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November 14 Severe Weather Threat


Hoosier

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Strange observation from KCVG:

KCVG 150158Z 25013G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 WATERSPOUT E57 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0008

KCVG 150157Z COR 25010G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0007

That area was put under a severe thunderstorm warning at 8:59 PM (bowing line moving into the area).

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Strange observation from KCVG:

KCVG 150158Z 25013G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 WATERSPOUT E57 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0008

KCVG 150157Z COR 25010G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0007

That area was put under a severe thunderstorm warning at 8:59 PM (bowing line moving into the area).

Something touch down on the Ohio River?

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This pic was posted in the WLFI photo gallery. The shot is looking toward the Purdue campus. The strongest part of the couplet passed very near this spot. Can't see anything interesting except for an ominous sky although there was a funnel report near/just west of this area.

Pretty low cloud bases there too, not as hard to get wind to the surface (straight line or otherwise).

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76 mph wind gust in Mahomet, about 10 minutes from here also an unconfirmed tornado touched down there uprooting some trees. Here in champaign we had couple heavy heavy downpours. November sure has been a wet/windy month here. Actually, come to think of it, the rate were at could be the wettest month of the year.

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Strange observation from KCVG:

KCVG 150158Z 25013G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 WATERSPOUT E57 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0008

KCVG 150157Z COR 25010G26KT 2SM +TSRA BR FEW010 SCT024 OVC036CB 16/14 A2974 RMK WATERSPOUT B56 AO2 OCNL LTGICCG OHD-SW-NW-N TS OHD-SW-NW-N MOV ENE P0007

That area was put under a severe thunderstorm warning at 8:59 PM (bowing line moving into the area).

Very very strange remark ....... BUT, it keeps on showing up in subsequent Observations, which makes me inclined to think it's NOT an error.

SPECI KCVG 150224Z 23014G26KT 5SM -TSRA BR FEW012 SCT023CB OVC044 16/14 A2975 RMK WATERSPOUT B0156 WATERSPOUT E0157 AO2 PK WND 22026/0216 OCNL LTGICCC NE-SE TS NE-SE-S MOV ENE P0042

METAR KCVG 150252Z 21009KT 7SM -TSRA FEW055CB SCT070 OVC090 15/14 A2976 RMK WATERSPOUT B0156 WATERSPOUT E0157 AO2 PK WND 22026/0216 SLP072 OCNL LTGCC OHD TS OHD MOV ENE P0047 60067 T01500139 53030

SPECI KCVG 150315Z 24006KT 5SM RA BR FEW018 BKN080 OVC090 14/14 A2978 RMK WATERSPOUT B020156 WATERSPOUT E020157 AO2 TSE15 TS MOV ENE P0006

SPECI KCVG 150332Z 00000KT 4SM RA BR BKN013 OVC050 14/14 A2976 RMK WATERSPOUT B020156 WATERSPOUT E020157 AO2 TSE15 TS MOV ENE P0013

The Ohio River is about two miles away --- HOWEVER, the airport and river are separated by a non-insignificant ridge (it's an interesting landing if you're landing to the south because you don't clear the ridge by much --- a couple planes crashed into the ridge back in the 1960s on southbound approaches to CVG). Point is, one can't see the river from the airport.

Besides the river, and outside a couple of ponds, there is no water anywhere near the airport.

FWIW, I live about 12 miles from CVG on the Kentucky side of the river. A lot of rain, and a bit of wind, but the storms really weren't that much here.

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Just my opinion but I think we were just a little directional shear short of having a big problem. Sfc winds south of the front almost immediately veered to 200-220 degrees. If they would've been 180-190 then I think there easily could've been quite a few strong and maybe even a violent tornado.

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Just my opinion but I think we were just a little directional shear short of having a big problem. Sfc winds south of the front almost immediately veered to 200-220 degrees. If they would've been 180-190 then I think there easily could've been quite a few strong and maybe even a violent tornado.

Quite possibly...or at least more than the 1(for now) we saw.

The degree of veering in SFC wind field is one of the reasons I didn't head out.

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Quite possibly...or at least more than the 1(for now) we saw.

The degree of veering in SFC wind field is one of the reasons I didn't head out.

Mentioned it earlier in the thread but this setup really wasn't typical of many classic November severe setups. Obviously that doesn't mean something significant can't happen but it gave me pause. I do think the surface low may have verified on the deeper side of guidance - LAF got down to 998 mb.

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Just my opinion but I think we were just a little directional shear short of having a big problem. Sfc winds south of the front almost immediately veered to 200-220 degrees. If they would've been 180-190 then I think there easily could've been quite a few strong and maybe even a violent tornado.

I would agree with this assessment. I was out spotting and was near a couple of the areas of rotation that kept popping up on radar such as the one Chi Storm posted for you near LAF. It kept looking like it wanted to drop something, but nothing. My partner did get a lightning pic as we were spotting though.

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I would agree with this assessment. I was out spotting and was near a couple of the areas of rotation that kept popping up on radar such as the one Chi Storm posted for you near LAF. It kept looking like it wanted to drop something, but nothing. My partner did get a lightning pic as we were spotting though.

nice pic!

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Two EF2's in W NY

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

332 PM EST TUE NOV 15 2011

..MULTIPLE TORNADOES CONFIRMED ON NOV 14 2011

..TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR FREDONIA IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK

LOCATION...FREDONIA IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK

DATE...NOV 14 2011

ESTIMATED TIME...454-505 PM EST

MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF2

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...105-115 MPH

MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...125 YDS

PATH LENGTH...4.6 MILES

BEGINNING LAT/LON...42.4463N/79.4279W

ENDING LAT/LON...42.4429N/79.3391W

* FATALITIES...NONE

* INJURIES...NONE

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO

CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS

STORM DATA.

..SUMMARY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO

NEAR FREDONIA IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK ON NOV 14 2011.

THE TORNADO FORMED OVER LAKE ERIE AND MOVED ONSHORE ON BEACH PLACE

IN FREDONIA. THERE IT RIPPED SHINGLES OFF TWO HOMES. ONE TREE FELL

ON A HOME. THE SCREEN FROM THE VAN BUREN DRIVE IN WAS BLOWN OVER.

SEVERAL PINE TREES WERE TOPPED ALONG VAN BUREN DRIVE. ALSO ON VAN

BUREN DRIVE A BARN WAS COMPLETELY DESTROYED. AS THE TORNADO MOVED

EAST ACROSS FAREL ROAD EIGHT POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED. ADDITIONAL

TREES WERE TOPPED AS THE TORNADO MOVED TOWARD THE VILLAGE OF

FREDONIA. A GARAGE WAS DESTROYED NEAR THE CORNER OF UNIVERSITY

PARK AND RISLEY STREET. A FEW MORE TREES WERE TOPPED NEAR CENTER

STREET BEFORE THE FINAL LIFTOFF.

ALTHOUGH THE PATH LENGTH WAS OVER FOUR MILES, THE TORNADO WAS NOT

ON THE GROUND THE ENTIRE TIME.

..TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR WESTFIELD IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK

LOCATION...WESTFIELD IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK

DATE...NOV 14 2011

ESTIMATED TIME...505-515 PM EST

MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF2

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...105-115 MPH

MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...120 YDS

PATH LENGTH...3.0 MILES BEGINNING

LAT/LON... 42.3024N/79.5929W

ENDING LAT/LON... 42.3095N/79.5366W

* FATALITIES...NONE

* INJURIES...NOE

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO

CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS

STORM DATA.

..SUMMARY

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO

NEAR WESTFIELD IN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY NEW YORK ON NOV 14 2011.

A TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN ON MUNSON STREET IN WESTFIELD

WHERE A ONE-FOOT DIAMETER TREE WAS TOPPED ABOUT EIGHT FEET OFF THE

GROUND. THE TORNADO MOVED WEST ACROSS COUNTY TOURING ROUTE 21. ON

THE WEST SIDE OF THE STREET HALF OF A POLE BARN WAS DESTROYED. A

MAN INSIDE THE BARN AT THE TIME WAS NOT INJURED. ACROSS THE STREET

A THREE STORY BARN WAS DESTROYED. SEVERAL VEHICLES AND BOATS

STORED IN THE BARN WERE DAMAGED. THE TORNADO THEN CROSSED SOUTH

GALE STREET. THREE OUTBUILDINGS WERE DESTROYED. TWO PEOPLE RODE

OUT THE STORM IN A NEARBY VAN AND WERE NOT INJURED. FURTHER ALONG

A BARN WAS DESTROYED ON MARTIN WRIGHT ROAD. SEVERAL LARGE

HARDWOODS WERE SNAPPED AND TWISTED. ALSO ON MARTIN WRIGHT ROAD A

HOME WAS DESTROYED. THE ATTACHED GARAGE AND BACK WALL WERE RIPPED

OFF. AFTER THE FRONT WINDOW WAS BROKEN ON THE HOME THE OPPOSITE

WALL WAS BLOWN OUT. TWO PEOPLE WERE IN THE HOME AT THE TIME

HOWEVER THEY WERE NOT INJURED. THE HOME HAS BEEN DEEMED UNINHABITABLE.

A FEW MORE TREES WERE TOPPED JUST WEST OF THE HOME BEFORE THE

TORNADO LIFTED.

ALTHOUGH THE PATH LENGTH WAS THREE MILES, THE TORNADO WAS NOT ON

THE GROUND THE ENTIRE TIME.

LEVAN/FISHER

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I think that makes 8 or 9 in Orange County this year.

Edit: I guess the official tally is now 7 for Orange County. Dubios County to the west has 9 and Washington County to the east has 6.

The Louisville CWA has had a lot of activity this year. Yesterday's tornado was the 31st of the year just in the Indiana portion. The Indiana portion is about 3600 square miles so if you multiply that area out to 10,000 sq miles you come up with 86 tornadoes which is pretty incredible. They have been very good with surveys this year even in cases like yesterday when there wasn't a tornado warning.

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