ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 1979 fetish ftl. Belle was in August....and we had few more. Totally different tropics. Wasn't 79-80 +ENSO? Edit: Belle 3 years earlier....I should have rememberd that I was in LA in 1979. Yes, '79-'80 was nearly a weak Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Wonder what the gfs clown maps look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Wow at 18z GFS LOL... its not often we see the GFS healthier on QPF than the NAM, but so far this year, that has been the case for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I think 1-2 in the hills tomorrow with maybe a slushy coating for areas 20 miles and more inland in the low spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I think 1-2 in the hills tomorrow with maybe a slushy coating for areas 20 miles and more inland in the low spots Time to queue up Scott's MPM limerick. 49.4/48, foggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I think 1-2 in the hills tomorrow with maybe a slushy coating for areas 20 miles and more inland in the low spots I gave you 3.5, snow growth is decent, temps are pretty cold and dropping below freezing in the evening. SOme decent moisture as the mid levels develop, ana>tal love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I'm not buying what the GFS is selling. Maybe some flakes at the end like the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 There once was a man called moneypitmike who cringed when he heard the phrase "south of the pike" Heavy snow we told him, but it's like he is deaf For he had a fetish for big QPF. QPF starved by the time any reasonable temps get into the mix for 98% of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I'm not buying what the GFS is selling. Maybe some flakes at the end like the Euro shows. why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 why? Because its an outlier. Someone might see a coating, but someone seeing 3-4" is not realistic at all to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 why? Because Euro is King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Others have mentioned it...but some pretty smart folks pointed out it has no similarities. Anyway, looking forward to tomorrow. Cooler and a a few flakes would be super The only similarity is early snow. The previous winter was lousy, the ENSO didn't match, and it was genererally dry that autumn and winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Because its an outlier. Someone might see a coating, but someone seeing 3-4" is not realistic at all to me. 1 and possibly 2 seems like a safe forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 1 and possibly 2 seems like a safe forecast Flakes to a coating is the safe forecast...if someone gets lucky, maybe they get a slushy inch, but I do not think I would forecast that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 gfs clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 gfs clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Thanks Will, congrats on the 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 And i thought we were going to have a Currier and Ives special.........damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Huh... I just went through the entire 30 years of data at the CDC's stratosphere, troposphere monitoring site, and this is the only year so far that shows 0, nadda, zilch, as far as thermal permutations amid the polar field for the time between October 15 and November 15. Typically, we begin to see small packets of cold and hot anomalies - most don't propagate or mean much to correlation, but they are there shortly after Oct 1 any given year.. There may be better more discrete analysis out there, but there's shows a pattern utterly devoid of change - it's like summer still. What that means ... i have no idea. but odd to see that nonetheless. Nobody picked up on what you wrote but that may be an interesting tidbit if we get into January asking "where's the beef" on winter or if we are up to our collective necks in snow. I'm not buying what the GFS is selling. Maybe some flakes at the end like the Euro shows. Me neither, not until and unless we see the rest of the models go that way tonight. Especially not from the 18z version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 snow is on the way! considering this pattern its an absolute miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 snow is on the way! considering this pattern its an absolute miracle. However, with the stj all but dead in the water, and a NS dominated pattern all it takes is for one of these quick hitting troughs to amplify and something to tuck underneath LI. Wavelengths are short, little islands of ice in a sea of fire. WInter of Extremes on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 snow is on the way! considering this pattern its an absolute miracle. Well, climo has a little say, but yeah...transient flakes then torch...hopefully it will become transient torch. Hey, today is Nov 16! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I think 1-2 in the hills tomorrow with maybe a slushy coating for areas 20 miles and more inland in the low spots I gave you 3.5, snow growth is decent, temps are pretty cold and dropping below freezing in the evening. SOme decent moisture as the mid levels develop, ana>tal love. 1 and possibly 2 seems like a safe forecast Nada is my call fat mangled white rain melting on contact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Well, climo has a little say, but yeah...transient flakes then torch...hopefully it will become transient torch. Hey, today is Nov 16! The first half of November went by sneakingly fast, which is a good thing. Felt like yesterday it was a couple days after the snowstorm and we were dreading the next 2 weeks. Welp... those two weeks have passed already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 The first half of November went by sneakingly fast, which is a good thing. Felt like yesterday it was a couple days after the snowstorm and we were dreading the next 2 weeks. Welp... those two weeks have passed already. Yes, now we can dread the next 3 weeks of a horrific pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Well, climo has a little say, but yeah...transient flakes then torch...hopefully it will become transient torch. Hey, today is Nov 16! day early:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Nada is my call fat mangled white rain melting on contact. Catspaws and slack jaws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Yes, now we can dread the next 3 weeks of a horrific pattern. Or look for sneaky storms in the midst of a sh it pattern ala Dec 03. How the heck did Roctober happen in a positive EPO NAO AO negative PNA environment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 Nada is my call fat mangled white rain melting on contact. Very negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 17, 2011 Share Posted November 17, 2011 I gave you 3.5, snow growth is decent, temps are pretty cold and dropping below freezing in the evening. SOme decent moisture as the mid levels develop, ana>tal love. Please tell me you are being sarcastic.... or your kid hit those numbers by mistake or something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.