HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 day early:( Not sure we see a flip for a month...maybe a little sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yes, now we can dread the next 3 weeks of a horrific pattern. I know... not looking forward to it, but it will eventually be early December. I think Thanksgiving right in the middle of the stretch will make this dreadful pattern fly by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Please tell me you are being sarcastic.... or your kid hit those numbers by mistake or something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Not sure we see a flip for a month...maybe a little sooner Dave, its going to be a pretty decent winter. Enjoy/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Very negative. Daytime marginal systems in mid Novie anafrontal rarely produce. Now I am more bullish on next week. Could be an interesting weekend set of model runs. New Moon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yes, now we can dread the next 3 weeks of a horrific pattern. Ye we can, Maybe we sneak in a couple in that time period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Or look for sneaky storms in the midst of a sh it pattern ala Dec 03. How the heck did Roctober happen in a positive EPO NAO AO negative PNA environment? agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Daytime marginal systems in mid Novie anafrontal rarely produce. Now I am more bullish on next week. Could be an interesting weekend set of model runs. New Moon Same with me.... The 18z GFS was so much more relaxed with the amplication and phase of the system which led to less dynamic cooling. You can really see it comparing hr 168 versus hr 162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Daytime marginal systems in mid Novie anafrontal rarely produce. Now I am more bullish on next week. Could be an interesting weekend set of model runs. New Moon At least we can see some coastal flooding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yes, now we can dread the next 3 weeks of a horrific pattern. Lol Dave, its going to be a pretty decent winter. Enjoy/ Invasion of the Weenie Snatchers--Joe's 'pod' was taken over by Pete. 49.0/48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Huh... I just went through the entire 30 years of data at the CDC's stratosphere, troposphere monitoring site, and this is the only year so far that shows 0, nadda, zilch, as far as thermal permutations amid the polar field for the time between October 15 and November 15. Typically, we begin to see small packets of cold and hot anomalies - most don't propagate or mean much to correlation, but they are there shortly after Oct 1 any given year.. There may be better more discrete analysis out there, but there's shows a pattern utterly devoid of change - it's like summer still. What that means ... i have no idea. but odd to see that nonetheless. john, do you have a link? thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 My brothers forecast in AK, just talked with him, says its brutal for Nov. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW. NORTHEAST WIND 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH NEAR PALMER. WIND CHILLS 25 BELOW TO 35 BELOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 At least the SREFs come out soon...waiting until 940pm was brutal. Maybe they will increase the chance at a coating tomorrow night. It would be nice to see a period of steady snow amidst this crap pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 My brothers forecast in AK, just talked with him, says its brutal for Nov. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW. NORTHEAST WIND 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH NEAR PALMER. WIND CHILLS 25 BELOW TO 35 BELOW. Our weather next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 My brothers forecast in AK, just talked with him, says its brutal for Nov. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW. NORTHEAST WIND 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH NEAR PALMER. WIND CHILLS 25 BELOW TO 35 BELOW. Brutal micro-climate at Exit 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 At least the SREFs come out soon...waiting until 940pm was brutal. Maybe they will increase the chance at a coating tomorrow night. It would be nice to see a period of steady snow amidst this crap pattern. Its kind of amazing that we have a shot at snow tomorrow. I was into work yesterday with a short sleeve t-shirt yesterday. Its like climo is pushing against this crappy pattern right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 At least the SREFs come out soon...waiting until 940pm was brutal. Maybe they will increase the chance at a coating tomorrow night. It would be nice to see a period of steady snow amidst this crap pattern. Yeah, I was thinking the same thing, Its good we get the models at a decent hour agian.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 At least the SREFs come out soon...waiting until 940pm was brutal. Maybe they will increase the chance at a coating tomorrow night. It would be nice to see a period of steady snow amidst this crap pattern. If we are able to get another period of steady snow in SNE pre-Thanksgiving....we can't complain. I know it's going to be ugly for at least another 3-4 weeks but at least we can hope for a few shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Brutal micro-climate at Exit 8. I daresay that it rivals West Chesterfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I daresay that it rivals West Chesterfield. I was thinking the same thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Our weather next week? Last year in Mid Dec they were -30 for a week, three weeks later was our Epic stretch. Funny he mentioned that our weather usually follows his within a month, modified greatly of course. He did say the 9 inches they have on the ground is like sand, drive right on top of it and impossible to plow. His accounts are always cool to listen to, says he watched the airmass change last week after the Bering sea monster. Watched it come in off the MTns , says the forecasters out there are more lively than usual stressing how cold the next ten days will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Vermont for me next weekend..hoping that system can pull off a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 SREFs actually juiced up a bit for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 SREFs actually juiced up a bit for tomorrow Meh, they are ok. They do show potential for a slushy accumulation in the central hills. Maybe a coating...slushy inch on top of WaWa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 srefs look great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Was 56/57 a Nina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 srefs look great If you like some flakes flying with no accumulation... then they look awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Was 56/57 a Nina? Yes it was. 3rd year Nina. It was def one of my analogs this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Last year in Mid Dec they were -30 for a week, three weeks later was our Epic stretch. Funny he mentioned that our weather usually follows his within a month, modified greatly of course. He did say the 9 inches they have on the ground is like sand, drive right on top of it and impossible to plow. His accounts are always cool to listen to, says he watched the airmass change last week after the Bering sea monster. Watched it come in off the MTns , says the forecasters out there are more lively than usual stressing how cold the next ten days will be. Just got off the phone with the Talkeetna gang. They're freezin' their azzes off with 36+" OTG on the valley floor and bottomless higher up. I've been following the weather there for years and this is impressive early season cold. People are going to be hurtin' here when the cold hammer drops. I can't wait. INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL 400 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2011 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST THURSDAY NORTH OF TALKEETNA... .TONIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 15 BELOW EXCEPT 25 BELOW TO 30 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH EXCEPT NORTH 35 TO 50 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. WIND CHILLS 30 BELOW TO 45 BELOW NORTH OF TALKEETNA. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE EXCEPT 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 10 TO 25 MPH EXCEPT NORTH 15 TO 30 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. WIND CHILLS 30 BELOW TO 45 BELOW IN THE MORNING NORTH OF TALKEETNA. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10 BELOW EXCEPT 25 BELOW TO 30 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. WIND CHILLS 20 BELOW TO 35 BELOW IN THE EVENING. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 5 ABOVE EXCEPT 10 BELOW TO 15 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW EXCEPT 20 BELOW TO 30 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 5 TO 15. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. HIGHS IN THE TEENS. .SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE. HIGHS 5 TO 15. .TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yes it was. 3rd year Nina. It was def one of my analogs this winter. I was just parsing Alaska climo, brutal Nov in 56. Our Jan 57 was 23.2 in Boston, wow cold. What was the snow total in ORH 56/57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.