE MI. Crossing my fingers that this ends up being our first snowfall. When do we get into ARW/NMM/RUC/HRRR range? I'll give you that. Rain to snow scenarios are tricky and seem to disappoint more times than not. Especially in marginal situations. Love you too baby Come on, please just let it go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 I'll give you that. Rain to snow scenarios are tricky and seem to disappoint more times than not. Especially in marginal situations. Come on, please just let it go. Definitely. Id love to. Apparently Im not allowed to post here because i somehow trolled someone somewhere a long time ago in never never land or something. Sheesh. But yes, moving on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 weather changes. Im leaning on the liquid side ATM. Im not buying too much Into colder solution. The origin of the system and strength might lead me to believe that getting the cold air to produce is a long shot. Btw? Did appsrunner put you up to this? lol is that really a question? Anyways, GGEM is amped, but I can't really tell what it does, e-wall really screwing things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Quick check of soundings shows mostly rain. very shallow warm layer FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Lost some of my links from last winter. Anyone care to share the link to the canadian precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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