Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 first cwg snowmap: http://voices.washingtonpost.com/capitalweathergang/2010/12/pm_update_still_cold_waiting_o.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 8:45 PM, Ian said: first cwg snowmap: http://voices.washingtonpost.com/capitalweathergang/2010/12/pm_update_still_cold_waiting_o.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 8:45 PM, Ian said: first cwg snowmap: http://voices.washin..._waiting_o.html Bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:08 PM, winterwxluvr said: Bust. i wouldnt be surprised if it came north based on 'trends' but we're running out of time i guess.. and i like to hug the wettest/coldest model myself sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 8:45 PM, Ian said: first cwg snowmap: http://voices.washin..._waiting_o.html so you are goong for LESS snow than the GFS in RIC.....? sure... and MIX? not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:14 PM, someguy said: so you are goong for LESS snow than the GFS in RIC.....? sure... and MIX? not good Agreed, and I know you aren't just saying this because you live in the snow hole, I believe this will occur: Baltimore: 1.6'' Around DC: 2.3'' CHO: 3.4'' RIC: 5.1'' That's preliminary...and also I doubt much mixing for RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Pretty consistent on the NAM for tomorrow DCA 06z: 0.17" 12z: 0.13" 18z: 0.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:21 PM, MN Transplant said: Pretty consistent on the NAM for tomorrow DCA 06z: 0.17" 12z: 0.13" 18z: 0.15" Can you throw BWI's my way? I'd appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:21 PM, MN Transplant said: Pretty consistent on the NAM for tomorrow DCA 06z: 0.17" 12z: 0.13" 18z: 0.15" Would 12:1 SR's make sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:22 PM, yoda said: Would 12:1 SR's make sense? I would think higher.. Except maybe DCA. 15:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:21 PM, ddweatherman said: Can you throw BWI's my way? I'd appreciate it. Here's the link http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=MD&stn=KBWI&model=nam&time=current&field=prec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:24 PM, Ian said: I would think higher.. Except maybe DCA. 15:1? 15:1 SR's with 0.15 would give 0.225 of QPF. Which would give DCA just over 2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Color map of RGEM at 24: http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_024.jpg 36: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/18_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:25 PM, MN Transplant said: Here's the link http://coolwx.com/cg...rent&field=prec Thanks, been a while since I used them, but heck BWI at 0.074 with 15:1 still is about 1.10 (1.11 I believe) However, I think we should get at least .1 here in SE Baltimore, so 1'' is a pretty good bet for the area, any more liquid or any more trends and good things could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:28 PM, ddweatherman said: Thanks, been a while since I used them, but heck BWI at 0.074 with 15:1 still is about 1.10 (1.11 I believe) However, I think we should get at least .1 here in SE Baltimore, so 1'' is a pretty good bet for the area, any more liquid or any more trends and good things could happen. Yeah, you could get 1.2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I would surmise that the 18z RGEM shows 4-6mm of precip for DCA area... on average I would say 0.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 i think .2 is about where we'll settle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:31 PM, PhineasC said: Yeah, you could get 1.2 inches. You're right! Thanks for noticing Phin. But you and I both know it could give us a little surprise, and that Ian should change his CWG map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 .33 got DCA 6.4 last yr on jan 30 -- this will probably have a bit lower ratios but should be the type of snow that accums at DCA about as well as elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:31 PM, PhineasC said: Yeah, you could get 1.2 inches. That is double what you have . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 The 0c line trend looks too close for comfort for D.C. on the 18Z GFS. Qpf looks good though imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:53 PM, BTRWeather said: The 0c line trend looks too close for comfort for D.C. on the 18Z GFS. Qpf looks good though imo. I really don't think that's going to be a concern up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 9:46 PM, ravensrule said: That is double what you have . Actually, I will see plenty of snow this weekend. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 10:21 PM, PhineasC said: Actually, I will see plenty of snow this weekend. Sorry. Don't think that's what he meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 10:25 PM, winterwxluvr said: Don't think that's what he meant. I know what he meant but I generally don't exchange penis jokes with handicapped teenagers on weather boards. Do you think this is the SNE forum or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I think all we can hope for is that punch of PAC moisture boosts us up to around .2", which, if it happened, would give us close to 3" with expected ratios http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 10:30 PM, PhineasC said: I know what he meant but I generally don't exchange penis jokes with handicapped teenagers on weather boards. Do you think this is the SNE forum or something? You've been on your A-game the past day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm very happy we have this event to mitigate the pain of our bigger threat looking more OTSish. From a quick look latest GFS/NAM/SREF all have 0.25 comin close to DC. Can we break 2 inches? It would be nice if we could! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 On 12/15/2010 at 10:10 PM, Kmlwx said: I really don't think that's going to be a concern up this way. yea, the placement of the big 0c symbol affected my perception a bit. I'm learning piece by piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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