CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2011 Author Share Posted November 16, 2011 SREFs even have minor QPF too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Moving back to last night's runs... boy the 00z Euro is one hell of a torch. At least by 12/1 the Euro Ensemble mean weakens the +EPO and begins to pop a +PNA. Seems like the pattern is still relatively unstable over AK/Bering Sea however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Only you would pray to some blonde, long haired Swedish God. 31+" in October. Case closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I'd better run or else it maybe a happier bday than I had bargained for. Happy Birthday knucklehead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Moving back to last night's runs... boy the 00z Euro is one hell of a torch. At least by 12/1 the Euro Ensemble mean weakens the +EPO and begins to pop a +PNA. Seems like the pattern is still relatively unstable over AK/Bering Sea however. one day that *could* end up kind of chilly is monday...but might be felt most in E and/or NNE? first glance 850s are meh but there's some chilly low-level sneaky cold that comes in from the N and NE during the day...euro actually has E MA falling into the lower 40s during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 one day that *could* end up kind of chilly is monday...but might be felt most in E and/or NNE? first glance 850s are meh but there's some chilly low-level sneaky cold that comes in from the N and NE during the day...euro actually has E MA falling into the lower 40s during the afternoon. Yeah I agree. One of those sneaky low level cold kind of days. Still compared to climo in the upper 40s... it isn't anything special. Maybe -5 for the day? The one thing to watch especially for our sneaky snow threats down the line is the monster omega block over Europe with big + height anomalies up toward Scandanavia. If that breaks down concurrently with the -PNA pattern we could set up a sneaky snow threat for the interior even though most of NOAM remains warm with the +EPO pattern having flooded the continent with warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 There once was a man called moneypitmike who cringed when he heard the phrase "south of the pike" Heavy snow we told him, but it's like he is deaf For he had a fetish for big QPF. I lol'ed in class, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I want a March 1993 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 new NAM would probably be snow tomorrow PM in SE MA/parts of the Cape. it's pretty darn cold. actually has a little pocket of 2m temps under 40F during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Happy birthday Ray Ray There once was a weenie named Ray whose station was dubbed KGAY He loves to dream of KU but all of us left when he dropped the PU His arse did make some grown man cry the restaurant was emptied of every guy Happy Birthday to you my friend do us a favor and wait until the end before you shi t yourself again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 new NAM would probably be snow tomorrow PM in SE MA/parts of the Cape. it's pretty darn cold. actually has a little pocket of 2m temps under 40F during the afternoon. AWT and congrats.. Take pics and post them to show that you have snow OTG and MRg doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 new NAM would probably be snow tomorrow PM in SE MA/parts of the Cape. it's pretty darn cold. actually has a little pocket of 2m temps under 40F during the afternoon. Its funny that there has been a ton of torch talk over the past week and it could actually snow on the cape tomorrow lol.. It just goes to show you how Oct 30 effed up everyone's thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 new NAM would probably be snow tomorrow PM in SE MA/parts of the Cape. it's pretty darn cold. actually has a little pocket of 2m temps under 40F during the afternoon. Yeah just saw that. Looks like 2m temps near 38 right over cweat's fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Yeah just saw that. Looks like 2m temps near 38 right over cweat's fanny. yeah it might be too cold but interesting none-the-less. if it fell steadily / heavily enough i could see it mixing or flipping for a short time. neat though on the NAM as you can actually see that pocket of cooled low level temps develop in E CT with the arrival of the precip and shift east across the south coast and then away as the precip leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 yeah it might be too cold but interesting none-the-less. if it fell steadily / heavily enough i could see it mixing or flipping for a short time. neat though on the NAM as you can actually see that pocket of cooled low level temps develop in E CT with the arrival of the precip and shift east across the south coast and then away as the precip leaves. Yup... evap cooling FTW. We all need to figure out now when and how this disaster of a pattern will change in early Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Yup... evap cooling FTW. We all need to figure out now when and how this disaster of a pattern will change in early Dec. LOL I can see you, will Scott, Phil and tip sitting a dark conference room brainstorming ideas of how to change the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Happy birthday Ray Ray There once was a weenie named Ray whose station was dubbed KGAY He loves to dream of KU but all of us left when he dropped the PU His arse did make some grown man cry the restaurant was emptied of every guy Happy Birthday to you my friend do us a favor and wait until the end before you shi t yourself again LOL That bomb was epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 12z GFS is a little more bullish with the qpf for se ct, cape and se mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Yup... evap cooling FTW. We all need to figure out now when and how this disaster of a pattern will change in early Dec. So now you're saying it will change in early Dec after saying Dec 1-10 is a mega torch? I don't understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Pete Bouchard of WHDH Boston is calling for a pattern change the second week of December, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 ??? I have to be honest... you're fun to hang out with in person... but you can be really annoying on the board. We're trying to talk about the crappy pattern and when it will change and all you add to the conversation is taking quotes out of context and posting nonsensical things that add nothing. And to be frank, aren't even funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I have to be honest... you're fun to hang out with in person... but you can be really annoying on the board. We're trying to talk about the crappy pattern and when it will change and all you add to the conversation is taking quotes out of context and posting nonsensical things that add nothing. And to be frank, aren't even funny. :lol: zing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I have to be honest... you're fun to hang out with in person... but you can be really annoying on the board. We're trying to talk about the crappy pattern and when it will change and all you add to the conversation is taking quotes out of context and posting nonsensical things that add nothing. And to be frank, aren't even funny. In your secret little chatroom..you and your friends were discussing how Dec 1-10 is a mega torch..Now you're saying early Dec is a pattern change..so I don't get it. TBH you're not fun to interact with on the board an to be frank have put on some weight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 In your secret little chatroom..you and your friends were discussing how Dec 1-10 is a mega torch..Now you're saying early Dec is a pattern change..so I don't get it. TBH you're not fun to interact with on the board an to be frank have put on some weight lol Yeah the beginning of December looks like a torch pattern. That still hasn't changed. There are signs that the pattern begins to breakdown by 12/1 but it's still a warm week once the changes begin. Again... you're making no sense lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I hope the south coast and cape get some flakes, looking better on models as the midlevels develop and throw a little moisture back. Believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Yup... evap cooling FTW. We all need to figure out now when and how this disaster of a pattern will change in early Dec. I'm just saying I'm confused..that's all. nothing more..nothing less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 In your secret little chatroom..you and your friends were discussing how Dec 1-10 is a mega torch..Now you're saying early Dec is a pattern change..so I don't get it. TBH you're not fun to interact with on the board an to be frank have put on some weight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I'm just saying I'm confused..that's all. nothing more..nothing less Once the pattern begins to change it's not going to be an immediate flip to cold. It's going to take some time. There seems little doubt it's a torch pattern through 12/1 and odds remain pretty good that we have an above normal pattern for the first week in December. It's ugly now... no doubt about it. But no one was calling for a month of +10 to +15 either lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I hope the south coast and cape get some flakes, looking better on models as the midlevels develop and throw a little moisture back. Believe. Looks pretty decent for SE CT and interior SEMASS and maybe even the cape...might see some flakes for sure with .10" qpf and falling temps associated with evap cooling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 let's lock in the Thanksgiving snow bomb per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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