CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Another great Patriots game witnessed. The Pats are really making a tremendous case of being the overall favorites to win the superbowl. Hopefully the McCourty rib injury is nothing serious. I never thought that he would be where he is today at the beginning of the season. One heck of a first round pick. Already paying instant dividends for us. I hope the Patriots keep it up. THe only ones that can stop the Pats are themselves. Snows possible midweek? Also it looks like a potential snowstorm next week. Could mean rain for the coastal plain again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 panic... the few 12z GEFS members that had a big or close 180 hour hit have all trended offshore at 18z!!!! ughhhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 panic... the few 12z GEFS members that had a big or close 180 hour hit have all trended offshore at 18z!!!! ughhhhhh Troll phail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Troll phail lol I wasn't being serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 lol I wasn't being serious LOL neither was I , have not seen it rain this hard since March, get out the sandbags call Homeland, absolute deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 LOL neither was I , have not seen it rain this hard since March, get out the sandbags call Homeland, absolute deluge. Yeah it was real impressive earlier here. Radar is underestimating quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Remember when we had some -5 to -6 or lower here? I don't think we had many -5/-6C anomalies at the surface, Jerry. Those were the TAO depth/subsurface maps. Here's what's happening at 55m lately: You can see that we lost some of the intense subsurface anomalies in mid-November but have regained some of the cold stuff. Region 1.2 is tanking so we'll see if that water spreads east or the gradual warming from Indonesia into the extreme western regions' subsurface has an effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 panic... the few 12z GEFS members that had a big or close 180 hour hit have all trended offshore at 18z!!!! ughhhhhh Went over this when the ensembles came out. Right where we want them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 That might be a gravity wave just off RI coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I don't think we had many -5/-6C anomalies at the surface, Jerry. Those were the TAO depth/subsurface maps. Here's what's happening at 55m lately: You can see that we lost some of the intense subsurface anomalies in mid-November but have regained some of the cold stuff. Region 1.2 is tanking so we'll see if that water spreads east or the gradual warming from Indonesia into the extreme western regions' subsurface has an effect. It's over Nate. Will stay close to this for awhile but it's peaked. Every trade push has underperformed since 11/1. Something is weird this year and I'm not sure what it is. All the things that "should" happen aren't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 That might be a gravity wave just off RI coast Not a gwave but looks like an impressive squall line. Washington County is going toget some good gusts out of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Since I don't know what the other analogs produced, you're correct. I'll take 1981. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Not a gwave but looks like an impressive squall line. Washington County is going toget some good gusts out of that Winds just really cranked up here again after a lull, being at the end of heavy band, looking for rise/ fall couplet, certainly looks like an impressive squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 You gotta love Flood, he is human as well as an NCEP robot: NOW THE 12Z/12 RUN OF THE ECMWF IS BACK ON BOARD...DEVELOPING A MAJOR SNOWSTORM NEXT WEEKEND FROM INTERIOR NC TO NEW ENG. IF CORRECT...IT COULD LAY DOWN A HEAVY BLANKET OF SNOW IN THE SAME AREAS AS THE BIG SYS LAST YEAR...ALMOST TO THE DATE! A WHITE CHRISTMAS FOR THAT AREA 6 DAYS LATER WOULD BE HIGHLY FAVORED IN THE PERSISTENT COLD PATTERN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 You gotta love Flood, he is human as well as an NCEP robot: NOW THE 12Z/12 RUN OF THE ECMWF IS BACK ON BOARD...DEVELOPING A MAJOR SNOWSTORM NEXT WEEKEND FROM INTERIOR NC TO NEW ENG. IF CORRECT...IT COULD LAY DOWN A HEAVY BLANKET OF SNOW IN THE SAME AREAS AS THE BIG SYS LAST YEAR...ALMOST TO THE DATE! A WHITE CHRISTMAS FOR THAT AREA 6 DAYS LATER WOULD BE HIGHLY FAVORED IN THE PERSISTENT COLD PATTERN. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 DT gave jan 1966 ass an analog for this storm.. I see a very strong resemblance. Same split flow pattern.. s/w coming through the southern stream... ULL over the GL with a s/w coming through the polar jet. The phasing doesn't look quite as explosive on the 12z Euro as that storm but it's very very similar.. could easily become something like that. That storm was 6" from a line from NYC to HFD to BOS mostly less SE of there due to more rain... 12" in ORH.. 12" in the Berks and greens... 20-40" in western NY. Low cut up the Hudson Valley. I think there's a very good chance that this could cut up the Hudson Valley and we mix in SNE, we will have to be careful of that. Of course the storm still might be OTS. We may still want to hope for some sort of 50/50 low which 1966 lacked (it had a bit of one but it moved out before the storm). On the other hand we have more blocking than 1966 so that could help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 we've got a forecasted strong -AO and a -NAO, something has to give within the next two weeks. more than one model showing something a week or so out. I like our chances. goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GFS is still hitting the period of light snow Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 DT gave jan 1966 ass an analog for this storm.. I see a very strong resemblance. Same split flow pattern.. s/w coming through the southern stream... ULL over the GL with a s/w coming through the polar jet. The phasing doesn't look quite as explosive on the 12z Euro as that storm but it's very very similar.. could easily become something like that. That storm was 6" from a line from NYC to HFD to BOS mostly less SE of there due to more rain... 12" in ORH.. 12" in the Berks and greens... 20-40" in western NY. Low cut up the Hudson Valley. I think there's a very good chance that this could cut up the Hudson Valley and we mix in SNE, we will have to be careful of that. Of course the storm still might be OTS. We may still want to hope for some sort of 50/50 low which 1966 lacked (it had a bit of one but it moved out before the storm). On the other hand we have more blocking than 1966 so that could help I agree...that analog does look like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GFS is still hitting the period of light snow Wednesday night. Measurable or nuisance.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Measurable or nuisance.... both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 both T-1"....got it. You and I think alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Dare I say the 00z GFS looks like it's trending a bit more toward the Euro than the 12z or 18z run with the handling of the closed low over the NE and southern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 the GFS sort of "sees" the southwest s/w this run, no surprises there, starting to catch on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 the GFS sort of "sees" the southwest s/w this run, no surprises there, starting to catch on Looks like this run is close to having some fun lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 If we get this storm to cut NW on the GFS expect to hear a shotgun blast from Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wow beautiful GFS run. Pretty close to a KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 If we get this storm to cut NW on the GFS expect to hear a shotgun blast from Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wow beautiful near blizzard for BOS, PVD, HVN, NYC, PHL, DCA!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 eaethlight giving great gfs play by play in the nyc philly thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.