WinterWxLuvr Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 I was thinking this morning that the early season snowfall we had has given an overall "mood" that would not normally be present on this calendar date. I would venture that normally on Nov. 30, we wouldn't be too upset about a warmish pattern. Granted, if this were Dec. 30, it would be a different story, but I think that early snow threw us a bit out of a "normal" mindset. Oh, BTW, someone start a new thread tonight so that we can remove this "hex" we have on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 The folks in new England are depressed about the pattern...does note bode well for us they were depressed in 09/10 when they all hit average (and most were above average) snowfall simply because we were getting jackpoted (not all in the NE thread, but the usual suspects) why do you care? they live in a different world climo-wise and, at least at this point, their biatching now is probably equivalent to our biatching if we were faced with the current pattern in early JAN (and we would all be biatching) anyway, you were whining in mid-JAN 2010 about the winter; I seriously doubt they were worried about your complaining then we'll get snow of consequence in JAN/FEB if we miss it in DEC so get over it and start practicing your scale modes on the guitar! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 The final precipitation totals (in inches) for each of those months were as follows: November 2005: 1.92 November 2001: 0.55 November 1964: 1.42 November 1931: 1.01 November 1918: 1.48 November 1917: 0.53 November 1878: 3.03 November 1874: 2.08 Average, 8 years: 1.50 So, the average of those eight years is very similar to what would be expected based on multiplying 16 (the number of days remaining in November) by the average of .093 inches of precipitation per day that has occurred in DC in November during 1871-2010. Let's see how close we come to that average this year. And the answer is that we exceeded the 1.50 inch average by 0.44 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 Monthly climo numbers through yesterday. They should be pretty close to the final since we don't expect any precip today and temps will probably end up near climo. DCA: +2.9F, -1.12" BWI:+4.2F, -0.73" IAD: +2.7F, -1.11" RIC: +3.1F, +1.05" So much for my idea of ending up within 1F of normal by month's end . The last 10 days just torched with double digit positive anomalies and consistently overperformed the models by a few degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 How much would we still be warm by if you took out the last 10 bake days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 How much would we still be warm by if you took out the last 10 bake days? Through the 19th, BWI was about +1F, DCA was almost exactly at climo, and IAD was about 0.5F below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Monthly climo numbers through yesterday. They should be pretty close to the final since we don't expect any precip today and temps will probably end up near climo. DCA: +2.9F, -1.12" BWI:+4.2F, -0.73" IAD: +2.7F, -1.11" RIC: +3.1F, +1.05" So much for my idea of ending up within 1F of normal by month's end . The last 10 days just torched with double digit positive anomalies and consistently overperformed the models by a few degrees. Have we set a record yet for the number of times Ji has cancelled winter...before it's even begun??? Seriously though...the temperature departures aren't that surprising. But I never realized the DC area was that dry in terms of precipitation. I guess after all the rain through much of the fall, that got kind of lost in the shuffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 A cold 23 this morning. Edit: Oops!....It's December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 November monthlies IMBY: Highs / departure: 58.3 / +3.3 Lows / departure: 36.9 / +1.1 Precip / departure: 5.48 / +2.53 Summary: warm & wet. This is the 3rd consecutive month with significant positive precip departures (+6.61" during this 3-month period). Interestingly, all but .01" of rain fell from the 15th to the end of the month. Amusingly, we were talking of a record dry November in the early/mid part of the month. Boy, did that turn out to be wrong. Hopefully, likewise, all this talk of a mild winter we are hearing now will turn out wrong also. Saw two rounds of snow-showers: the morning of the 11th and the evening of the 17th. Max high of 68F on Nov. 8th and Nov. 27th. Minimum temp of 22F on Nov. 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 My station Monthly high: 74.5 on the 14th Monthly low: 31.2 on the 18th Precip: 1.88" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 My Station - November Mean temp: 47.5 High: 72.8 11/14 Low: 20.4 11/18 HDD: 520 CDD: 6 Precip: 6.65 Second highest monthly total this year High Wind: 20 11/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 This feels like another one of those years where Southern Texas gets a white christmas while we are in the 50's.....oh well Not a bad prediction for November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 It's time to cancel winter. I've seen enough....its over I am an underrated met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 I am an underrated met metrosexual? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 metrosexual?that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 It's time to cancel winter. I've seen enough....its over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Have faith-----maybe this is the year that KA redeems himself. Mid to back-loaded winter on the way???? MDstorm KA absolutely sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 We might get some flurries in January we did have that magical night in january where we got an inch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I hope it's like this all winter it was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Terrible next few weeks ahead but good thing it's November and who cares how about terrible next few months ahead and still no sign of a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 wtf? who canceled winter? I did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 This is the worst winter since 01-02 this made 01-02 look like 09-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The problem is the cold periods often end up being dry and when we finally get a storm it tracks to our north/west. agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 maybe similar in that we have a good period, but otherwise i dont see many similarities....that was one of the warmest US winters on record so was this one except we didnt have a good period in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Euro weeklies can't forecast their way out of a paper bag beyond week one. care to take that back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 care to take that back? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 lol.. ji is the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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