adk Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It’s nice to see all the flakes PF, even if it’s not quite to the level of what was going on last year at this time… As I was preparing for lecture today, I saw that my slides from Dec 6th of last year had some snowflakes on the cover sheet, which I often do if there’s snow around. So I went back and looked at my weather records, and sure enough, we were in the midst of a nice upslope snow event that brought two feet of snow down at the house, and close to four feet up in the higher elevations. At the house, it actually wound up being our second largest event of the season in terms of snowfall. I'd kill for this event. I mean it was deep: Needless to say I would KILL for an event like that right now. I remember PF and I trading very excited emails about this upslope event and I just about lost my mind when I saw these pics from our mutual friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Model trends getting interesting for Central NE for the next system. Looks like mainly will effect South/Central NH almost to Lakes Region with a sharp cut off. .50" QPF line to just north of Concord and .25" in extreme Southern White Mountains. Another 50 mile shift north and more of NNE enters the game. Would like to see just enough snow here to cover the ground and make it more winterlke. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Model trends getting interesting for Central NE for the next system. Looks like mainly will effect South/Central NH almost to Lakes Region with a sharp cut off. .50" QPF line to just north of Concord and .25" in extreme Southern White Mountains. Another 50 mile shift north and more of NNE enters the game. Would like to see just enough snow here to cover the ground and make it more winterlke. Time will tell. Looks like we will be seeing that happen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Looks like we will be seeing that happen.. Feeling better about this one now? Looks like it has legs. I mentioned to the guys at work earlier today that there was a chance for a storm on Thursday and I was met with scoffing. I may get the last laugh with this. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Feeling better about this one now? Looks like it has legs. I mentioned to the guys at work earlier today that there was a chance for a storm on Thursday and I was met with scoffing. I may get the last laugh with this. We'll see. Somewhat, I mentioned it today as well and got the Really? and question look, We will see after the runs tonight, Sharp gradient to the west for precip so we will need to see it tick some more west, But it will fook many others below, I think it will be similar to the thanksgiving storm with a little less qpf for now up here or has a chance to, Quick hitter, Right now its prob a 3-5" deal, But it was all snow for up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Congrats Gene on the Euro. Double digits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 What is brutal is that out of 13 mornings now that the ski resort has been open, only 6 of them have had temperatures below freezing at 6am in the morning. That's 1,500ft in a notch between two big mountains in northern VT and more than 50% of the time the temperature has been above freezing at the coldest time of day. That's pretty crazy. Of course that weird inversion event last week skewed those numbers as we were 55F when MVL ASOS was 27F, but still. If we can't even average freezing or below at this point during the lowest sun angles, that's brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Somewhat, I mentioned it today as well and got the Really? and question look, We will see after the runs tonight, Sharp gradient to the west for precip so we will need to see it tick some more west, But it will fook many others below, I think it will be similar to the thanksgiving storm with a little less qpf for now up here or has a chance to, Quick hitter, Right now its prob a 3-5" deal, But it was all snow for up here Plenty of time for changes, but right now it looks like the foothills will thread the needle between mts accum at the tail end of today's event and Thursday morning's snow in IZG-LEW-AUG. One clown map has a distinct no-snow arrow stretching from southwest VT (and points SW) to northeast of BGR, with significant snowfall to both north and south. At least it's supposed to get seasonably cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Plenty of time for changes, but right now it looks like the foothills will thread the needle between mts accum at the tail end of today's event and Thursday morning's snow in IZG-LEW-AUG. One clown map has a distinct no-snow arrow stretching from southwest VT (and points SW) to northeast of BGR, with significant snowfall to both north and south. At least it's supposed to get seasonably cold. Models trends are still in our favor, This storm is only going to be able to go so far NW, We look to stay below 0c here in the mid levels throughout so we could see some decent accumalations out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Congrats Gene on the Euro. Double digits? Gene, I'm coming to visit you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Don't care about snow right now. Let's get the ground frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 May be getting close to tossing out some prelimnary snow calls for thurs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 May be getting close to tossing out some prelimnary snow calls for thurs... Go ahead, toss 'em out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Go ahead, toss 'em out. I am thinking 4-8" with my 1st call, Could be a little conservative based off of the Euro's qpf, Going to be a good 6 hr or so thumping but its moving pretty quick so we could possibly get to 10", Just not real confident with that as of yet, I will probably wait until 0z tonight..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 GYX now calling for 2-4" tomorrow night with "add'l light accum" Thursday, for inland areas IZG-LEW-AUG plus mts/foothills, preceded by some ice (up to 1/4" for Eric, then less SN), and mentioned possible advisory criteria in their AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 1st call: 4-8" from KRUT-KLEB-KDRYSLOT 2-4" LSC 1-2" Powderfreak almost nothing at BTV. Gradient is gonna kill us in VT. Bring that to the bank. Congrats southern greens, central greens, MWN valley, Lakes region, and Oxford cty in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Congrats Gene on the Euro. Double digits? Hum, Brian. Yesterday I was worried about getting into the good QPF. This afternoon I am worried how much will be rain verses snow. What do you think for our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 any of you NNE folks joining us SNE folks in worcester, ma for the g2g on Sat...yes, it's a long drive...but we you, even if you get more snow than us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 any of you NNE folks joining us SNE folks in worcester, ma for the g2g on Sat...yes, it's a long drive...but we you, even if you get more snow than us! I'd love to - been to two of them - but I get to play Amazing Daddy to a couple of five-year-olds starting at 5pm Saturday. Make sure lots of pics get taken and posted ... I need new material. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'd love to - been to two of them - but I get to play Amazing Daddy to a couple of five-year-olds starting at 5pm Saturday. Make sure lots of pics get taken and posted ... I need new material. awww, i hope you have fun...should i say GOOD LUCK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 awww, i hope you have fun...should i say GOOD LUCK! I believe I can say the same to you! Enjoy Funky Murphy's and hoist one for the NNE folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I believe I can say the same to you! Enjoy Funky Murphy's and hoist one for the NNE folk. i believe i can take care of that! and to think i was hoping to see what kind of t-shirt you would wear...guess that will have to be for another time! looks like you've got snow coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I grabbed the BTV graphics from this morning for the upcoming winter weather; we’re under a Winter Weather Advisory here in Waterbury, with the point and click calling for 2-4 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 1st call: 4-8" from KRUT-KLEB-KDRYSLOT 2-4" LSC 1-2" Powderfreak almost nothing at BTV. Gradient is gonna kill us in VT. Bring that to the bank. Congrats southern greens, central greens, MWN valley, Lakes region, and Oxford cty in Maine This is going to need to be updated... haha. We will have to see how quickly we can flip from rain to snow up here when the thump comes in. I'm still going to be weary of this until it is actually snowing. Hopefully a few inches can fall to whiten the grass (NAM and GFS are both over 1/2" QPF for snow) for the cold blast Fri-Sun. Highs in the 20s to near 30F and lows in the teens with any snow on the ground will feel ridiculous to the April weather we've been having. Maybe a couple more inches on Friday with the arctic FROPA coupled with lake moisture and upslope flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I grabbed the BTV graphics from this morning for the upcoming winter weather; we’re under a Winter Weather Advisory here in Waterbury, with the point and click calling for 2-4 inches of snow. I feel pretty confident that there will be a very narrow stripe of 5-8" totals, especially in higher terrain, somewhere in central VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I feel pretty confident that there will be a very narrow stripe of 5-8" totals, especially in higher terrain, somewhere in central VT. Yeah they are definitely are going conservative here. My updated thinking (LOL): 3-5" Powderfreak 4-6" LSC (up to 8" if we can flip over early) Nothing now for Dryslot, maybe some backside flurries. 2-3" at BTV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted December 7, 2011 Author Share Posted December 7, 2011 Damp & drizzly for now. Let's see how this puppy plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Yeah they are definitely are going conservative here. My updated thinking (LOL): 3-5" Powderfreak 4-6" LSC (up to 8" if we can flip over early) Nothing now for Dryslot, maybe some backside flurries. 2-3" at BTV Yup looks like the warm air wins out around here with the projected track. Backside flurries .... Is that like Ass dandruff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Yeah they are definitely are going conservative here. My updated thinking (LOL): 3-5" Powderfreak 4-6" LSC (up to 8" if we can flip over early) Nothing now for Dryslot, maybe some backside flurries. 2-3" at BTV Sounds good... my email this morning had 3-6" for Mansfield overnight. I think I should be able to get at least the low end of that range from 1,500-4,000ft and hopefully up to 6" up high where snow will be falling in the 20s the whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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