Ji Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 why are we putting obs in a late November early December thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Why you digging on Ryan? He didn"t ask for his resignation just accountability from his company. Lol I'm not digging I was kinda making a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 why are we putting obs in a late November early December thread? Why are you putting posts in the SNE thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Let's be honest, the Euro is more "robust" than the 0z by a decent amount. It's a pretty good shift NW. It's not looking terrible yet, but it looks a little SE to me based on OBS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Euro looks interesting for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Euro looks interesting for Wednesday. Talk to me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Euro looks interesting for Wednesday. Yeah it's a race between the moisture coming in, and that trough trying to keep it from coming too far ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Euro is an SNE special next Wednesday, but I'm not buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 It's quite the snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Further south the 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It's quite the snow event. You, me, the Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Further south the 0z.. Yeah that trough to our north sort of shoves it south even though it wants to come northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Euro is an SNE special next Wednesday, but I'm not buying it. As it was a NNE one at 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 What an ugly pattern but it would be funny if it happened. I think New England and upstate NY are the only places in the entire CONUS cold enough for snow in that time frame. (outside of mountains) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 You, me, the Euro: LOL, it's good now, but look what it takes. With that +NAO..you need the perfect timing from keeping it coming into Kevin's fanny. As usual, it's sort of in la la land at this point. Something to watch I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Looks like there is going to be a pretty sharp gradient to how far south the cold air gets next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 LOL, it's good now, but look what it takes. With that +NAO..you need the perfect timing from keeping it coming into Kevin's fanny. As usual, it's sort of in la la land at this point. Something to watch I guess. All true. But doesn't seeing a Euro prog of 3-6 in YBY bring joy to your heart even at d6-7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 LOL, it's good now, but look what it takes. With that +NAO..you need the perfect timing from keeping it coming into Kevin's fanny. As usual, it's sort of in la la land at this point. Something to watch I guess. Quite sure it will keep flopping around for at least another day or 2 as it still 6 days out and has changed quite a few times the last few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 All true. But doesn't seeing a Euro prog of 3-6 in YBY bring joy to your heart even at d6-7? Every model could show snow right now and Scott, will, and Ryan would say they aren't buying it... as they should Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It will keep flopping around for at least another day or 2 as it still 6 days out and has changed quite a few times the last few runs Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Low level cold turkey next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 If it does snow next week, It will melt shortly after as we look to torch again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 All true. But doesn't seeing a Euro prog of 3-6 in YBY bring joy to your heart even at d6-7? LOL, It's the classic "whoa" when you see it. I will say, the 00z EC ensembles were south of 12z yesterday, so maybe there is a trend. I'd have to see the 12z ensemble before perhaps entertaining the idea. LIke Will alluded to, it's a complicated pattern so the chances of it working out like that might be far fetched. Hopefully the ensemble agrees to a point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 If it does snow next week, It will melt shortly after as we look to torch again.. Even if it stayed cold it would melt. It's still quite early. Despite the ridge at least the first day appears not much above normal...in fact perhaps low level cold keeps it AOB normal for 1 day before a broader warmth comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Every model could show snow right now and Scott, will, and Ryan would say they aren't buying it... as they should It's not that it is impossible, but when you look at everything...it's sort of complicated to simply put it. The 00z euro ensemble was a little better so we'll see what 12z does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 LOL, It's the classic "whoa" when you see it. I will say, the 00z EC ensembles were south of 12z yesterday, so maybe there is a trend. I'd have to see the 12z ensemble before perhaps entertaining the idea. LIke Will alluded to, it's a complicated pattern so the chances of it working out like that might be far fetched. Hopefully the ensemble agrees to a point. Be ironic if in the midsts of a bad pattern we have 3 snow opportunities before 12/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 New HRRR keeps the trend of weakening precip and trending more SE Yup, now shows no accumulation in spots and a trace in other spots AWOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 BTW HRRR continues to back off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I'll gladly trade a trace from today for a trouncing on Wednesday. 39.4/27 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJ6xBaZ92uA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 And the supposed torch post next week's storm seems to be getting iffy given the fly in the ointment of the cutoff off the SE coast and fairly chilly low level temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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