mattinpa Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas, all. It hasn't been the best one for me, but I have to remember what the true meaning is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas to the best subforum on the board! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 This time last year was much more exciting. Oh well. Merry Christmas. The 0z GFS run on Christmas Eve Night was epic win... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas to my Philly/Lehigh Valley/NJ weather friends!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 The 0z GFS run on Christmas Eve Night was epic win... The 0Z EC that night sealed the deal though. Of course, I still feel like I got ripped off, with only 10" versus the 25" which fell 20 miles east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noctilucent Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas, everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas and Happy New Year weenies! N.J. snowstorm on the way for New Year holiday? Published: Saturday, December 24, 2011, 10:00 AM Updated: Saturday, December 24, 2011, 5:08 PM By Stephen Stirling/The Star-Ledger Enlarge Saed Hindash/The Star-Ledger A motorist plunges through an unplowed street in Lawrenceville today after heavy snow fell overnight. Jan 27Another major snow storm batters New Jerseygallery (38 photos) A warm weather pattern will leave New Jersey with a green Christmas this year, but potential changes are on the horizon and the lead-up to the new year could be stormy — maybe even snowy. Christmas Day is expected to be pleasant, with partly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-40s, according to the National Weather Service. And after a month of above-average temperatures, there won’t be a snowflake to be found in the Garden State. But all of that could change by New Year’s Day, according to Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Henry Margusity. "I think next week we’ll get some opportunities" for snow in the Northeast, Margusity said. "I think we’ve got to watch around the 30th — the pattern’s going to start to change." The reason for the potential snowy shift resides in Greenland. A semi-permanent low-pressure system near Greenland, part of a weather phenomenon known as Northern Atlantic Oscillation, could weaken over the next several days. This is commonly referred to as the oscillation "going negative." As it does, it may allow a high-pressure system over eastern Canada to ease southward, pushing colder air into the Northeast and potentially slowing down and steering storms up the East Coast. If that happens, snow could hit New Jersey as the year ends. "That was the trick for the (2010 Boxing Day) blizzard," Margusity said. "It’s like clockwork with some of these indexes. When the NAO goes negative, you get snow in the Northeast." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas to all!!! East Nantmeal Twp PA - AM low 24.9 Sea Isle City NJ - AM Low 34.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Don't get me started on this... Merry Christmas and Happy New Year weenies! N.J. snowstorm on the way for New Year holiday? Published: Saturday, December 24, 2011, 10:00 AM Updated: Saturday, December 24, 2011, 5:08 PM By Stephen Stirling/The Star-Ledger Enlarge Saed Hindash/The Star-Ledger A motorist plunges through an unplowed street in Lawrenceville today after heavy snow fell overnight. Jan 27Another major snow storm batters New Jerseygallery (38 photos) A warm weather pattern will leave New Jersey with a green Christmas this year, but potential changes are on the horizon and the lead-up to the new year could be stormy — maybe even snowy. Christmas Day is expected to be pleasant, with partly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-40s, according to the National Weather Service. And after a month of above-average temperatures, there won’t be a snowflake to be found in the Garden State. But all of that could change by New Year’s Day, according to Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Henry Margusity. "I think next week we’ll get some opportunities" for snow in the Northeast, Margusity said. "I think we’ve got to watch around the 30th — the pattern’s going to start to change." The reason for the potential snowy shift resides in Greenland. A semi-permanent low-pressure system near Greenland, part of a weather phenomenon known as Northern Atlantic Oscillation, could weaken over the next several days. This is commonly referred to as the oscillation "going negative." As it does, it may allow a high-pressure system over eastern Canada to ease southward, pushing colder air into the Northeast and potentially slowing down and steering storms up the East Coast. If that happens, snow could hit New Jersey as the year ends. "That was the trick for the (2010 Boxing Day) blizzard," Margusity said. "It’s like clockwork with some of these indexes. When the NAO goes negative, you get snow in the Northeast." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noctilucent Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Don't get me started on this... [/b] Its Henry. We know what to expect, Ray! The question is, will "Snowloween" be the only snow I will see this winter? Its possible. Maybe WE should be making road trips to YOU this winter! Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas, from the red-headed stepchild of the regions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Maybe WE should be making road trips to YOU this winter! Not so far... http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/LKN/CF6EKO PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: ELKO NV MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2011 LATITUDE: 40 49 N LONGITUDE: 115 47 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 39 11 25 -4 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 14.2 35 30 M M 0 46 20 2 42 3 23 -5 42 0 0.00 0.0 0 8.1 24 330 M M 4 31 330 3 34 4 19 -9 46 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.3 14 310 M M 1 8 17 270 4 34 8 21 -7 44 0 T T 0 9.0 24 330 M M 7 8 31 320 5 31 0 16 -12 49 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.9 13 200 M M 1 14 200 6 37 3 20 -7 45 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.8 15 210 M M 0 20 220 7 42 1 22 -5 43 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.7 8 60 M M 0 10 90 8 45 5 25 -2 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 1.7 8 40 M M 0 9 80 9 45 5 25 -2 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.4 8 70 M M 0 14 110 10 47 5 26 0 39 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.4 8 80 M M 0 9 80 11 42 6 24 -2 41 0 0.00 0.0 0 1.5 7 90 M M 0 8 100 12 40 10 25 -1 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.9 9 80 M M 1 8 10 80 13 40 5 23 -3 42 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.3 10 210 M M 0 8 12 210 14 40 7 24 -2 41 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.1 15 260 M M 0 8 18 350 15 43 10 27 1 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.0 8 90 M M 1 10 90 16 41 4 23 -3 42 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.5 10 60 M M 0 13 70 17 48 9 29 4 36 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.5 8 90 M M 0 9 40 18 45 4 25 0 40 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.4 9 100 M M 0 12 220 19 45 11 28 3 37 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.4 10 30 M M 1 18 360 20 41 6 24 -1 41 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 14 220 M M 0 16 220 21 35 6 21 -4 44 0 0.00 0.0 0 6.5 3 280 M M 2 3 270 22 32 0 16 -9 49 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.8 13 230 M M 0 16 210 23 38 -1 19 -6 46 0 0.00 0.0 0 3.8 13 260 M M 0 14 260 24 41 0 21 -4 44 0 0.00 0.0 0 2.2 9 80 M M 0 9 70 ================================================================================ SM 967 122 1009 0 T T 95.8 M 18 ================================================================================ AV 40.3 5.1 4.0 FASTST M M 1 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> # 35 30 # 46 20 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/LKN/CLIEKO WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .................................................................. SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 9.2 1955 0.3 -0.3 0.0 MONTH TO DATE T 7.3 -7.3 9.3 SINCE DEC 1 T 7.3 -7.3 9.3 SINCE JUL 1 3.0 13.0 -10.0 22.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Its Henry. We know what to expect, Ray! The question is, will "Snowloween" be the only snow I will see this winter? Its possible. Maybe WE should be making road trips to YOU this winter! Merry Christmas! I don't really blame Margusity for what he said (except for -NAO meaning snow like clockwork...that was dumb) The headline writer was patently misleading readers though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noctilucent Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Not so far... Well at least its near normal temp wise there. I hate to think how far above normal TTN is for Dec. I think its +6 or more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Well at least its near normal temp wise there. I hate to think how far above normal TTN is for Dec. I think its +6 or more! Actually its -3.6 at EKO. Which honestly sucks. Cold and dry is just waste. Might as well be warm. Kinda weird though, with all those mornings in the single digits and highs around 40. TTN is +6.5. Grass is nice and green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Alright who turned the bold tag on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Alright who turned the bold tag on? It happened in darkstars posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 12z GFS is trying to cook something up 192-204. Merry christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas to all in the E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD and Ray Martin areas! Glad to have a nice day today to allow my wife and I to do some travelling (we are in Lebanon, PA now visiting her family...her sister is about to have a baby, which will likely happen by this evening). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 12z GFS is trying to cook something up 192-204. Merry christmas to all! Yup, looks like a Miller B. The 12z GEFS loos at least somewhat favorable for colder/snowier, despite the continued lack of Greenland blocking. The Euro ensemble mean isn't on Allan's site yet (I think it updates around 4:30) but I can say that the GFS op and ECM op at 180 look remarkably similar at h5 for being 6 and a half days out anyway. The ECM's energy is digging just slightly more, but the difference is slight (like 150 miles in the placement of the 552 dam contour in IL, for instance). I know it's Christmas, but if tombo is lurking I'd be curious to see what the Euro does beyond 180. Cold air is around, but not entrenched, so let's see what we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Yup, looks like a Miller B. The 12z GEFS loos at least somewhat favorable for colder/snowier, despite the continued lack of Greenland blocking. The Euro ensemble mean isn't on Allan's site yet (I think it updates around 4:30) but I can say that the GFS op and ECM op at 180 look remarkably similar at h5 for being 6 and a half days out anyway. The ECM's energy is digging just slightly more, but the difference is slight (like 150 miles in the placement of the 552 dam contour in IL, for instance). I know it's Christmas, but if tombo is lurking I'd be curious to see what the Euro does beyond 180. Cold air is around, but not entrenched, so let's see what we can get. From the NYC thread, the Euro track is a little too much of a coastal hugger for comfort, but there's definitely more potential then compared to what we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 I know it's Christmas, but if tombo is lurking I'd be curious to see what the Euro does beyond 180. Cold air is around, but not entrenched, so let's see what we can get. Low track is like 5 miles SE of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Merry Christmas to all in the E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD and Ray Martin areas! Glad to have a nice day today to allow my wife and I to do some travelling (we are in Lebanon, PA now visiting her family...her sister is about to have a baby, which will likely happen by this evening). Wow. Extra special day for you/your family. Very enjoyable day today with the sunshine and mild temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 From the NYC thread, the Euro track is a little too much of a coastal hugger for comfort, but there's definitely more potential then compared to what we've had. A little too close? It just about comes up 95. Either nice to have something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 A little too close? It just about comes up 95. Either nice to have something to track. There was some confusion, so I was just stating what I read there. It really is nice to have a solid opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 It's definitely east of 95 but it never touches the ocean which is a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 18z gfs = rain during winter classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 MERRY XMAS WEENIES!! (note, in banter.. not serious)!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 With the Euro track Ray described, I find it hard to believe that it really spits out 5-10" as Rob G says. http://www.liveweatherblogs.com/index.php?option=com_community&view=groups&task=viewdiscussion&topicid=238&groupid=8&Itemid=179 He was really good when he was on TV in Philly, but he's been off his mark lately. But wow, a snowy winter classic would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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