CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I wonder how warm it would be near the coast, even with north winds. No real cold source and you're relying on manufactured cold from above. Maybe some minor acc verbatim. It does have a good CCB, so I suppose a paste job is possible verbatim if that happened. But even if we had a brief flip to snow, I would expect a rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 So, as it stands...Euro NNE, GFS over Pete? NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 I wonder how warm it would be near the coast, even with north winds. No real cold source and you're relying on manufactured cold from above. Maybe some minor acc verbatim. It does have a good CCB, so I suppose a paste job is possible verbatim if that happened. But even if we had a brief flip to snow, I would expect a rain event. I'll be in Princeton for T-day...that would probably be a sloppy couple inches on Thanksgiving there. I'm not buying this mega deep solution yet where it actually redevelops the low to the south, but perhaps it could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Low cuts off and stalls east of the cape then drifts east Hum, how far south into New England do accumulating back snows get? Just nuisence stuff for SNE or several hours of good QPF? Hoping to get something up here in CNE but 12Z GFS looked dismal, I don't get the Euro so have to rely on you guys for what it says. If anyone can give me some details I would appreciate it, have 15 people driving up Thur morning from Boston for the feast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I wonder how warm it would be near the coast, even with north winds. No real cold source and you're relying on manufactured cold from above. Maybe some minor acc verbatim. It does have a good CCB, so I suppose a paste job is possible verbatim if that happened. But even if we had a brief flip to snow, I would expect a rain event. I think it would really help if the secondary development was further south to hold what little cold air there is in as the wind would be more NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Low cuts off and stalls east of the cape then drifts east All because I made a post teasing everyone about how far north the euro is at 96 hrs. Geuss I should watch what I say when the ridge in the NRN plains. It allows for the troff to push east fast. Lake superior to the DEL Marva in 24hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Hum, how far south into New England do accumulating back snows get? Just nuisence stuff for SNE or several hours of good QPF? Hoping to get something up here in CNE but 12Z GFS looked dismal, I don't get the Euro so have to rely on you guys for what it says. If anyone can give me some details I would appreciate it, have 15 people driving up Thur morning from Boston for the feast. Nuisance, It would have to be on the backend in this scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I'll be in Princeton for T-day...that would probably be a sloppy couple inches on Thanksgiving there. I'm not buying this mega deep solution yet where it actually redevelops the low to the south, but perhaps it could happen. It's weird how it does that, the energy really digs in on the backside. Some of the runs have suggested it, but lots of moving parts when you're 5 days out. Still looks like mostly rain, but I wouldn't mind some flakes as I inhale turkey...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Cold and back end snow for many on Thanksgiving per Euro. I want Ray to get it hard in the back end. Just to shut him up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 It's weird how it does that, the energy really digs in on the backside. Some of the runs have suggested it, but lots of moving parts when you're 5 days out. Still looks like mostly rain, but I wouldn't mind some flakes as I inhale turkey...lol. Gun to head... Packers lose or snow on T-day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 All because I made a post teasing everyone about how far north the euro is at 96 hrs. Geuss I should watch what I say when the ridge in the NRN plains. It allows for the troff to push east fast. Its really an odd set up as the primary is just about over central NY state then redevelops a low ESE of the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 It's weird how it does that, the energy really digs in on the backside. Some of the runs have suggested it, but lots of moving parts when you're 5 days out. Still looks like mostly rain, but I wouldn't mind some flakes as I inhale turkey...lol. The turkey and potatoes always taste better with snow flying and the ground whitened. What a torch after Thanksgiving though...that weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Its really an odd set up as he primary is just about over central NY state then redevelops a low ESE of the cape Yeah it is. Even the GFS had a hang back feature to the low, but nothing like what the euro has. Like Will said, it's complicated and I wouldn't complete buy it, but it doesn't look completely impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 The turkey and potatoes always taste better with snow flying and the ground whitened. What a torch after Thanksgiving though...that weekend. It will be colder in texas then here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 The euro does look pretty interesting... It just flings moisture off the atlantic for 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 It will be colder in texas then here 1993 Leon Lett in the sleet with temps in the 20s in Dallas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 It will be colder in texas then here Remember last year when they had an OK Blizzard while we baked? What month was that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Yeah it is. Even the GFS had a hang back feature to the low, but nothing like what the euro has. Like Will said, it's complicated and I wouldn't complete buy it, but it doesn't look completely impossible. It is pretty tough to buy into that, But the euro in earlier runs a few days had that low cut off but it was further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 1993 Leon Lett in the sleet with temps in the 20s in Dallas. Classic Jer, spot on. Leon slides into a ball near the end zone costing the Boys the game, him and his one tooth. Great pattern recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 1993 Leon Lett in the sleet with temps in the 20s in Dallas. as he trys to pick up the loose ball in the endzone what a fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Remember last year when they had an OK Blizzard while we baked? What month was that? Not sure, But i do remeber that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 So, as it stands...Euro NNE, GFS over Pete? NAM? It was still beyond 84hrs on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man thats one scewy louie Euro run all the way through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man thats one scewy louie Euro run all the way through The deck chairs are shuffling and that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man thats one scewy louie Euro run all the way through The 240 panel is not something you see every day-- Talk about a pattern changer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man thats one scewy louie Euro run all the way through At the end of the run they will be wearing wool pants in jacksonville and we will be in tank tops and shorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Man thats one scewy louie Euro run all the way through The deck chairs are shuffling and that's good. Glad you guys aren't bailing. Good times dead ahead. I remember that Leon Lett blunder like it was yesterday. '93-'94 was a solid winter if I remember correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Glad you guys aren't bailing. Good times dead ahead. I remember that Leon Lett blunder like it was yesterday. '93-'94 was a solid winter if I remember correctly. Among my top 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Totally totally f''d. 2000-2001 all over agin..The good part is I've recognized it early,,and won't hold on hoping for a switch. Writing is on the wall . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 Euro is weird looking there at the end, but even that isn't really anything good in the PAC...and of course its the OP run at 240 hours...about the same skill as the OP GFS in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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