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The last thread didn't work - upcoming threats discussion


TalcottWx

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Are you looking at my Facebook, Jerry?

I'd say you and I get even more on these models...the GFS just destroys CT with the deformation band. I might get a little bit more on the ECM though....12z ECM and 0z GFS are 20"+ for me...

Right where we want it...

No need to go crazy. 12"+ is fine to say for now :)

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No need to go crazy. 12"+ is fine to say for now :)

12z ECM didn't really give anyone 20" anyway if you went 10 to 1 ratios...unless someone was inflating the qpf totals. The WSI maps maybe had 1.6" of qpf as the max, and it was probably over central MA to E half of CT to SW NH.

GFS OTOH was definitely 20" for some areas .

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Yes. I was about to send a friend request but got distracted.......

Flowers for Algernon......I read that in the days leading up to the birth of my youngest child. Great book!

Cool cool, friend me if you get a chance.

Flowers for Algernon is a wonderful but devastating book, definitely one of the true classics. I definitely like some old school movies especially Bergman, Lynch, Hitchcock etc. I'm reading some Bill Bryson right now as I finished all of Hesse's, Orwell's, and Huxley's novels back in my teens, sadly.

This storm honestly looks pretty interesting. Massive blocking is our friend. I'd still like to see a little amplification from the PNA but this is about the most you can ask for in a strong La Niña pattern. You really need this one to get your snowfall forecast in good shape.

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Cool cool, friend me if you get a chance.

Flowers for Algernon is a wonderful but devastating book, definitely one of the true classics. I definitely like some old school movies especially Bergman, Lynch, Hitchcock etc. I'm reading some Bill Bryson right now as I finished all of Hesse's, Orwell's, and Huxley's novels back in my teens, sadly.

This storm honestly looks pretty interesting. Massive blocking is our friend. I'd still like to see a little amplification from the PNA but this is about the most you can ask for in a strong La Niña pattern. You really need this one to get your snowfall forecast in good shape.

Bryson is a modern day Hemingway in a sense. Brilliant guy.

This storm potential is our best threat in 2 years (my latitude). Kind of sad but we've been in a snow drought since New Years.

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Synoptically it's real close to the 12z Euro...so that's definitely a good sign.

As I posted a couple times earlier this is a very high risk high reward setup. If things break right it's a classic but there's a lot of risk involved in this kind of setup.

Yep I was thinking the same thing .. it has a very similar evolution (for this time frame)

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00z GGEM has the same general idea, when you loop it at the link below. That being said it seems slightly less enthused with the southern stream shortwave--and may end up a bit east of the GFS OP. The shortwave is still going negatively tilted on the last frame, so it may come up the coast still. The signal for potential remains strong.

http://www.weatherof...SIC@012_....jpg

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