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Dec 11-13 MW/Lakes/OV Snow Event? Part V


Chicago Storm

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LOT sticks with WSW, but drops totals to 3-5" north of I-80...which is likely still too high.

FOR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TODAY...HAVE BACKED OFF SLIGHTLY FROM THE

PREVIOUS FORECAST AS THE SYNOPTIC SNOW BAND WILL BE QUICK MOVING.

ACTUALLY AMOUNTS MAY BE A MOOT POINT ANYWAY AS STRONG WINDS WILL

MAKE ACCURATE SNOWFALL MEASUREMENT DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE

SYNOPTIC SNOW...WILL NOW GO WITH A SWATH OF 3 TO 5 INCHES GENERALLY

NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 IN ILLINOIS. SOUTH OF I-80...SNOWFALL SHOULD

BE AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES. THE BULK OF THIS SNOWFALL SHOULD BE

BETWEEN 06Z THIS MORNING AND 00Z THIS EVENING. THE PERIOD OF

HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES...COMBINED WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE

BETWEEN 15Z AND 21Z. THIS WOULD BE THE MOST FAVORABLE TIME FOR

CONDITIONS TO APPROACH BLIZZARD LEVELS. WHILE WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE

A LITTLE AFTER 21Z AND THE SYNOPTIC SNOW WILL BEGIN TO WIND

DOWN...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POOR AS SUSTAINED 25-30KT WINDS

WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. AS TEMPERATURES

DROP THROUGH THE DAY...EXPECT SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS BY LATE MORNING.

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Only a dusting here so far, with a few flurries currently. North winds are just starting to pick up, and the temp shot back up to 28.

The deform over eastern Iowa looks pretty meager, with just a few decent narrow bands mixed in there. We might not even get an inch here now.

How much longer will the QC go without a 12" storm? It's already been over a decade.

Yeah cyclone its been pretty disappointing considering the last few Winters. A lot of huge snow storms all around us but never thru the heart of the DVN area. The last big one has to be that New Years storm 1999- that was nice, nice, nice... but that looked like a downer at first but we ended up doing very well. I don't see us getting a huge one this Winter either but it's to early to say since we are only into the second week of met. Winter. But the hot spot has been MN and adjacent areas so far. That trend can't keep up the entire season.

And to the other posters... no way Northern IL gets 3-5" of snow... just look to the West the band of snowing is weakening and falling apart quickly. Its going to be interesting to see parts of MO and Central/Southern IL get more snow than a lot of places further North. Wind is really, really cranking up here now...yikes.

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Instant winter wonderland. Air is choked with big snowflakes, low visibility, everything snowcovered. Probably going to be a spectacular scene judging how the trees are getting coated already. Looked like a little more here than by the airport when I was out. DTW had 0.4" thru 7am, here looks to be closing in on 3/4 inch already and snowing moderately. Roads covered with slushy snow. Getting VERY excited as it looks like that L progged to develop over Lk Erie and enhance qpf over eastern MI is coming to fruition!:thumbsup:

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

714 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

.UPDATE...

SECONDARY DEFORMATION DVLPMNT WELL UNDERWAY THIS MORNING AND EVIDENT

BOTH IN RAPIDLY ENHANCING IR SIGNATURE ON SAT AND EXPLODING ECHOES

IN COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY. IN FACT WWD DRIFT OF ECHOES OVR NW IN

INDICATIVE OF REFORMING MID LVL TROWAL AND RECENT REPORTS OF 1-1 1/2

IN PER HOUR SNOW RATES CONFIRM. ANY LEFT OVR RAIN OVR NW OH WILL CHG

OVR SHORTLY GIVEN DEEPENING ASCENT.

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Good morning all. Waking up here to about a 1/2 inch to 1 inch of snowfall so far already here at the University of Cincinnati Campus. Wind is blowing snow around to so it was kind of blinding outside. Main roads are just wet but side roads do have a dusting on them. I expect these to get waaaay more slick later today and esp. tonight. 2-4 inches is the current thinking around these parts.

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

714 AM EST SUN DEC 12 2010

.UPDATE...

SECONDARY DEFORMATION DVLPMNT WELL UNDERWAY THIS MORNING AND EVIDENT

BOTH IN RAPIDLY ENHANCING IR SIGNATURE ON SAT AND EXPLODING ECHOES

IN COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY. IN FACT WWD DRIFT OF ECHOES OVR NW IN

INDICATIVE OF REFORMING MID LVL TROWAL AND RECENT REPORTS OF 1-1 1/2

IN PER HOUR SNOW RATES CONFIRM. ANY LEFT OVR RAIN OVR NW OH WILL CHG

OVR SHORTLY GIVEN DEEPENING ASCENT.

Interesting. Snowing like crazy here in Gaylord. Hopefully I will come home to this 8-14" that IWX is forecasting for Warsaw. What I have briefly looked at hasn't made me change my mind too much from my forecast yesterday (For Warsaw, IN). I'll go 1-3" synoptic and an additional 1-3" lake effect Monday into Monday night. So...2-6" by Monday night. Looking good northeast of here though.

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Amazing. A grand total of perhaps 1/2" of frozen mashed slush and powder from this storm. Am just now starting to get a bit of light snow after spending 9 hours in the dry slot.

Some nice deform bands near STL, how much have they picked up so far?

Edit: Wow, even Beau is getting in on the action. Talk about spreading it around.

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Amazing. A grand total of perhaps 1/2" of frozen mashed slush and powder from this storm. Am just now starting to get a bit of light snow after spending 9 hours in the dry slot.

Some nice deform bands near STL, how much have they picked up so far?

several 2 inch reports in St loius county

Lincoln IL 2.3 inches now

I have maybe an inch most of that fell in an hour

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL

736 AM CST SUN DEC 12 2010

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW 4 E WHAT CHEER 41.41N 92.28W

12/12/2010 E5.0 INCH KEOKUK IA TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 4 TO 5 INCHES. DRIFTS 2 TO 3 FEET DEEP. SNOW

HAS ENDED WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.

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