CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:37 AM, OSUmetstud said: That's pretty damn strong for an ensemble solution. I'm not sure if that is the low that the op has scooting out at hr 180, or perhaps the larger low at hr 240. Either way, this has been flagged for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Lets hope we can get that ULL underneath us. Looks like a week of sne weenies chasing every little qpf spoke flying around the vortmax, hoping it overperforms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:43 AM, CoastalWx said: Lets hope we can get that ULL underneath us. Looks like a week of sne weenies chasing every little qpf spoke flying around the vortmax, hoping it overperforms. With Will forecasting 1-3 areawide..gotta like everyone's chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:40 AM, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure if that is the low that the op has scooting out at hr 180, or perhaps the larger low at hr 240. Either way, this has been flagged for a while. How do the spaghetti plots look Scooter? I know it's way out there but are there any indicating more of a left hand track, or more right? I'm guessing more to the right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:44 AM, CT Blizz said: With Will forecasting 1-3 areawide..gotta like everyone's chances I think he said having a shot of a 1-3" type deal, which I could see if we get the ULL underneath us. The thing with ULL is that some will overperform..some underperform. Seems like Wed into Thur are the best chances perhaps. I like where the euro has the ULL Wed into Thur, but this will likely be a nowcast deal. I want to see this hold in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:47 AM, WeatherX said: How do the spaghetti plots look Scooter? I know it's way out there but are there any indicating more of a left hand track, or more right? I'm guessing more to the right They do have a nice trough in the east, but at the time range...some of the plots are all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:49 AM, CoastalWx said: I think he said having a shot of a 1-3" type deal, which I could see if we get the ULL underneath us. The thing with ULL is that some will overperform..some underperform. Seems like Wed into Thur are the best chances perhaps. I like where the euro has the ULL Wed into Thur, but this will likely be a nowcast deal. I want to see this hold in future runs. It's been there basically for 5-6 runs in a row now on the Euro..Its just varied it's qpf amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:53 AM, CT Blizz said: It's been there basically for 5-6 runs in a row now on the Euro..Its just varied it's qpf amounts Yeah it has, what I mean is that..I want to see the ULL underneath our latitude for a time. When that happens, you can get one of those inv troughs to focus a nice band of snow. I'm not poo-pooing the situation....I like it, but if the ULL is north of us, then that doesn't help us out too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 The 19th-20th threat is there on GEM ensembles also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:00 PM, OSUmetstud said: The 19th-20th threat is there on GEM ensembles also. Yeah I just saw that. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 11:40 AM, CoastalWx said: I'm not sure if that is the low that the op has scooting out at hr 180, or perhaps the larger low at hr 240. Either way, this has been flagged for a while. It does look like the Op Euro tries to develop a SLP just after the 168h time frame in response to the trough going negative along the east coast. It has 2 lows over the northeast and a 3rd like 800 miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 6z GFS has the storm just a bit S & E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:12 PM, ETauntonMA said: 6z GFS has the storm just a bit S & E. That's a nice signal, with that ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 I said this yesterday, but if you loop H5, you can see the block doing its dirty work. Notice how it keeps the parade of ULL going overhead or to the south. That's what we want, lets hope it can materialize. Maybe Nick can bring us some good luck since he moved here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:19 PM, CoastalWx said: I said this yesterday, but if you loop H5, you can see the block doing its dirty work. Notice how it keeps the parade of ULL going overhead or to the south. That's what we want, lets hope it can materialize. Maybe Nick can bring us some good luck since he moved here. i just want something to happen that i can legitimately get excited about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:26 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: i just want something to happen that i can legitimately get excited about. Why not get excited for Wed nite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:17 PM, CoastalWx said: That's a nice signal, with that ULL. It's certainly not going to cut inland given that setup and I agree, it's right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:34 PM, CT Blizz said: Why not get excited for Wed nite? I'm not going to be excited until Tuesday morning for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:39 PM, CoastalWx said: I'm not going to be excited until Tuesday morning for that. I'm excited. VERY excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:41 PM, CT Blizz said: I'm hard. VERY hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:34 PM, CT Blizz said: Why not get excited for Wed nite? hopefully we get something out of it. i'll keep watching that time period. hopefully it's not just isolated -SHSN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:44 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: hopefully we get something out of it. i'll keep watching that time period. hopefully it's not just isolated -SHSN. Feel like I'm reading the same thread/posts from sometime in mid November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:41 PM, ETauntonMA said: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WhwbxEfy7fg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 1:05 PM, CT Blizz said: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WhwbxEfy7fg I feeling it Kev, literally and figuratively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 12:34 PM, CT Blizz said: Why not get excited for Wed nite? NAM is trending towards flagging Tuesday. Euro says Wed is definite. Snow's on the way either way. Can't wait to bump Nate's posts. (I pledge to do it by 12/17 in any case regardless of who's right). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:19 PM, weathafella said: NAM is trending towards flagging Tuesday. Euro says Wed is definite. Snow's on the way either way. Can't wait to bump Nate's posts. (I pledge to do it by 12/17 in any case regardless of who's right). Yeah starting with later tomorrow afternoon..shaping up to be a fairly snowy week..snowcover to the coast by Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:22 PM, CT Blizz said: Yeah starting with later tomorrow afternoon..shaping up to be a fairly snowy week..snowcover to the coast by Thursday Did you see LC's call for the potential of a cold January? Good reasoning. This is not your father's La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:23 PM, weathafella said: Did you see LC's call for the potential of a cold January? Good reasoning. This is not your father's young folks' La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:22 PM, CT Blizz said: Yeah starting with later tomorrow afternoon..shaping up to be a fairly snowy week..snowcover to the coast by Thursday I wouldn't call it a "snowy week" but I think Wed night looks good for some snow. A period of -SN with some accumulation definitely possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:23 PM, weathafella said: Did you see LC's call for the potential of a cold January? Good reasoning. This is not your father's La Nina. where could i find this post, kind sir? damn cold air hanging in tight JUST w of me in the towns of westborough...northborough.....temps still 32-33 out that way.....little spot from 495 west. won't be going to breakfast in westborough, no thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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