bluehens Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 Has HM released his winter forecast yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 if today's front came through in a month or so, we'd have a nice little period of snow I'd betcha' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 if today's front came through in a month or so, we'd have a nice little period of snow I'd betcha' depends on how much it had to do with sean. i doubt the front would have been crawling so slow at least.. and sean probably helped throw some moistuer back over top the cold dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 depends on how much it had to do with sean. i doubt the front would have been crawling so slow at least.. and sean probably helped throw some moistuer back over top the cold dome. naso' fast NINA = stubborn SE Ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 naso' fast NINA = stubborn SE Ridge fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 Cold, raw, rainy. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 mod rain, temp in the 40s. So sleepy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 Its raw outside thats for sha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 here's some good news long term you've all seen the FSU link for snow cover: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/snow/ well, if you go down to the 3rd graph down-5 Year Snow Cover and click on the link "35N-55N" right under the year 2009, you get the last 5 year snow cover for the area 35N through 55N looky there....now that's a good trend over the past 5 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Ground whitening tease snow going on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 The 7 day GFS almost gives us something to track!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 it might be time to cancel December at least. The Euro Weeklies are horrible from what i heard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 it might be time to cancel December at least. The Euro Weeklies are horrible from what i heard Euro weeklies can't forecast their way out of a paper bag beyond week one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Euro weeklies can't forecast their way out of a paper bag beyond week one. Orh would disagree. He has been defending their performance including nailing the late October blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 it might be time to cancel December at least. The Euro Weeklies are horrible from what i heard You know what this means for the rest of winter if the euro is messing up already, right? Get ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 36F, windy, and snow showers this morning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Orh would disagree. He has been defending their performance including nailing the late October blast The week one forecast (which is actually the 5-11 day forecast) usually does okay/good, but if he tries to argue beyond that, I can tell you right now that the other weeks beyond that can often be (and usually are) way off. Looking at the most recent verification for a week two forecast (12-18 day) from the Euro weeklies, it showed above normal to much above normal temperatures over the western half of the U.S. and Canada and below normal in the eastern half. The verification was just the opposite over the western U.S. and Canada is completely the opposite, though it did mange to get the belows over the eastern U.S. right. So yeah, it got everything wrong except the eastern U.S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 a late start to winter is not a bad thing we will see plenty of winter this year imho; I just hope we get some decent snow hits vs. misses like last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 a late start to winter is not a bad thing we will see plenty of winter this year imho; I just hope we get some decent snow hits vs. misses like last year A late start to winter around here is January 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 A late start to winter around here is January 1. well, I was just commenting that late starts around here are not necessarily bad late start to me is around Christmas, but what's a week not that it was that great snow-wise around here, 93/94 didn't get cold until Christmas night although 78/79 has 3" of snow Thanksgiving week, winter (snow) was missing in action until mid-late JAN I do believe this year we'll have a pattern change to winter by the first week of DEC and it should be below normal temp-wise in DEC; snow, dunno' personally, a pattern change late NOV/early DEC is good timing for us (winter will remember DEC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Would it be possible to have separate threads for current obs/forecasting and the long/medium-term winter discussions? This thread has taken on a schizophrenic nature, as it keeps switching between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Would it be possible to have separate threads for current obs/forecasting and the long/medium-term winter discussions? This thread has taken on a schizophrenic nature, as it keeps switching between the two. there's a difference between us and clinical schizophrenia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 here are some obs for you Dude, at least State of MD obs http://www.wispresort.com/wisp/info/w.webcam.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 +LF here. Grass is covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Would it be possible to have separate threads for current obs/forecasting and the long/medium-term winter discussions? This thread has taken on a schizophrenic nature, as it keeps switching between the two. i think there is a winter thread.. the weenies cant control themselves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 i think there is a winter thread.. the weenies cant control themselves to be fair, the title of the thread is "NOVEMBER 2011 OBS/FORECASTING DISCUSSION" sooooo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 to be fair, the title of the thread is "NOVEMBER 2011 OBS/FORECASTING DISCUSSION" sooooo... i would have bolded the november part but that's just me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 there's a difference between us and clinical schizophrenia? Let's not jump to conclusions... i would have bolded the november part but that's just me... Ian for admin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 +LF here. Grass is covered. This. Lost the entire maple in about 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 i waited too long to take pics i guess.. but since everyone in the world has a camera now i doubt it's too missed. i may hit the lowlands (rock creek park/the mall area) the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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