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The last thread didn't work - upcoming threats discussion


TalcottWx

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  On 12/12/2010 at 9:55 PM, CT Rain said:

lol

well I had a worse winter than you so I think it's my time to cash in. Maybe you'll have to wait til 2011-2012 :snowman:

1) You had Feb 2006

2) You live in the CT valley, thus it's climo for you to be screwed.

You had like 25" last winter.....you avg like 35", correct.....

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  On 12/12/2010 at 9:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

1) You had Feb 2006

2) You live in the CT valley, thus it's climo for you to be screwed.

lol not really...

I average a shade over 40 and have had more 20"+ storms than Kevin in the hills. We do a lot better normally than we have done since Feb 06.

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  On 12/12/2010 at 9:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

1) You had Feb 2006

2) You live in the CT valley, thus it's climo for you to be screwed.

You had like 25" last winter.....you avg like 35", correct.....

He averages like 50". lol....he had a much worse winter than you

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:02 PM, ORH_wxman said:

yeah thats probably right since BDL averages just under 50" and they're north in the valley by like 10 mi

BDL's 1971-2000 average went down to like 45 I think... But there long term is just shy of 50.

I'd say 45 or so is fair for me... downtown Hartford is probably like 41 or 42.

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:03 PM, CT Rain said:

BDL's 1971-2000 average went down to like 45 I think... But there long term is just shy of 50.

I'd say 45 or so is fair for me... downtown Hartford is probably like 41 or 42.

Yea, I'd go with the long term avg....I think ~50 years is a good sample size.

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:03 PM, CT Rain said:

BDL's 1971-2000 average went down to like 45 I think... But there long term is just shy of 50.

I'd say 45 or so is fair for me... downtown Hartford is probably like 41 or 42.

yeah I think their longterm reached 50" on the nose after '05-'06 but since then its fallen back to something like 49.5" ....either way, its all the same difference....those 25-30" amounts BDL has been getting recently is well under their climo

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:05 PM, ORH_wxman said:

yeah I think their longterm reached 50" on the nose after '05-'06 but since then its fallen back to something like 49.5" ....either way, its all the same difference....those 25-30" amounts BDL has been getting recently is well under their climo

Yup... that's right. I lost my snow climo spreadsheet for BDL :(

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:05 PM, ORH_wxman said:

yeah I think their longterm reached 50" on the nose after '05-'06 but since then its fallen back to something like 49.5" ....either way, its all the same difference....those 25-30" amounts BDL has been getting recently is well under their climo

Since 06 we've really gotten screwed.

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I dunno why anyone would use 30 year average for snowfall when we know that snowfall is cyclical and 30 years can encompass one large snow drought period or a big snow period like the late 50s-> early 70s.

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:05 PM, ORH_wxman said:

yeah I think their longterm reached 50" on the nose after '05-'06 but since then its fallen back to something like 49.5" ....either way, its all the same difference....those 25-30" amounts BDL has been getting recently is well under their climo

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:08 PM, Logan11 said:

I dunno why anyone would use 30 year average for snowfall when we know that snowfall is cyclical and 30 years can encompass one large snow drought period or a big snow period like the late 50s-> early 70s.

Yeah no one really does but the CLIM20 data from ncdc only posts that

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:07 PM, CT Rain said:

Since 06 we've really gotten screwed.

It'll even out soon...they will be a Feb 5, 2001-esque ccb band.

I'm getting fairly optimistic the storm next weekend delivers something fun...well as optimistic as you can be 7 days out. Even if its not a huge storm.

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  On 12/12/2010 at 10:20 PM, DomNH said:

I still expect a heaping pile of nothing when I wake up on Thursday, but I guess it's worth watching.

I haven't paid ATTN to it, but the good news is that if we ever managed to grab like 2", it shouldn't go anywhere any time soon.....next screw job not withstanding....

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