Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 i see the entire state of KY and a large part of TN are now under wwa.....wsw for upslope areas Those were issued with the afternoon packages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Great link. It would be awesome if this low in the lower apps develops. This would drastically change everything from OH into southcentral Ontario (major snowstorm instead of a rain/snow mixture slop or mainly rain). we have the same issue everyone here has... ...the race between the precip and the coldair. So far it seems the precip has been the upset winner in a lot of areas....so I'm cautious of that too here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Yuppers. Has that its never going to changeover feel until like morning. maybe I'll have whitecaps on the puddles. Honestly, when we started as rain, I was thinking it was a 12/8-12/9 redux and I was going to be watching my temp for the next 6 hours waiting for the change to snow. Like I always say, the lake giveth and the lake taketh away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 We started out as rain up here - probably for a good hour. We had been sitting around 36.6F for awhile. Within a matter of 30 minutes or so we dropped several degrees and changed over to snow around 34F. What's your current temp? That's a good sign that we might see a quick drop in temperature EVENTUALLY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Those were issued with the afternoon packages. a lot of them were pretty late 630 and up....so i didn't see them. You right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Andy, how much does Sheboygan have now? Looks like 1-1.5 inches here in FDL. Temp needs to drop a tad more and we'll be good to go here. 32.5 is the temp right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Winds just starting to pick up, front has to be close. Dropped 0.4º "suddenly". Good riddance warmth. EDIT: Crashing, now down to 37º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Looks like the eastward progression of the 0C line is starting to gain some steam. Only a matter of time before you guys to the south of me switch over. http://w1.spc.woc.no...or=13&parm=fztp (turn off the radar underlay for a better view) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Yuppers. Has that its never going to changeover feel until like morning. maybe I'll have whitecaps on the puddles. Just took a quick peek at your soundings (NAM/RUC) and it would still suggest a changeover somewhere around midnight. The NAM is maybe an hour slower than the RUC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 a lot of them were pretty late 630 and up....so i didn't see them. You right Beau had posted something about new advisory criteria down there when they were issued this afternoon, in this thread or maybe the one before...hard to keep track, but that's why I remembered it. Regardless, new NAM has a few new wrinkles for E IN and OH, so something to keep your guard up about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Andy, how much does Sheboygan have now? Looks like 1-1.5 inches here in FDL. Temp needs to drop a tad more and we'll be good to go here. 32.5 is the temp right now. Just measured 1.5". Sitting at 32.9F. Been slowly falling after that quick drop to 34F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Nice big flakes falling here at a good clip . Roads already starting to get covered as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Snowing on the west side apparently. Still rain here on the east side. Cool. SPECI KLAF 120249Z AUTO 28015G19KT 4SM -SN BR OVC006 01/M01 A2953 RMK AO2 WSHFT 0229 RAB20E39SNB39 CIG 003V011 P0002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Beau had posted something about new advisory criteria down there when they were issued this afternoon, in this thread or maybe the one before...hard to keep track, but that's why I remembered it. Regardless, new NAM has a few new wrinkles for E IN and OH, so something to keep your guard up about. yea i just didn't recall seeing that much color on the iwds map this afternoon...that far south....but that could be 'selective weenie memory' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Just downgraded the southeast counties of the MKE CWA to a WSW. Figures. Now 3-8" expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Snowing on the west side apparently. Still rain here on the east side. Cool. SPECI KLAF 120249Z AUTO 28015G19KT 4SM -SN BR OVC006 01/M01 A2953 RMK AO2 WSHFT 0229 RAB20E39SNB39 CIG 003V011 P0002 I have flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I have flakes. Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I have flakes. Quite a front. Still rn-/drizzle here. EDIT: Ok just flipped to snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 The new 00z NAM looks interesting for the Toronto area. The snowfall maps are not out yet, but it looks colder/snowier and no dry slot effects. The low tracks just southeast of Toronto. Fingers crossed. I've been distracted this evening but I'll run BUFKIT on NAM in a sec. Even if shows predominantly snow, it'd be nice to get another model indicating that prolonged defo band setting up over us. Most of the other models I've seen have it well west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Rain has turned to snow...big flakes. SN to +SN here. Around 0.5" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 SN to +SN here. Around 0.5" so far. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I've been distracted this evening but I'll run BUFKIT on NAM in a sec. Even if shows predominantly snow, it'd be nice to get another model indicating that prolonged defo band setting up over us. Most of the other models I've seen have it well west of us. 0z NAM BUFKIT is all snow but sfc temps for a few hours get close to 1.5C. I remember NAM was really hitting the CAD hard about a year ago with the Dec 9, 2009 storm. It was right in comparison to the other models, but it overdid the duration. 01z RUC BUFKIT is probably closer to the truth. About 0.20-0.25" of snow then we switch to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 [/quote} 12-15 inches for NW Ohio and 5-10 for detroit metro? Or is the lakes showing less snow up towards detroit and more will fall. Now I now it's only 1 model but shoukdn't they be under warnings? Maybe they think they can just upgrade but still. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cromartie Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Just downgraded the southeast counties of the MKE CWA to a WSW. Figures. Now 3-8" expected. Saw this coming 3 hrs ago. Remember I said MKE would eat crow with the Blizzard warning? Might as well take it down to a WWA cuz MKE proper ain't seeing over 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 SN to +SN here. Around 0.5" so far. Looks like ORD has changed over KORD 120300Z 26014G21KT 1 1/2SM R14R/5500VP6000FT -SN BR OVC007 00/M01 A2947 RMK AO2 RAE0258SNB0256 CIG 005V011 P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Changeover is happening a little quicker than I would have thought across Western and Northwestern Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Saw this coming 3 hrs ago. Remember I said MKE would eat crow with the Blizzard warning? Might as well take it down to a WWA cuz MKE proper ain't seeing over 3 inches. I'm not quite sure why they downgraded since they didn't change the wind forecast. All they did was nudge snow amounts down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Saw this coming 3 hrs ago. Remember I said MKE would eat crow with the Blizzard warning? Might as well take it down to a WWA cuz MKE proper ain't seeing over 3 inches. Yes I remember. It is interesting, however, that they downgraded 3 hours before the warning would go into effect. Makes me think they believe snow won't start until well after midnight, b/c they weren't expecting it to change early in the evening anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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