Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It's defintely boring, but it's not worth worrying about just yet. I admit it is discouraging to see that AK trough, but I'm willing to give it a few weeks before really worrying. I am totally fine..lol, sometimes I like to correct misinformation and if I sound combative or PMS-like...then I apologize. You seem fine to me. I do not know what the heck he is talking about. Best thing that could have happenned IMHO is that vortex in there right now.Lets get AK in the freezer with deep pack. Build some brutal 1055 highs right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 The EPO has been breaking down slowly and everything seems to be setup not only for a -NAO to develop this winter but perhaps an NAO which is solidly negative as well. Even if the EPO remains positive as long as the signal isn't strong we'll be fine. This winter should be rather stormy and should be good for many of us. I love learning from you guys in this thread, but Wes seemed concerned with the AO not going negative anytime soon for some real cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 odd they show up fine on my PC's, any one else not seeing them? Showing up for me at work on my crappy computer and crappy network... seems fine at home and on my mobile devices as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 It's all good. Everyone likes snow, including myself. I'm perfectly fine going through a period of "meh" until we are well into December. You can still get snow, if things time right, but it's not a good pattern for those with a snowpack fetish. I've been off for a while so I can't look at the good euro stuff, but I can see various temps at different levels of the atmosphere and it wasn't pretty south of the MA/CT border for next week. But who knows, we are still far out so it could trend one way or another. Ther drama in here is quite comical actually.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I love learning from you guys in this thread, but Wes seemed concerned with the AO not going negative anytime soon for some real cold air We are finally seeing some movement but as HM said the change won't happen until Dec 5th-11th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I love learning from you guys in this thread, but Wes seemed concerned with the AO not going negative anytime soon for some real cold air I would think that issue would be more of a concern for the mid-Atlantic region...this is if he's talking about getting the cold air for snow. We really don't need a great deal of cold air here or temps much below-average b/c during winter average for many of us can be good enough for snow. As long as the EPO isn't raging positive if we can develop a solid negative NAO (which I think seems feasible) hopefully that would be enough to suppress the SE ridge and also allow for less in the way of cutters. Would need some help from the PNA as well. The cold air is beginning to develop in the areas that we want it...as long as we aren't seeing a zonal flow into western Canada blocking the cold air from digging southward we should be fine...here at least. I would think though at some point we see a -AO as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 But Joe says no ski areas open Tday?? The torch that never came Tday week now is the following week. Hopefully things continue to get muted. Really hoping for a few cold nights here before the 25th... It will be close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 6z and now the 12z NAM are darn interesting tonight. It's going to get awfully close to a wet snow bomb but will low level temps kill the party? Dare I say "qpf ftl"?? ENX radar does. ) Expectation of things east of the river looks right. 39.2/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Dare I say "qpf ftl"?? ENX radar does. ) Expectation of things east of the river looks right. 39.2/27 Year of the over performers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I actually am closing the window in my classroom... nice temp drop. Hopefully Sunday is more muted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Year of the over performers? No--this will be an inside of 495 smattering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I actually am closing the window in my classroom... nice temp drop. Hopefully Sunday is more muted. Kids smelling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 No--this will be an inside of 495 smattering. Deform band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 looks like most of us will see flakes today/tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Kids smelling? Lol... this bunch has better hygeine. I am still thinking the timing is off for me. Any qpf that makes it here (scant at that), shows up before it is cool enough. No big deal, but I would like to see a few flakes. Keep stepping down. That's all I ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 GFS still adverting a decent band of echoes from the Rev to Will and down through the Canal. It actually advertises this starting out in western areas first, then moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 Lots of dry air from 850mb on down, however. That might eat the echoes up for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 well, its another in a string of endless days here i would keep an eye on that storm for next week in SNE, i think last nights euro ouput looked dubious (free maps) of course its a torch afterwards. ifs cooled off in the west finally, but only a trace of snow has fallen in edmonton this year!! oh EPO gods, where art thou? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 GFS still adverting a decent band of echoes from the Rev to Will and down through the Canal. It actually advertises this starting out in western areas first, then moving east. There will be some corridor that sees 1-2 inches this evening..not sure where..If I had to guess NW RI over twds Foxboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 looks that way There will be some corridor that sees 1-2 inches this evening..not sure where..If I had to guess NW RI over twds Foxboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2011 Author Share Posted November 17, 2011 There will be some corridor that sees 1-2 inches this evening..not sure where..If I had to guess NW RI over twds Foxboro From a met standpoint, these things are kind of cool. There is usually a narrow area that gets good precip, but whether that is closer to the Cape where it is warmer, or perhaps include areas further west, is the question. They often can be a fail too, but it's not out of the question that someone could pick up minor accumulations. I'm just a little unsure that the GFS depiction will come true, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 You guys think we should make an OBS thread for this storm? And keep the next week storm and pattern change discussion in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 You guys think we should make an OBS thread for this storm? And keep the next week storm and pattern change discussion in here? Good idea. 99% of us can post about our strato decks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Good idea. 99% of us can post about our strato decks. I would be interested in hearing about that....... Not worth starting an obs thread for something so marginal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 From a met standpoint, these things are kind of cool. There is usually a narrow area that gets good precip, but whether that is closer to the Cape where it is warmer, or perhaps include areas further west, is the question. They often can be a fail too, but it's not out of the question that someone could pick up minor accumulations. I'm just a little unsure that the GFS depiction will come true, but we'll see. The HRR would drop a stripe of 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 There will be some corridor that sees 1-2 inches this evening..not sure where..If I had to guess NW RI over twds Foxboro I'd feel good where I am if only we'd get precipitation here. Our temps are pretty decent out of the gate here (39.2/28 attm). I'm still pegging Dave as the one who may combine temps/qpf to get a slushy inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 This is one of those where you'd have to look closely for any sort of inverted trough setting up somewhere but it doesn't appear to be any looking at the GFS/NAM...nothing over our area anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Good idea. 99% of us can post about our strato decks. LOL--I was thinking the same thing. That would be a waste of a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Wind is ripping right now gusting to 28 out of the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Wind is ripping right now gusting to 28 out of the NW Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.