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December 16/17 threat


stormtracker

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that is NOT what I aksed for

I am familar with the CIPS site

its is incomprehensible to me and poorly run

I am asking for THAT map LINK

I have looked at over 104 maps in the last 30 minutes and I cant find it

Do you mean how you get there? Or this below?

http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/IMAGES/COOP/EVENT/2010/20100201_120_total.png

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gfs a little more qpf in the dc area... think 1-2" is a safe bet, hoping for a little more bumpage to that

Bumpage haha, yeah I agree Ian with ratios and the trends you are safe for that, plus what I said about the northern fringe which a met pointed out. The cold air will certainly play to our advantage. It does seem the slightest bit lighter as well. If we can get even close to the ETA, or at least continue the 6z trends back up at 18z and 00z, then there could be some surprises for DC + CMD. What we do know is that DT will get slammed :)

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Guest someguy

with regard to saturday night sunday

s and e of RIC folks need to recall DEC 25 2004 SNOWSTORM for se VA 6-8" fell in willamsburg 12"+ in PHF and ORF and suffolk...

that might be what we see dec 19

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --*AN UPDATE FOR TV METS B4 THE NOON NEWS. CURRENT THINKING FOR THE

SNOW FOR THU IS THAT THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ACROSS OUR SRN TIER

COUNTIES - GREENE TO PENDLETON AND S. UP TO 3" OF SNOW PSBL

THERE. GOOD CHC WE`LL BE ISSUING AN ADVSRY THERE W/ THE AFTN

PCKG. FURTHER N SNOW ACCUM THREAT DROPS OFF QUICKLY. IF AN ADVSRY

NEEDS TO BE ISSUED IT WOULD PRBLY BE USING THE "1 INCH DURG

COMMUTE" RULE THAT WAS INITIATED LAST YR. AS SN NOT XPCTD UNTIL

NOON THU THAT WOULDN`T BE ISSUED B4 THE MID SHIFT TNGT...PERHAPS

NOT UNTIL THU MRNG SHIFT.*

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --*AN UPDATE FOR TV METS B4 THE NOON NEWS. CURRENT THINKING FOR THE

SNOW FOR THU IS THAT THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ACROSS OUR SRN TIER

COUNTIES - GREENE TO PENDLETON AND S. UP TO 3" OF SNOW PSBL

THERE. GOOD CHC WE`LL BE ISSUING AN ADVSRY THERE W/ THE AFTN

PCKG. FURTHER N SNOW ACCUM THREAT DROPS OFF QUICKLY. IF AN ADVSRY

NEEDS TO BE ISSUED IT WOULD PRBLY BE USING THE "1 INCH DURG

COMMUTE" RULE THAT WAS INITIATED LAST YR. AS SN NOT XPCTD UNTIL

NOON THU THAT WOULDN`T BE ISSUED B4 THE MID SHIFT TNGT...PERHAPS

NOT UNTIL THU MRNG SHIFT.*

Hmmm.. I sense chaos tomorrow. If the QPF is as advertized on the 12Z runs today, with temps in the low/mid 20s when the snow starts in the morning (after school decisions are made). Not going to be a pretty site on the roadways especially if an advisory isn't issued until AM.

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[top]

000

WWUS41 KAKQ 151551

WSWAKQ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA

1051 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE

TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI

TONIGHT AND THEN INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON THURSDAY. THIS

SYSTEM WILL SPREAD WINTER WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION

BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. AT THIS

TIME...THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE FOCUSED OVER CENTRAL

AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO SLEET

AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY NEAR THE NORTH

CAROLINA BORDER.

VAZ048-049-060>063-065>071-079>083-087>089-160130-

/O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0006.101216T0900Z-101217T0000Z/

FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-

MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-

HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-

GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND...

ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...

LAWRENCEVILLE...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...EMPORIA...WAKEFIELD

1051 AM EST WED DEC 15 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH

THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH

THURSDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATION...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

* ICE AMOUNTS...A TRACE TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE...MAINLY

TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* TIMING: LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS: HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

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