eyewall Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I still have a hard time believing there were flakes in Asheboro looking at their obs with hardly any precip there and temps in the low 40's. We have been at 36 because we have had steady precip and evap cooling. Just another few degrees and we would have a nice glaze outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 52° and partly sunny here in downslope hell! Bring on some rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 52° and partly sunny here in downslope hell! Bring on some rain I hit 50 earlier now a cirrus shield is coming in. Looks like a cold rain for you and I in the overnight and early morning. The 2m temps are around 33 to 34 your area. If the cold aloft could crash through the falling heights fast enough during the middle of the night, you might sneak in some wet slush, but thats a very long shot. Most likely the precip will be on the way out just as it turns cold enough to snow. Maybe we can pull the gulf low up next weekend to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I hit 50 earlier now a cirrus shield is coming in. Looks like a cold rain for you and I in the overnight and early morning. The 2m temps are around 33 to 34 your area. If the cold aloft could crash through the falling heights fast enough during the middle of the night, you might sneak in some wet slush, but thats a very long shot. Most likely the precip will be on the way out just as it turns cold enough to snow. Maybe we can pull the gulf low up next weekend to our area. Amazing how those two words together can crush a wx fan's hopes. "down" "slope". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 We were forecasted to hit 53 here today, the most I could manage was 49.4 around noon. It's started falling about .5/hr. The dewpoint is still only 21. Very smooth clouds that look like snow clouds right now and pretty dark for 3:20 in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 40 degrees and partly cloudy at 3:15 in the pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 dropped down to 48.5 You want to see some interesting football? Watch the Bears Patriots game at 4 tomorrow. Snow and 55 mph wind gusts, LOL Go bears! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Winter Weather AdvisoryURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 331 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 ...WINTER STORM TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH SUNDAY...DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA. RAIN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW EVEN IN LOWER ELEVATION AREAS SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY AS VERY COLD AIR PUSHES INTO THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL...WHICH MAY MAY PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. TNZ036>040-067>071-073-081-082-098-120930- /O.NEW.KMRX.WW.Y.0025.101212T1500Z-101214T0000Z/ ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX- JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-MARION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE... RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE... DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...JASPER 331 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 /231 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY. * TIMING: PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN...THEN CHANGE TO OR MIX WITH SNOW SUNDAY MORNING. ALL THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. * WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO ZERO TO 10 ABOVE ZERO AT TIMES. * IMPACTS: LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND LOW WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE TEENS SUNDAY NIGHT...ICE WILL LIKELY FORM ON ROADS. ROADS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS...AND ANYONE OUTDOORS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE COLD AND BRISK CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS ONCE THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEGINS. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WHERE SLIPPERY SPOTS OFTEN DEVELOP FIRST. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 dropped down to 48.5 You want to see some interesting football? Watch the Bears Patriots game at 4 tomorrow. Snow and 55 mph wind gusts, LOL Go bears! You nailed it. Panthers season tix holder and you wont find me within a thousand miles of BofA stadium tomorrow. Rain/35 degrees. Fair weather fan I guess. BUT I would LOVE to see what Bears/Patriots game will be like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I hit 50 earlier now a cirrus shield is coming in. Looks like a cold rain for you and I in the overnight and early morning. The 2m temps are around 33 to 34 your area. If the cold aloft could crash through the falling heights fast enough during the middle of the night, you might sneak in some wet slush, but thats a very long shot. Most likely the precip will be on the way out just as it turns cold enough to snow. Maybe we can pull the gulf low up next weekend to our area. wet bulb here right now is 34.1 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 43/19 here right now with overcast conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 You nailed it. Panthers season tix holder and you wont find me within a thousand miles of BofA stadium tomorrow. Rain/35 degrees. Fair weather fan I guess. BUT I would LOVE to see what Bears/Patriots game will be like. Grew up in Chicago, So there my team. The game is the CBS national game, you will probably get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 wet bulb here right now is 34.1 lol well that is going to fluctuate. If it were to snow you'd get cold from the top down, but again its probably a very long shot where you're at, but still worth monitoring overnight. Probably if it were to occur, it would be near the tail end of the event when the front is passing you by, say around 12Z Sunday morning right at the end. Anyway all this is really splitting hairs and getting ultra precise, LOL. I can't really say, but be prepared for almost anything. Like burgers motto, hope for the best, expect the worst. Pretty good motto in the South. I have a much stronger feeling on the post-frontal snow showers for your area, even considering downslope there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Grew up in Chicago, So there my team. The game the CBS national game, you will probably get it. Go Bears! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 well that is going to fluctuate. If it were to snow you'd get cold from the top down, but again its probably a very long shot where you're at, but still worth monitoring overnight. Probably if it were to occur, it would be near the tail end of the event when the front is passing you by, say around 12Z Sunday morning right at the end. Anyway all this is really splitting hairs and getting ultra precise, LOL. I can't really say, but be prepared for almost anything. Like burgers motto, hope for the best, expect the worst. Pretty good motto in the South. I have a much stronger feeling on the post-frontal snow showers for your area, even considering downslope there. i guess a couple of events last year and the year before with the dreaded 33 and rain are still fresh in my memory lol. it is splitting hairs and would take a miracle for something frozen overnight. also goes back to when n ga used to have the little surprises with rain and 30s in the forecast only to have something frozen falling. however, those surprises just dont seem to happen any more with the advances in technology and modeling over the last decade or two. as long as i can get some snow flakes in the air tomorrow it should help my feelings. gsp actually mentions rabun and habersham in their write up for the snow showers breaking containment (yes i still love that word ) and a dusting on west facing slopes (which i am ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I guess FFC is scratching there butts. They have yet to come out with a new update......:gun_bandana:....:snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I guess FFC is scratching there butts. They have yet to come out with a new update......:gun_bandana:....:snowman: I get the email as soon as it does! If you want it emailed to you automatically, PM me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 I get the email as soon as it does! If you want it emailed to you automatically, PM me. FFC just postd WW Advisory for some of our nothern counties......mainly from Dawsonville north. Not bad.....and also unexpected from them this early. I swear I'll wake up tomorrow to blowing wind and sunshine breaking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Just issued FFC EDIT: You beat me to it!! It's for us too Alert:...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINDADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM ESTMONDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY COVERS MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH GEORGIA SUNDAY. AS THEASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST U.S SUNDAY AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WILLDEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.Instructions: A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST20 MPH...OR GUSTS TO 35 MPH OR STRONGER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THISSTRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILEVEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAYAFTERNOON TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED TREES...POWER LINES...ANDSCATTERED POWER OUTAGES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 FFC just postd WW Advisory for some of our nothern counties......mainly from Dawsonville north. Not bad.....and also unexpected from them this early. I swear I'll wake up tomorrow to blowing wind and sunshine breaking through. WWA only 2 counties north of me. That might be the closest I get to one all winter I'm surprised they're so gung ho with this system...though I suppose a WWA can be issued for less than an inch if travel will become treacherous (I think). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 WWA only 2 counties north of me. That might be the closest I get to one all winter I'm surprised they're so gung ho with this system...though I suppose a WWA can be issued for less than an inch if travel will become treacherous (I think). I hate to be pessimistic, but somehow I think there may be a better chance of me getting blown off the road tomorrow than sliding off the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Might be getting a little nasty down south: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2122NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0231 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA...SERN AR...WRN MS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 112031Z - 112200Z CONVECTIVE TRENDS ACROSS NRN LA...SERN AR...AND WRN MS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 20Z SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD FROM ERNAR INTO NRN LA AND FAR SERN TX. TEMPERATURES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WERE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S F...WITH AN AXIS OF MID TO UPPER 50S F DEWPOINTS ALSO LOCATED IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE FRONT...WITH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER 50S IN CNTRL MS. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...AND ONLY A MARGINAL INFLUX OF HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES...DESTABILIZATION HAS BEEN WEAK...WITH SBCAPE VALUES REMAINING UNDER 500 J/KG.HOWEVER...A SLOWLY WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT ON THE NOSE OF A 95 KT MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX IS SUPPORTING DEEPENING CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.STRONG LOW- AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR /I.E. 0-1 KM SRH AOA300 M2 S-2 AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES IN EXCESS OF 50 KT/ MAYFAVOR ROTATING CELLS WITH THIS QUASI-DISCRETE CONVECTION...ALONG WITH A RISK FOR A TORNADO OR TWO. AS THE COLD FRONT AND INSTABILITYAXIS CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EWD...LINEAR LOW-LEVEL FORCING MAY ORGANIZE STORMS INTO A LINE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BECOMING THE PRIMARYSEVERE WEATHER THREAT...GARNER.. 12/11/2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Might be getting a little nasty down south: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2122NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0231 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA...SERN AR...WRN MS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 112031Z - 112200Z CONVECTIVE TRENDS ACROSS NRN LA...SERN AR...AND WRN MS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 20Z SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD FROM ERNAR INTO NRN LA AND FAR SERN TX. TEMPERATURES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WERE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S F...WITH AN AXIS OF MID TO UPPER 50S F DEWPOINTS ALSO LOCATED IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE FRONT...WITH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER 50S IN CNTRL MS. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...AND ONLY A MARGINAL INFLUX OF HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES...DESTABILIZATION HAS BEEN WEAK...WITH SBCAPE VALUES REMAINING UNDER 500 J/KG.HOWEVER...A SLOWLY WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT ON THE NOSE OF A 95 KT MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX IS SUPPORTING DEEPENING CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.STRONG LOW- AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR /I.E. 0-1 KM SRH AOA300 M2 S-2 AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES IN EXCESS OF 50 KT/ MAYFAVOR ROTATING CELLS WITH THIS QUASI-DISCRETE CONVECTION...ALONG WITH A RISK FOR A TORNADO OR TWO. AS THE COLD FRONT AND INSTABILITYAXIS CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EWD...LINEAR LOW-LEVEL FORCING MAY ORGANIZE STORMS INTO A LINE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BECOMING THE PRIMARYSEVERE WEATHER THREAT...GARNER.. 12/11/2010 Yeah, look like the first Tornado warning just went up for a couple counties NW of Jackson, MS. Reminds me of a couple of weeks ago but with less instability (there wasn't a whole lot then either, but you saw what happened over near the Mall of Georgia.) Doesn't take much with these extreme dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Here's where the current freezing levels are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Stopped off at Hickory Nut Falls this afternoon. Quite a sight frozen almost solid, and it's 400 feet high. Very cloudy here, and 45 degrees. Still no wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 That's awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Incredible picture, where abouts is Hickory Nut Falls? Would love to go see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Looks like the Huntsville, AL WFO is in on the WWA for northern Alabama as well. This look like a good forecasting test as far as dynamic wrapped up systems and backside snow showers are concerned here in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Incredible picture, where abouts is Hickory Nut Falls? Would love to go see it. Sorry. It's at Chimney Rock State Park. You can hike to the frozen base, about 3/4 of a mile. Quite impressive, and Tuesday will be incredible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 41/22 wb- 34 and cloudy, Need temp to drop on down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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