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Enter Capital Weather Gang contest to predict DCA snow this winter....


capitalweather

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Follow this link to enter our contest:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/contest-how-much-snow-will-fall-this-winter/2011/11/02/gIQAVKIxfM_blog.html

Thanks for playing :thumbsup:

(By the way, in a poll we put up on our Facebook page, DT voted for 35"+ option in the "how much snow for DCA this year" poll - although who knows if he was being serious. Y'all should like us on Facebook if you haven't already: http://www.facebook.com/capitalweather and on Twitter @capitalweather)

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Done and done... kept it within my 15-21" original prediction :) We'll see how well that holds up.

I'm sticking with my 25-30" since I mentioned it during the summer. I'm pretty confident I'll be wrong but let's go for the gold.

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Ian..,how come your only wrong when you forecast more snow?

I've almost exclusively focused on nowcasting and short range. I'd bet I'm as good as just about anyone on those things. I barely understand stuff like the QBO etc. I'm slowly trying to learn but it's not a top priority. I guess I should just play the avg with a little ENSO mixed in.

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I guessed a little over 14".

I guessed 14.2 as my guess for the winter is 11-16 so I sort of picked a number within that range. Anyone forecasting above normal and hitting is going strongly against climo. we have lots more years below the average than above. Still I bet around the average and a little above the median which makes me a stupid optimist.

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