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Late November/Early December upcoming wx.


CoastalWx

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Agreed. It does show signs of weakening, which is good...but the fact that models tend to break things down to quickly and the MJO sort of arguing for continued AK troughing makes me take the over. However, it is weakening which is nice to see.

I agree, It certainly appears that is will be a slow process but at least we are heading in the right direction with it weakening instead of building, Eroding the cold airmass over central Canada is the part that sucks the most with that being our source, As we will have to build that back in before we see a sustained cold pattern, But even seasonal temps in the first part of Dec still can produce chances at some winter precip while we wait for a flip to a more sustainable winter pattern so we are not totally tub and toaster driven.

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There will be one and possibly 2 accumulating snow events within the next 8 days fo interior SNE...better than having it warm for weeks during what should be a cold wx month

There once was a man from Tolland, Connecticut

Who'd consistently grabbed a weenie to chuck it

He said "lollies to 12, go ahead and lock it"

But as the sleet pelted down he sobbed "go f**k it"

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I agree, It certainly appears that is will be a slow process but at least we are heading in the right direction with it weakening instead of building, Eroding the cold airmass over central Canada is the part that sucks the most with that being our source, As we will have to build that back in before we see a sustained cold pattern, But even seasonal temps in the first part of Dec still can produce chances at some winter precip while we wait for a flip to a more sustainable winter pattern so we are not totally tub and toaster driven.

At least you guys up that way can capitalize a bit better on crappy patterns. It causes a little more angst for me, which is why I cringe seeing that disaster.

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There once was a man from Tolland, Connecticut

Who'd consistently grabbed a weenie to chuck it

He said "lollies to 12, go ahead and lock it"

But as the sleet pelted down he sobbed "go f**k it"

There once was a man called moneypitmike

who cringed when he heard the phrase "south of the pike"

Heavy snow we told him, but it's like he is deaf

For he had a fetish for big QPF.

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At least you guys up that way can capitalize a bit better on crappy patterns. It causes a little more angst for me, which is why I cringe seeing that disaster.

Yes, Thats where some lattitude helps even in the lower elevations we can still see some snow even in a marginal cold, being in the CP down your way you need more help then out in western mass for sure with warmer ocean temps and a lack of a cold airmass

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It's too warm there, but that second impulse is what I was watching. It's possible it may be too far east for you. GFS was still a little bullish with it.

yeah BL stays relatively mild until late day. i think there's a chance upper cape/canal/messenger/bob sees a mix / brief flip or something before things end around 00z or so. but BL might still be too warm.

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yeah BL stays relatively mild until late day. i think there's a chance upper cape/canal/messenger/bob sees a mix / brief flip or something before things end around 00z or so. but BL might still be too warm.

Yeah I could see that. Maybe even here. Sometimes you can get a narrow band of decent echoes in one of these post frontal situations, thanks to the mid level frontogenesis that occurs. The GFS is really bullish in the 850-500 layer which is kind of eye opening, but sometimes these things don't always come together. Anyways, something to watch I suppose.

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