phlwx Posted November 3, 2011 Share Posted November 3, 2011 http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2011/11/phillyweathernet-2011-12-snowfall.html Fill out the form in the link. Winner gets bragging rights. (yes, the 0.3" counts towards the seasonal total) Mets are welcome to enter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 Submitted: 27.6" (didn't even see the team prediction on the website, right in the range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 Do our predictions show up on that website somewhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 4, 2011 Author Share Posted November 4, 2011 1320365412[/url]' post='1094262']Submitted: 27.6" (didn't even see the team prediction on the website, right in the range) Yeah the winter forecast got issued two nights before snowtober....didn't feel like changing the date...we've traditionally done the winter forecast last thurs of oct for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 4, 2011 Author Share Posted November 4, 2011 1320365575[/url]' post='1094271']Do our predictions show up on that website somewhere? I'll post them later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 34.3" submitted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 I hope I'm wrong on my prediction, by about 2 feet..........too little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgir Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 19.7 for this winter ... guessing most larger snowfalls are well north and west of the city. Thinking is, more lake cutters than coastals this winter. Ahh, time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 28.3" at National Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 Why bother, the 0.3 will be it for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 Submitted 30 inches even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 4, 2011 Author Share Posted November 4, 2011 Why bother, the 0.3 will be it for the season. Factoring in sleet and graupel, I'd be more inclined to go with 0.7" for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 Contest page blocked @ work. Going with 42.8". Will add from home later. Thinking (hoping) pervasive cold this winter should get us there. Hopefully the cold doesn't overwhelm the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarthDoppler Posted November 4, 2011 Share Posted November 4, 2011 I'm going with 31.4".....which is slightly above average, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 4, 2011 Author Share Posted November 4, 2011 I'm going with 31.4".....which is slightly above average, right? Recent average is 21.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 Why bother, the 0.3 will be it for the season. Then that new snow thrower is going to come in real handy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 I'm going with 60" of snow for Philly. 3rd snowiest in history if this list is accurate: Here are Philly’s snowiest winters: 1) 78.7" in 2009-2010 (strong El Niño) 2) 65.5" in 1995-1996 (weak La Niña) 3) 55.4" in 1898-1899 4) 54.9" in 1977-1978 (weak El Niño) 5) 49.1" in 1960-1961 (neutral) 6) 46.3" in 2002-2003 (moderate El Niño) 7) 44.3" in 1966-1967 (neutral) 8) 44.0" in 2010-2011 (moderate La Niña) 9) 43.9" in 1917-1918 10) 43.8" in 1904-1905 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 I'm going with 60" of snow for Philly. 3rd snowiest in history if this list is accurate: Here are Philly’s snowiest winters: 1) 78.7" in 2009-2010 (strong El Niño) 2) 65.5" in 1995-1996 (weak La Niña) 3) 55.4" in 1898-1899 4) 54.9" in 1977-1978 (weak El Niño) 5) 49.1" in 1960-1961 (neutral) 6) 46.3" in 2002-2003 (moderate El Niño) 7) 44.3" in 1966-1967 (neutral) 8) 44.0" in 2010-2011 (moderate La Niña) 9) 43.9" in 1917-1918 10) 43.8" in 1904-1905 Greg, I know its not exactly apples to apples, but according to the JMA & FYI 1898-9 enso neutral, 1904-5 weak el nino and 1917-18 weak la nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 Thanks, Tony! I made that list awhile ago, but wasn't 100% sure it was accurate and didn't know how to classify those winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted November 5, 2011 Share Posted November 5, 2011 Then that new snow thrower is going to come in real handy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 I'll say 18.1" of snow at the Philly airport this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 I say 30 at the airport and 40-50 inches in the burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 Went with 23.5 for no other reason then 23 is my favorite number and added .5 just to spice things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 8, 2011 Author Share Posted November 8, 2011 Quakertown needs snow was rather exact in his snowfall total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted November 8, 2011 Share Posted November 8, 2011 Quakertown needs snow was rather exact in his snowfall total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 9, 2011 Author Share Posted November 9, 2011 Out of everyone (including non members from here who voted): Mean total: 29.6" Low: 3.8" High: 60.0" Distribution: 60" -- 1 40"-50" -- 7 30"-39.9" -- 24 20"-29.9" -- 24 10"-19.9" -- 8 <10" -- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted November 9, 2011 Share Posted November 9, 2011 Out of everyone (including non members from here who voted): Mean total: 29.6" Low: 3.8" High: 60.0" Distribution: 60" -- 1 40"-50" -- 7 30"-39.9" -- 24 20"-29.9" -- 24 10"-19.9" -- 8 <10" -- 3 Pretty reasonable distribution there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted November 9, 2011 Share Posted November 9, 2011 I guess I skewed the statistics with my crazy 60" prediction, ha-ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 12, 2011 Author Share Posted November 12, 2011 I guess I skewed the statistics with my crazy 60" prediction, ha-ha. you were 13" higher than the next guy. Optimism FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yak Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 26.6 inches. Thinkin' this winter may be a return to the typical distribution where mixing issues limit the total at PHL while some northwest suburbs crack 40 inches. We shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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