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November 14 Severe Weather Threat


Hoosier

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN

329 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

TIPPECANOE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST

* AT 328 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS

STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OXFORD...OR 13 MILES WEST

OF LAFAYETTE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LAFAYETTE...

WEST LAFAYETTE...

SHADELAND...

PURDUE UNIVERSITY...

DAYTON...

BATTLE GROUND...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 163 AND 184.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A

STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR

OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

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Definitely seeing some initial development to the south of the line.

Discussion for OH/PA watch:

DISCUSSION...LEAD SURFACE LOW NEAR TOL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP

ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD TOWARD THE SHORE OF LAKE ERIE.

WAA AND ISALLOBARIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF THIS LOW WILL ALIGN WITH A

MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO SUPPORT THE EWD MOVEMENT/DEVELOPMENT

OF TSTMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD IN

PLACE...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING

STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.

BAM is near the storm around LAF.

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Looks like LAF proper dodged a bullet here.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN

352 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

INC045-157-171-142115-

/O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0087.000000T0000Z-111114T2115Z/

FOUNTAIN-TIPPECANOE-WARREN-

352 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN FOUNTAIN...

TIPPECANOE AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EST...

AT 347 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD

NEAR THE TIPPECANOE MALL NEARLY TOUCHING THE GROUND. A TORNADO MAY

DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH

OF DELPHI...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT

65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A

STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR

OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

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Speaking of getting going down to the south, this could get pretty interesting, 50/40 probs:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 881

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

255 PM CST MON NOV 14 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA

WESTERN KENTUCKY

SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL

1000 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS

TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE

MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF POPLAR

BLUFF MISSOURI TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EVANSVILLE INDIANA.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH

OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 879...WW 880...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WEAKLY CONVERGENT COLD FRONT MOVING

THROUGH THE AREA. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS CHARACTERIZED BY

TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 70S...DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S AND

RESULTANT MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. RUC OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE

AND AREA VAD DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR

/60-80 KT/ AND EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 150-350 M2/S2. WHILE STORMS

MAY TAKE SOME TIME TO ORGANIZE DUE TO THE STRONG SHEAR...SUPERCELLS

APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR A FEW

TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND SOME HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND

GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.

MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.

...MEAD

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