Kaner587 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Just wait until January, then you'll be getting some bad runs. Generally we don't want to have a SE ridge but in this case, it wouldn't hurt. At least it would buckle the jet possibly giving us something. The SE ridge can become a huge asset if there is some blocking involved, but too much blocking will kill the SE ridge and if you have a graveyard STJ, it's a bad pattern for snow. thats gonna be fun...when the SE ridge decides to flex its nuts were in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 per 00z euro we will be lucky to make it to 30 on tue and wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 i dont think the first event is gonna pan out on the euro run. The vortex is stornger, everything seems to be compressed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 126 ice for northern north carolina and southern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 132 has some lgt precip about to dc, ice continues in northern nv and southern va , lgt snow over central va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 132 has some lgt precip about to dc, ice continues in northern nv and southern va , lgt snow over central va hr 138 ice has change to rain for all of NC....only frozen preciep is left in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 no real surface reflection yet for storm number 2, if there is a storm number 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 no real surface reflection yet for storm number 2, if there is a storm number to i already said in the woof thread i doubt we see it come back on this run...its just not our winter right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 The euro would be a nice little icing event for northern north carolina and southern Va.....pretty much nothing north of that for storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 i already said in the woof thread i doubt we see it come back on this run...its just not our winter right now If we can't get something in the next 3 weeks, then we're screwed. Our winter is forecast to be pretty much over by January although now some Mets have stated that the blocking pattern could continue into at least the 1st week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 The euro would be a nice little icing event for northern north carolina and southern Va.....pretty much nothing north of that for storm 1 Yeah I am becoming a bit concerned about that for my family and friends down there in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 yea storm number 2 is a no go, new storm coming into the rockies at hr 168. The whole h5 setup is completely different than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 If we can't get something in the next 3 weeks, then we're screwed. Our winter is forecast to be pretty much over by January although now some Mets have stated that the blocking pattern could continue into at least the 1st week of January. Last i checked winter lasted well beyond January 1st..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Yeah I am becoming a bit concerned about that for my family and friends down there in NC. seems like the block lingers it...until it eventually shears out....somthing to watch def for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 If we can't get something in the next 3 weeks, then we're screwed. Our winter is forecast to be pretty much over by January although now some Mets have stated that the blocking pattern could continue into at least the 1st week of January. I bet you said the same thing if you were alive in 1993-1994 or 1955-1956. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Yeah I am becoming a bit concerned about that for my family and friends down there in NC. its dropping .25-.5 of frozen or freezing precip in northern nc and southern va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 storm number two actually is present but its 350 miles east of atlantic city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 its dropping .25-.5 of frozen or freezing precip in northern nc and southern va The Euro? Thanks for giving me that info as I dont have access to the surface maps for the Euro. I looked at GFS bufr soundings earlier and its a decent ZR event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Its pretty much below normal for everyone east of the MISS.....from hour 48-174 on the euro....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This blocking pattern isn't going to last forever and certainly not in a strong Nina. Once it's gone, the pacific air will flood the CONUS, that GOA low isn't going anywhere. Winter may have just begun or it may have not even started depending on how you look at it, but the season's days are numbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This blocking pattern isn't going to last forever and certainly not in a strong Nina. Once it's gone, the pacific air will flood the CONUS, that GOA low isn't going anywhere. Winter may have just begun or it may have not even started depending on how you look at it, but the season's days are numbered. Excuse my langauge folks, Jesus Christ man, you sound like a negative broken record. Take it easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This blocking pattern isn't going to last forever and certainly not in a strong Nina. Once it's gone, the pacific air will flood the CONUS, that GOA low isn't going anywhere. Winter may have just begun or it may have not even started depending on how you look at it, but the season's days are numbered. You pretty much have said the same thing in round about ways in ur last 5 posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This blocking pattern isn't going to last forever and certainly not in a strong Nina. Once it's gone, the pacific air will flood the CONUS, that GOA low isn't going anywhere. Winter may have just begun or it may have not even started depending on how you look at it, but the season's days are numbered. How many times are you going to tell us this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 The Euro? Thanks for giving me that info as I dont have access to the surface maps for the Euro. I looked at GFS bufr soundings earlier and its a decent ZR event. no prob, i cant tell if its sleet or frz rain though. I would imagine its frz rain, further north into southern va it might be sleet to start then over to frz rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I won't mention it again until January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 You pretty much have said the same thing in round about ways in ur last 5 posts i was just about to say this..It sounds as if jetski is having some kind of weenie suicide episode tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I won't post it again until January 2015. sounds goood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I won't post again until January. your best bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 0Z SUNDAY EURO to 168 hr has phasing between the PJ and STJ... a 500 Low forms over VA MD PA the tilt is negative and NO surface development occurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 apparently the surface reflection isn't there at 168 even tho PJ and STJ phase (according to DT) so when we end up with a low 350 miles east of AC it should probably be a lot closer. I have been proven wrong (with my assertion that the 0z would lose the storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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