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October 29/30 Snowstorm Disco - IV


Baroclinic Zone

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Mine is now for rain this afternoon and 3-7 tonight. The 3-7 might end up right, but the rain is kind of funny. Still wiating for something other than clouds and a breeze.

They've dropped totals across the region. I would think it's almost impossible for you to get only 3" from this beast. That wouldn't be much more than you got the other night. lol.

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The power outages would be incredible if this verified...

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BOS    LAT=  42.37 LON=  -71.03 ELE=    20

                                           12Z OCT29
                2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000 
                TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500 
                (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK 
SAT 12Z 29-OCT   2.2    -4.9    1024      65      55    0.00     557     538    
SAT 18Z 29-OCT   7.2    -5.0    1019      63      99    0.02     555     540    
SUN 00Z 30-OCT   2.8    -5.2    1013      97     100    0.70     551     540    
SUN 06Z 30-OCT   1.2    -5.3    1008      96      99    0.72     541     535    
SUN 12Z 30-OCT   1.0    -6.6    1011      87      88    0.38     539     530    

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http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/

Cam 4 is the best, select iat the bottom.

Dynamic cooling did its best here. we got down and level at 42.9. So we chopped 13 degrees off sea temps 200 feet away. Bodes well if we get a wind change later, but IMO it looks like it's going to take until 3z or later in the CP.

Just looked at teh Euro...230z to 3z is when I think Boston itself would flip to accumulating snow.

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