ravensrule Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I hope it's like this all winter You love stirring up trouble don't you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Just wanted to say that I really enjoy your posts. Thanks. As you probably realize by now, I'm a stats geek, as opposed to a forecasting geek. I enjoy looking at statistical anomalies, and I'm genuinely puzzled as to why there was so much more March snow than December snow in the early days in DC, despite the much colder December temperatures. March was a wetter month than December during 1888-1917 (average 3.62 inches vs. 3.20 inches of precipitation), but that's basically the same differential as during 1981-2010 (average 3.48 inches vs. 3.05 inches). Perhaps it was a combination of factors, including the luck of the draw, but it would be interesting to look at other areas in that time frame to see whether March was also significantly snowier than December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Crazy- Nov 29 at 345am and it is 60 degrees at IAD Snowing nicely just across the river west of Memphis, TN and 33 degrees From LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Very windy last night with the frontal passage around 2AM...another 0.49" fell for a total of 1.06" with this system. The ground is squishy. November is now my second wettest month this year at 6.55" after being dry the first half. Temperature quickly rose to 62 right before the front passage. May see some snow flakes late tonight and tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Nice slug of moisture upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Nice slug of moisture upcoming Yeah...some good rains down South...nice little train unless it moves West to East really fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I like rain in the summer...hate it during winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I like rain in the summer...hate it during winter Could be worse... it could be 35* with rain on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I like rain in the summer...hate it during winter Winter is still a few weeks away so it's all good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I like rain in the summer...hate it during winter Not with the current rain but alot of rain in the winter starts as snow and melts on the way down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 The old man is snoring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Enjoying the sun while it lasts shot of the Inner Harbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Winter is still a few weeks away so it's all good Yeah and winter continues into late March. Lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I like rain in the summer...hate it during winter Silly...it doesn't rain in the summer here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Random stat: DCA has hit 60° for 10 consecutive days. The only times that this has happened in the second half of November previously was in 1931 and 1979. Both of those periods were more impressive, though, with a majority of each streak in the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Had a nice dumping of rain a bit ago and now just steady light/mod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 thought I was done blowing leaves for the yr but lazy nieghbors preventing that it seems. Glad to get this warm shiat out of the way now though...for recollection, this time last yr a tornado moved through Balti at 2AM @ 70 degrees, so what we have now is probably preferrable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Random stat: DCA has hit 60° for 10 consecutive days. The only times that this has happened in the second half of November previously was in 1931 and 1979. Both of those periods were more impressive, though, with a majority of each streak in the 70s. I'm bummed I missed most of it. Cold winds for my arrival this eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 rain has started in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 About a quarter of an inch in so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 About a quarter of an inch in so far 0.26" at my place. Looks very uniform across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 um, there is a winter banter thread? Ji cancelled winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 12z GFS doesn't quite buy the 0z Euro's idea of a Miller B bomb, but keeps some hope alive for anafrontal flurries after the big cold front on the 6th. December 5th-ish rule invoked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Quite an interesting occluding front bending towards the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Ji cancelled winter. The next person to say that lame phrase should be banned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Yes I know it's in fantasy land, but we don't have much else to track...GFS has a very interesting setup 276-312hr. Big shortwave digs and partially phases with southern stream energy and pops a coastal. Of course it's a total fish storm, but the setup is pretty good. Big north Atlantic ridge (despite the + or neutral NAO) keeps the SE ridge at bay this run. Brakes down the PNA at the end of the run, but is otherwise a pretty cold run (especially compared to what we've been having). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Yes I know it's in fantasy land, but we don't have much else to track...GFS has a very interesting setup 276-312hr. Big shortwave digs and partially phases with southern stream energy and pops a coastal. Of course it's a total fish storm, but the setup is pretty good. Big north Atlantic ridge (despite the + or neutral NAO) keeps the SE ridge at bay this run. Brakes down the PNA at the end of the run, but is otherwise a pretty cold run (especially compared to what we've been having). Well, it certainly is looking more and more like the temps will return to at least seasonal, perhaps below here and there. It may not be tracking snow events, but its a step in the right direction. Now if we could actually rely upon the models past a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 The next person to say that lame phrase should be banned. You obviously don't "get" or appreciate Ji's humor. Lighten up, my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Random stat: DCA has hit 60° for 10 consecutive days. The only times that this has happened in the second half of November previously was in 1931 and 1979. Both of those periods were more impressive, though, with a majority of each streak in the 70s. Thanks -- you have a terrific database. I note that the 1931-32 meteorological winter (D,J,F) in DC was the warmest of all time, with an average temperature of 44.6 degrees and a whopping one inch of snow. However, March 1932 averaged only 40.0 degrees, making it the 19th coldest March of all time and the coldest month of the season, and 4 inches of snow fell. The 1979-80 meteorological winter was also relatively warm in DC, at 39.0 degrees (32nd warmest), but with 13.7 inches of snow. March 1980 continued slightly warmer than average, at 46.2 degrees (57th warmest), but DCA still recorded 6.1 inches of snow. It's also interesting to note that 1979 was the last time that snow fell in October in the DC area prior to this year, with 0.3 inches recorded at DCA and 1.3 inches at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Yes I know it's in fantasy land, but we don't have much else to track...GFS has a very interesting setup 276-312hr. Big shortwave digs and partially phases with southern stream energy and pops a coastal. Of course it's a total fish storm, but the setup is pretty good. Big north Atlantic ridge (despite the + or neutral NAO) keeps the SE ridge at bay this run. Brakes down the PNA at the end of the run, but is otherwise a pretty cold run (especially compared to what we've been having). Trouble is the ensemble mean doesn't much like the idea and keeps slightly above normal heights over the southeast in that time frame. It doesn't seem to like the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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