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December 11th - 13th Observations


HWY316wx

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WWA only 2 counties north of me. That might be the closest I get to one all winter :arrowhead: I'm surprised they're so gung ho with this system...though I suppose a WWA can be issued for less than an inch if travel will become treacherous (I think).

i am one county away lol. white county has one but not me, of course helen, suches, nacoochee etc will see snow (and i will probably be there tomorrow!) :snowman:

Stopped off at Hickory Nut Falls this afternoon. Quite a sight frozen almost solid, and it's 400 feet high. Very cloudy here, and 45 degrees. Still no wind.

thats an awesome pic!! :guitar:

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When was that?

This morning at the onset of the precip. (9-10am or so)

Now this is truly awesome in Iowa:

IAC059-120200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE

DICKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD

446 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE

DICKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ABSOLUTELY NO TRAVEL IN DICKINSON COUNTY TONIGHT. THE IOWA

DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION IS PULLING ALL REMAINING PLOWS AT 5

PM FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT. ALL RURAL ROADS ARE OR SOON WILL BE

IMPASSIBLE. CITY STREETS ARE ALSO IMPASSIBLE. VISIBILITY IS DOWN

TO ZERO IN RURAL AREAS AND LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS IS

EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. RESCUE OF ANY STRANDED INDIVIDUALS TONIGHT MAY

BE IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU DO BECOME STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

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Boone, NC is at 36/19 right now, with a wetbulb of 30. Asheville is 33 WB. Think Boone is probably a lock for a mix if not all snow. the 925 and 850 barely supports it for the event, but no model is giving a lot of moisture up that way, as much as say Asheville.

The models GFS and NAM are both similar in w. NC with precip (GA too) with about .50" in AVL and a little less than that in the northern mountains. Both models paint more qpf in southwest NC and over .75" in northern GA. If it were just the tiniest bit colder, northern GA would be looking a nice snowfall event. Still can't completely rule out some decent accuulations overnight there, I've seen stranger things happen and it wouldn't be that unheard of for models to miss some soundings just a degree or 2 at some level. The smokies southwest of Ashevile could really be looking at a good thump overnight.

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This morning at the onset of the precip. (9-10am or so)

Now this is truly awesome in Iowa:

IAC059-120200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE

DICKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD

446 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE

DICKINSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ABSOLUTELY NO TRAVEL IN DICKINSON COUNTY TONIGHT. THE IOWA

DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION IS PULLING ALL REMAINING PLOWS AT 5

PM FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT. ALL RURAL ROADS ARE OR SOON WILL BE

IMPASSIBLE. CITY STREETS ARE ALSO IMPASSIBLE. VISIBILITY IS DOWN

TO ZERO IN RURAL AREAS AND LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IN CONDITIONS IS

EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. RESCUE OF ANY STRANDED INDIVIDUALS TONIGHT MAY

BE IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU DO BECOME STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

Have you seen the 5H loop of where that feature is headed? Its progged to strenghten continuously on its trip to about St Louis then northern Tennessee by midday tomorrow, before getting absorbed. I haven't seen much talk about it, but it sort of reminds me of the 2009 March snow from Memphis to ATL and up the coast, not as strong but still very respectable. I think some nice suprises are on the way for the Tenn. region tomorrow.

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Have you seen the 5H loop of where that feature is headed? Its progged to strenghten continuously on its trip to about St Louis then northern Tennessee by midday tomorrow, before getting absorbed. I haven't seen much talk about it, but it sort of reminds me of the 2009 March snow from Memphis to ATL and up the coast, not as strong but still very respectable. I think some nice suprises are on the way for the Tenn. region tomorrow.

I think you might be right. I am debating a mountains chase but not quite sure just yet.

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40.2 with a dewpoint of 22. its gonna be close but alas, as someone else here has said (sorry i cant remember who off the top of my head) close only counts in horseshoes and grenades lol

edited to add: jeesh why does mother nature do this to us? wetbulb about 33...so if everyone in nc and tn went out and blew really hard to the se, would that help drop that one last degree :sled:

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Out of Morristown...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

733 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010

.DISCUSSION...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET IS PRODUCING A MODERATE

MOUNTAIN WAVE SCENARIO WITH GUSTS AT CAMP CREEK, TELLICO PLAINS,

AND COVE MOUNTAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS APPROACHING 45 KNOTS. WILL ISSUE

WIND ADVISORY FOR MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

NOT CONSIDERING UPDATING FORECASTS FOR OTHER ELEMENTS AT THIS TIME.

WILL MONITOR CONDITIONS, HOWEVER.

(In other words, batten down the hatches.)

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Out of Morristown...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

733 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010

.DISCUSSION...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET IS PRODUCING A MODERATE

MOUNTAIN WAVE SCENARIO WITH GUSTS AT CAMP CREEK, TELLICO PLAINS,

AND COVE MOUNTAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS APPROACHING 45 KNOTS. WILL ISSUE

WIND ADVISORY FOR MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

NOT CONSIDERING UPDATING FORECASTS FOR OTHER ELEMENTS AT THIS TIME.

WILL MONITOR CONDITIONS, HOWEVER.

(In other words, batten down the hatches.)

Yes it is certainly getting rough here :twister:

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The winds are absolutely howling, 20 - 30 mph from the SE. Every last leaf is stripped from the trees. It's 46 F at the moment. WB is 36.9 - down 5 since this afternoon.

Pretty neat event.

Here are some wetbulbs from 7pm. The surface map still has a high centered near DC, and this is keeping air piled up against the mountains tonight, with dewpoints still in the teens there, giving them low wetbulbs as well. On the west side of the Apps, stronger southwest flow is pulling in juicy warmer air.

post-38-0-21956000-1292114954.jpg

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