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November 2011 Obs/Forecasting Discussion


WxUSAF

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What's with the Light Snow observation in Frederick on and off throughout the night (and now)? Freezing fog?

I was jut in Bavaria for the last 10 days. They took freezing fog to new heights under that anamolous high pressure that's been spinning there. There were places that looked like there were 2" of snow on the ground.

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Another flood potential for my part of WV on Tuesday with models showing potential for up to 2" of rain...heavier rain may stay to the west though. Ground is still soggy from the deluge 3 days ago and we have some rain coming tomorrow to keep it that way. End of the upcoming week looks cold with snow showers in the forecast for Wednesday.

I like the way the precip has been tracking here at the end of November, just need colder air to go with it.:)

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Gorgeous sunrise Mattie. I heard and seen some other pics of this morning sunrise, wish I was awake for it.

Up to 44* after a morning low of 29* and sun is breaking out more than the clouds now

Very nice!

Thanks, guys! Only reason I was up so early is because the contractor was coming over at 7:00 and I needed to get an early start. I was making coffee and noticed the orangish-pink color outside the kitchen window and decided it was time for a nature shot.

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Hey I just moved down into Carroll County, MD. Is this the ''official'' obs thread for the DC/Baltimore area?

Welcome to the land of the winter tease and disappointment!

You will likely fare much better than others in our area. Westminster is a sweetspot for snowtotals.

Yes, this is the place for your obs. Enjoy!

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I don't understand how the 6z GFS is so cold given what it's printing out signal wise, strong +AO/+NAO, the +PNA is there but the MJO would be crappy at that time in octants 4 and 5, quite potent too. Disconnect in forcing somewhere?

Meanwhile 62 beautiful degrees with a refreshing wind partially off the water, outside air smells very nice :D

Few of the sunset here in Loudoun Co on Saturday night

Thats crazy nice man

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....no blocking....probably cold and dry....but perhaps it is a step in the right direction

Agree on all 3 parts. Definitely no signs of putting moisture into the mix when we get a cold shot. 240hr frame of the Euro op looks like a clipper is ready to drop into the northern plains with another reinforcing cold shot of air, but seems like it would probably take it north of us. Still, I'll take seasonable temps for now and we can worry about moisture when the pattern gets established.

Today is another beautiful day though.

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