Sundog Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yeah, like on December 17th when the GFS showed me fringed and getting like 3 inches. I wasn't even supposed to see cirrus until like 72 hours before game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 You have to admit that if you're inland your chances diminish significantly. People are arguing about the coast even getting snow. If you're 120 miles NW of the coast then big things need to change. I wasn't even supposed to see cirrus until like 72 hours before game time. So i guess big things changed for you then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yeah, like on December 17th when the GFS showed me fringed and getting like 3 inches. He means the models were all signaling a historic storm would impact at least the mid-Atlantic 5+ days out. And the pattern was beautiful to support it...How far north the precip got in the short range was another story/ battle with the models.. There is no such guarantee with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yeah, like on December 17th when the GFS showed me fringed and getting like 3 inches. Or like the Jan 30 event, where the NWS had me with a 20% chance of snow at 8 AM, 90% at 9 PM, and 7 inches fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 He means the models were all signaling a historic storm would impact at least the mid-Atlantic 5+ days out. And the pattern was beautiful to support it...How far north the precip got in the short range was another story/ battle with the models.. There is no such guarantee with this storm. I thought that was obvious, but thank you. The models were incredibly consistent with the Feb storms as well. I remember mentioning 30+inches to my folks on Monday based on the model QPF, well before the first storm actually hit on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
listarz Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 What about the GFS trending west last year? Sometimes it was a good thing, sometimes not. Cripes, I remember feeling like I was in the sweet spot if the GFS was OTS at this point last year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 WOOF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I'm sure little will change in the next 200 hours. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 lol Looks like my sarcasm worked out, Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Looks like my sarcasm worked out, Ji. if you had only known when you said this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 if you had only known when you said this Shame that when the music stopped we weren't sitting the HECS chair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 You must not track EC storms much. This sort of nonsense is typical around these parts. NO.... not to this degree.. Many of the events last winter did not feature this sort of wild inconsistencies. Look at the 2 massive snwostorms in 4 days for DC MD into BWI PHL and NJ the arguement was whether you guys would get 18" as opposed to 12" not sunday skies as oppsoed to accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 NO.... not to this degree.. Many of the events last winter did not feature this sort of wild inconsistencies. Look at the 2 massive snwostorms in 4 days for DC MD into BWI PHL and NJ the arguement was whether you guys would get 18" as opposed to 12" not sunday skies as oppsoed to accumulating snow This season already seems worse than most for model madness, but I think last winter was an anomaly. That was just a snowy pattern and the models figured it out early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.