Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 sounds goood LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 210 has a storm gathering steam in texas and southern plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 does jettisonski do this in every thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 snow in the deep south at hr 216 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 apparently the surface reflection isn't there at 168 even tho PJ and STJ phase (according to DT) so when we end up with a low 350 miles east of AC it should probably be a lot closer. I have been proven wrong (with my assertion that the 0z would lose the storm) The 12z had a much more defined STJ shortwave, though, and the pattern was just generally a lot more amplified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This blocking pattern isn't going to last forever and certainly not in a strong Nina. Once it's gone, the pacific air will flood the CONUS, that GOA low isn't going anywhere. Winter may have just begun or it may have not even started depending on how you look at it, but the season's days are numbered. how many times can you post the same exact thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 apparently the surface reflection isn't there at 168 even tho PJ and STJ phase (according to DT) so when we end up with a low 350 miles east of AC it should probably be a lot closer. I have been proven wrong (with my assertion that the 0z would lose the storm) I was pretty much saying verbatim what the surface said......thats a bit above my head...tommorrow being that there is intrest in the ice storm i will start a thread in the main forum...tombo can cover the metro area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 snow in the deep south at hr 216 That sounds pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 222 sub 1004 low over southern miss....snow from northern al and mis north to southern ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Looks like a HECS brewing post 222 hours...very well defined STJ looking to phase with a well defined PV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 I was pretty much saying verbatim what the surface said......thats a bit above my head...tommorrow being that there is intrest in the ice storm i will start a thread in the main forum...tombo can cover the metro area... yup, no problem ...hr 228 sub 1004 low over panama city snow northern ga,al,ms on north to southenr ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 pretty much from hr 48-240 on the 00z euro we are pretty much at or below frz the entire run...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 That sounds pretty good. 5 posts per day make them good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 240 has a sub 1004 low around myrtle beach precip about to dc...snow in nc , va eastern tn and ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 240 the south east snowstorm is trying to turn the corner...light snow knocking on DC door.......pretty good snow for tenn and north carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Tom, I have the Euro too, maybe our threat is just delayed, not simply denied. hr 240 has a sub 1004 low around myrtle beach precip about to dc...snow in nc , va eastern tn and ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 240 has a sub 1004 low around myrtle beach precip about to dc...snow in nc , va eastern tn and ky Where do you think it would go from there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 They key word with this pattern might be patience. It's hard to not capitalize with a block of this magnitude and position...it's in a much better position than the one last week was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 It sounds like a Miller A or A/B hybird of sort, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 So it kind of sounds like there is two potentials on the board? One around 168 hours & one shortly after 240? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Tom, I have the Euro too, maybe our threat is just delayed, not simply denied. something is going to produce in this pattern, atleast i hope...Dt posted something in the gen forums i believe that at hr 168 (storm2) there should be a surface reflection with a closed low over the mid atl, yet it didnt have anything which you probably saw till it was way ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 They key word with this pattern might be patience. It's hard to not capitalize with a block of this magnitude and position...it's in a much better position than the one last week was. Yes, and the Euro has TWO potential threats in addiition to the one still possible later this week. A good run, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I just looked at the 500mb and it looks like at 240 the PJ is about to phase with this and bring it up the coast. Looks like a doozy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 It sounds like a Miller A or A/B hybird of sort, right? Its pretty much a miller A........its def looks like it would come up the coast....but the blocking is def not as strong....so track verbatiam could be anything for i-95.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 That actually wasn't a bad run, much better than I expected, at least there are a few threats out there unlike the gfs which is pretty quiet. Oh how I wish we could get an old fashioned white Christmas like we used to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Its pretty much a miller A........its def looks like it would come up the coast....but the blocking is def not as strong....so track verbatiam could be anything for i-95.... Thanks Tim. I would reckon the block being not as storng can be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Two potential threats on the Euro. Funny how the surface reflection did not show, with the 500mb setup like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 That actually wasn't a bad run, much better than I expected, at least there are a few threats out there unlike the gfs which is pretty quiet. Oh how I wish we could get an old fashioned white Christmas like we used to. You mean like 2008 and 2009? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Thanks Tim. I would reckon the block being not as storng can be a good thing. yeah i mean it is 240 hrs out...its just good to see threats...i would not give up hope for the late week event also.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 You mean like 2008 and 2009? 2009 to me was not a white Christmas (certainly not old fashioned white Christmas where there's snow, or its snowing on Christmas eve/Christmas with cold weather on Christmas day), I know there was still snow on the ground but it was raining and mild on Christmas day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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