40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Yeah I think so. It looks like we get a phase but it will be later than the 12z run. Good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It doesn't look like were phased well on this run, might be out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'd rather have a look that is more on the suppressed side than a look of something that might be a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Are you the lead poster in the NE subforum? Alison must be so proud of your accomplishment!! lol She knows what she married into..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It doesn't look like were phased well on this run, might be out to sea. Yeah I think we'll phase late... probably too late for a coastal hugger. Certainly better looking than the 12z GFS or a run like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It doesn't look like were phased well on this run, might be out to sea. yup... not gonna happen for us I don't think this run. Much much better than the 12z GFS was for sure... still showing a strong southern stream s/w but the great lakes cut off is hauling ass east and is going to miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 yup... not gonna happen for us I don't think this run. Much much better than the 12z GFS was for sure... still showing a strong southern stream s/w but the great lakes cut off is hauling ass east and is going to miss it. It's showing the same type of potential, just some timing differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It's showing the same type of potential, just some timing differences. Yup. The features are very similar to 12z for a 144 hour+ forecast but a small difference in timing has huge implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It's showing the same type of potential, just some timing differences. Good run. I LOVE the trend of hastening the travel of that cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Nice low over Orlando at 144h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Nice low over Orlando at 144h. cancel the trip to disney Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Nice low over Orlando at 144h. Better than over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I'm out. Night guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well as long as it shows the potential that's fine with me...not going to stress or worry about timing issues and phasing issues this far out. Just keep showing this potential and once were inside the 3.4-4 day window than start to worry a bit more about timing/phasing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Hopefully the runs hit the potential tomorrow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well at any rate, it definitely has the pieces there for something, it was slightly too fast with the northern lakes vortex this run. I think its probably better than an overphase at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well at any rate, it definitely has the pieces there for something, it was slightly too fast with the northern lakes vortex this run. I think its probably better than an overphase at this point. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 The 0z GFS didn't need to show me that bomb overhead at 180/192. That's what this current storm did and look where that got us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 The 0z GFS didn't need to show me that bomb overhead at 180/192. That's what this current storm did and look where that got us. I was thinking the same thing, Eric. I posted yesterday that I was only going to take a mild interest until (hopefully) Wednesday if things were sitll shaping up. Then I saw the GFS just now, and it brought tears of joy. lol 44.7/42 2.72" on the storm, only .01" since midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 06z GFS is OTHERWORDLY. wt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I was thinking the same thing, Eric. I posted yesterday that I was only going to take a mild interest until (hopefully) Wednesday if things were sitll shaping up. Then I saw the GFS just now, and it brought tears of joy. lol 44.7/42 2.72" on the storm, only .01" since midnight. Yeah, the 6z continues the theme of big East Coast storm, which is fantastic but I don't want to be in the bullseye at this time range. At least the Euro is ots right now. Still days to go before it's all relevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I thought I was being a big weenie by even looking at the QPF map, but then you had the stones to go ahead and post it. lol Wish we could fast forward to next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Euro was a walloping with rain taint on the coast at 12Z. GFS was a 2 foot blizzard at 0Z. Euro whiffed at 0Z. GFS is a bomb with coastal rain taint at 6Z. This storm has been flagged for awhile. I feel pretty confident that we'll have a sizable event next weekend but the proverbial devil is in the details and it could be anything from a cutter to partly cloudy and windy as a low goes well east of the region to all in between. But a storm shall be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Nice to see snow showers/squalls in the forecast for later today thru Wed nite as we thought. Everyone should have snow on the ground by Thursday morning..Then we await the big dog that tracks just like 12z Euro had yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I"m out. Will read Euro in the morning. Kevin should be happy at 5AM call. Happy yes..because I think the track the 12z Euro had yesterday is probably more likely than something over the BM or OTS..and can't cut west with the state of the block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Nice to see snow showers/squalls in the forecast for later today thru Wed nite as we thought. Everyone should have snow on the ground by Thursday morning..Then we await the big dog that tracks just like 12z Euro had yesterday. I think that anything of any (very minor) significance will be over the next 24 hours. Beyond that I would expect just mood snow--especially as you head out of the hills. But, there's always hoping. 44.6/43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I think that anything of any (very minor) significance will be over the next 24 hours. Beyond that I would expect just mood snow--especially as you head out of the hills. But, there's always hoping. 44.6/43 Well once again you'll most likely be incorrect. Congrats!! Wed night drops measurable on the Eastern 2/3rds of SNe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well once again you'll most likely be incorrect. Congrats!! Wed night drops measurable on the Eastern 2/3rds of SNe "I think that anything of any (very minor) significance will be over the next 24 hours. Beyond that I would expect just mood snow--especially as you head out of the hills. But, there's always hoping" Since snow is measured in tenths, I think our comments are not mutually exclusive. I hope I am incorrect, and boy do I have a hankering for a good storm this weeked. If it comes to anything, hopefully it will be on Saturday night so we can have our respective weenie-fests on a weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 "I think that anything of any (very minor) significance will be over the next 24 hours. Beyond that I would expect just mood snow--especially as you head out of the hills. But, there's always hoping" Since snow is measured in tenths, I think our comments are not mutually exclusive. I hope I am incorrect, and boy do I have a hankering for a good storm this weeked. If it comes to anything, hopefully it will be on Saturday night so we can have our respective weenie-fests on a weekend. Measurable means 1-3 in my book over areas outside of the western hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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