Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 On a disappointing note, it looks like the Canaan Heights Coop. observer is at least shutting down his site -- http://canaanweather.4t.com/ maybe even discontinuing as a coop observer. In know that many used that as a valuable reference for the stats up here. Maybe I'll have to step up to the plate. I just read that this morning, man that sucks. I check it all the time it will be missed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Brisk walk dorms to fieldhouse today shouldn't you be running to the fieldhouse anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Euro looks interesting in the 192-240 frames. 500 is closed off in the carolinas and 850 temps are -2. 850 winds out of the n and nw and a hp sitting in se canada. Not saying it says snow or anything but at least it's something to watch. Verbatim it would at least "feel" like late Nov. Cool, it'd be fun to track something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Cool, it'd be fun to track something. Fun's over. Couple of transient cool/cold shots over the next 10 days it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Fun's over. Couple of transient cool/cold shots over the next 10 days it seems. What one model giveth, the next taketh away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Bright sun and chilly temps are awesome out there right now. Tomorrow will be perfect to do one last leaf job in the yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 bored with the weather around here... however, I do enjoy the warmer temps I don't mind delaying winter even if it does royally screw over my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 What one model giveth, the next taketh away. yep, been watching it happen since 2006. Of course, it's silly to think that there much of a chance of anything verifying at days 8+. both the euro and gfs are breaking down the big -pna in the extended. that is probably the only significant thing that I like. epo and ao are still stinking it up pretty good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 18, 2011 Author Share Posted November 18, 2011 bored with the weather around here... however, I do enjoy the warmer temps I don't mind delaying winter even if it does royally screw over my forecast. Earlier in the week? Awfully chilly outside my door today Temp anomalies for the month-to-date: BWI: +1.6F DCA: +0.5F IAD: 0.0F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 18, 2011 Share Posted November 18, 2011 Earlier in the week? Awfully chilly outside my door today Temp anomalies for the month-to-date: BWI: +1.6F DCA: +0.5F IAD: 0.0F Warmer temps as in the streaks of aboves that we are getting and forecast to get... not the month as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 Already below freezing IMBY! If DCA can't hit tonight, they're probably SOL for 2+ weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 dca will hit tonight imo. 31 maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 dca will hit tonight imo. 31 maybe? South wind and dp of 23. I'll take the under, but only slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 On a disappointing note, it looks like the Canaan Heights Coop. observer is at least shutting down his site -- http://canaanweather.4t.com/ maybe even discontinuing as a coop observer. In know that many used that as a valuable reference for the stats up here. Maybe I'll have to step up to the plate. Wow that sucks, it was one of the few reliable COOPS out there in the Appalachians of WVA/WMD. Come on Jon, take it over, please 32* here now after a high of 46* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 DCA is stuck at 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 ****!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 There was frost on the leaves when I walked the dog @ 10pm. Wtf? Is DCA sitting on top of a nuclear waste site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 DCA is stuck at 39 it hit 38 somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I'm close to cancelling winter. The models and Decembers outlook are a completed disaster. We are locked into the worst long wave pattern I have ever seen since following data. There is nothing encouraging in the data unless you hate life and want to die. I more pessimistic than Wes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 dca will hit tonight imo. 31 maybe? WAA FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 WAA FTL. I thought a light south non river wind would help. Seemed like pretty good conditions for radiational cooling. Even most of Wakefield's area is below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 WAA FTL. DCA sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Major cold blast and Dec 5 snow on 6z Gfs..but no blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 Major cold blast and Dec 5 snow on 6z Gfs..but no blocking I agree on the cold blast, but not sure where you're seeing a Dec 5th snow. Although it's transient, that's the best looking +PNA we've seen on a model run in a long time. Even better news is that the 0z and 6z ensembles are generally supportive of an eastern trough/western ridge by early December. But, again, they all look fairly transient without upstream blocking in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 dca fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I was away all week, but I see my station recorded a 20 Friday morning. Heavy frost this morning as well. After this past weeks rain I'm almost to the 50" mark for the year. It was very nice in Houston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 I thought a light south non river wind would help. Seemed like pretty good conditions for radiational cooling. Even most of Wakefield's area is below freezing. Check out Ft. Belvior. Into the 20s with calm conditions prior to midnight, but as soon as there was a registered breeze, jumped up into the mid-30s. DCA had the wind off the river the whole night and never stood a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 Check out Ft. Belvior. Into the 20s with calm conditions prior to midnight, but as soon as there was a registered breeze, jumped up into the mid-30s. DCA had the wind off the river the whole night and never stood a chance. Every once in awhile I need another geography lesson on the peninsula known as DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 dca fail What was the final temp? I got down to 28.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 19, 2011 Share Posted November 19, 2011 The latest GFS does show a change towards a positive PNA as we retrograde the upper low away from AK. if so that at least could initiate a pattern break and at least temporary change. Unless the NAo goes negative, I don't see the change lasting. I also wonder whether it will be a little too quick as that often seems to be the case when chnages start occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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