nwohweather Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Sun is out now here south of Toledo and temp at my house has jumped to 66. Looks like NW Ohio is about to get in on the action here. From my house and on radar looks like something is trying to get going around Toledo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 If anything can get going down to the south, look out, the helicities are sky-high as per mesoanalysis. Edit: Isolated storm developing west of Mt. Vernon in S. IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 This cell south of Pine Village looks like it has the best chance at impacting LAF proper. Looks like it has broad/weak rotation at this point, but we all know how fast this type of thing could tighten up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Interesting stuff starting to happen in in South Illinois, Missouri and Indiana. I'd keep an eye on that cell near Mt. Vernon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 329 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN FOUNTAIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... TIPPECANOE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 415 PM EST * AT 328 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OXFORD...OR 13 MILES WEST OF LAFAYETTE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAFAYETTE... WEST LAFAYETTE... SHADELAND... PURDUE UNIVERSITY... DAYTON... BATTLE GROUND... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 163 AND 184. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Sitting in Van Buren, OH just a few miles north of Findlay OH. Temps pushing 70 now, with a strong south wind. I'm actually more concerned about today here than I was about the Octobomb (west of 75 had little severe storms that day). Definitely getting a eerie feeling right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Tornado watch issued for N,C Ohio and NW PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Definitely seeing some initial development to the south of the line. Discussion for OH/PA watch: DISCUSSION...LEAD SURFACE LOW NEAR TOL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD TOWARD THE SHORE OF LAKE ERIE. WAA AND ISALLOBARIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF THIS LOW WILL ALIGN WITH A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO SUPPORT THE EWD MOVEMENT/DEVELOPMENT OF TSTMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD IN PLACE...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. BAM is near the storm around LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Here we go. LAF under a Tornado Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Looks like the north side of Lafayette have the highest threat at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Here we go. LAF under a Tornado Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 BAM's cam looks interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 BAM's cam looks interesting... Perhaps you could link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Hard to tell if the circulation made it all the way to the surface as the lowest tilt is around 4000' over LAF. Based on the IND radar the circulation went over the north side of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 http://bamchase.net/video.htm It's frozen right now, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Lafayette could be in trouble judging by radar. Nasty hook and couplet there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 KLAF gusted to 51mph at last report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 WTHR just reported on Twitter a funnel cloud/possible tornado over the LAF mall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 48 at DTW, 68 at FDY SRH at 700m2/s2 pretty close to here. Strong meso just developed on local radar a few miles NW of my house... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Looks like LAF proper dodged a bullet here. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 352 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011 INC045-157-171-142115- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0087.000000T0000Z-111114T2115Z/ FOUNTAIN-TIPPECANOE-WARREN- 352 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN FOUNTAIN... TIPPECANOE AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EST... AT 347 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR THE TIPPECANOE MALL NEARLY TOUCHING THE GROUND. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF DELPHI...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 nice hook and new tor warning on the storm northwest of OKK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Impressive meso heading at Bunker Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Looks like the GUS circulation quickly occluded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Posted by superstorm over at accuwx: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Speaking of getting going down to the south, this could get pretty interesting, 50/40 probs: URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 881 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 255 PM CST MON NOV 14 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA WESTERN KENTUCKY SOUTHEAST MISSOURI EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CST. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF POPLAR BLUFF MISSOURI TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EVANSVILLE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 879...WW 880... DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WEAKLY CONVERGENT COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 70S...DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S AND RESULTANT MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. RUC OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE AND AREA VAD DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /60-80 KT/ AND EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 150-350 M2/S2. WHILE STORMS MAY TAKE SOME TIME TO ORGANIZE DUE TO THE STRONG SHEAR...SUPERCELLS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND SOME HAIL. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040. ...MEAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 14, 2011 Author Share Posted November 14, 2011 Looks like the north side of Lafayette have the highest threat at this point. Looks to me like the couplet basically went through the heart of town. There were a couple enhanced areas though. The mall is actually on the east/southeast side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Storm southeast of Toledo near Millbury looks fairly dangerous. I know those folks don't want to see anything around there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 14, 2011 Author Share Posted November 14, 2011 I won't be surprised if surveys find some tornadoes. They can be very difficult to confirm initially in situations like these given the fast storm motion and tendency to become rain wrapped. Also most of the area is pretty rural except right around LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 First tornado warning just went up down south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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